MARKET WIREFintel • 3d ago
Dream Finders Homes Announces Third Quarter 2026 Results and Completes $2.2 billion Beazer AcquisitionWhy DFH Stock surged +3.29% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$10.04 +3.29% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.08
Dream Finders Homes Inc. (Class A) (DFH) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $909.0M
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Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DFH Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is DFH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Dream Finders Homes Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: DFH) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $10.04 (+3.29% 1D, market cap $909.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DFH ranks #621 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does DFH compare to LGIH and LEGH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), DFH carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 15.3%. By comparison, LGIH (LGI Homes Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 14.0x, ROIC 3.0%, cap $1.02B) and LEGH (Legacy Housing Corporation (TX)) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 16.5x, ROIC 7.4%, cap $688.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DFH leads on earnings multiple (4.2x) while DFH leads on capital efficiency (15.3% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DFH?
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Per DFH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001825088), Dream Finders Homes Inc. (Class A) generated $4.32B in revenue (-2.9% YoY), $217.4M in net income, and -$126.4M in free cash flow against $3.73B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.08 (+0.40%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.2% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DFH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DFH SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (22% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (22% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$9.38-6.3% Next Q
43
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$8.79+16.6% Next Q
46
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$10.25-2% Next Q
48
CurrentGrade D$10.04-1.3% Hist 90D α
51
Trajectory: D (43) → D (51)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DFH Turnaround Squeeze
While DFH currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.38) and Max Pain ($10.54) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $22.63.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DFH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DFH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why DFH Stock surged +3.29% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Dream Finders Homes Inc. (Class A) (DFH) surged +3.29% to $10.04, trading at 19% of its 52-week range ($7.3 – $21.55). Stretched risk/reward at 4x P/E (15% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 19% of its 52-week range ($7.3 – $21.55) with RSI-14 at 46.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $10.04 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live DFH Headlines & Catalysts
RISK WATCHChartMill • 3d ago
Dream Finders Homes (NYSE:DFH) Posts Mixed Q3 2026 Results as Revenue Misses and Beazer Costs WeighDream Finders Q3 2026 mixed: adjusted EPS beat but revenue missed amid margin pressure and Beazer costs; full-year closings guidance reiterated.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 3d ago
Dream Finders Homes Announces Third Quarter 2026 ResultsJACKSONVILLE, Fla., October 29, 2026--Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (the "Company," "Dream Finders Homes," "Dream Finders" or "DFH") (NYSE: DFH) announced its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026.
CATALYSTBenzinga • 3d ago
Dream Finders Homes Q3 Adj. EPS $0.22 Beats $0.21 Estimate, Sales $996.049M Miss $1.046B EstimateDream Finders Homes (NASDAQ:DFH) reported quarterly earnings of $0.22 per share which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $0.21 by 4.76 percent. This is a 53.19 percent decrease over earnings of $0.47 per share from
MARKET WIREYahoo • 5d ago
Millrose Properties Q3 Earnings Call HighlightsMillrose Properties (NYSE:MRP) reported third-quarter 2026 net income of approximately $130 million, or $0.80 per diluted share, as recurring option fee income rose with the company’s invested capital base. Adjusted fund
MARKET WIREYahoo • 5d ago
Millrose Properties Reports Third Quarter 2026 Financial ResultsMIAMI, October 27, 2026--Millrose Properties, Inc. (NYSE: MRP, "Millrose" or the "Company"), the homesite option platform for residential homebuilders and developers, today announced its financial results for the third q
CATALYSTYahoo • 6d ago
Bretton Fund’s Views on Mobility Global (MBGL)The Bretton Fund’s Q3 2026 letter reports a -1.75% return for the quarter, versus +2.30% for the S&P 500. The letter can be downloaded here. Microsoft and SAP were the strongest contributors, while Eagle Materials and Dr
MARKET WIREFintel • 10d ago
Dream Finders Homes, Inc. Commences Private Exchange Offers for Beazer Notes Due 2031 and 2032MARKET WIREYahoo • 10d ago
Dream Finders Homes Commences Private Exchange Offer and Consent Solicitation for Beazer Homes USA, Inc.’s Outstanding 7.500% Senior Notes due 2031 and 8.000% Senior Notes due 2032JACKSONVILLE, Fla., October 22, 2026--Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (NYSE: DFH) ("Dream Finders") today announced, in connection with its recently completed acquisition (the "Transaction") of Beazer Homes USA, Inc. ("Beazer"
RISK WATCHBenzinga • 10d ago
Ten-Year Treasury Yields Fall Below 5%: These 10 Real-Estate Stocks Are Rallying SharplyHomebuilders rally as the 10-year Treasury yield falls below 5%. Lennar, KB Home and Zillow lead while REITs lag ahead of next week's Fed meeting.
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DFH)
- ✓Walkthrough of DFH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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DFH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -31.23%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $10.29H $10.68L $9.66C $10.04VOL 1.05M
RES: $13.50SUP: $6.10SMA50: $11.38SMA200: $14.72
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
DFH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -2.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DFH today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DFH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DFH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DFH)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #621 of 1011
⚔️ LGIH vs DFH Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DFH vs. LGIH, LEGH, HOV, CCS)
Industry: Homebuilding (31 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dream Finders Homes Inc. (Class A) (DFH) ranks #621 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #523 by equity capitalization ($909.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DFH leads on earnings valuation at 4.2x trailing P/E, while DFH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.3% ROIC and — gross margin. LEGH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with DFH at 51/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DFH
ACTIVE
Dream Finders Homes Inc. (Class A) | D | 51/100 | 4.2x | — | 15.3% | +3.29% | $909.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| LGIH LGI Homes Inc. | D | 44/100 | 14.0x | 20.7% | 3.0% | +5.12% | $1.02B | /lgih-vs-dfh → |
| LEGH Legacy Housing Corporation (TX) | C+ | 69/100 | 16.5x | — | 7.4% | +1.87% | $688.0M | /legh-vs-dfh → |
| HOV Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. (Class A) | D | 51/100 | — | — | — | +0.90% | $610.6M | /hov-vs-dfh → |
| CCS Century Communities Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | 10.3x | — | 5.7% | -5.52% | $1.52B | /ccs-vs-dfh → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001825088In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Dream Finders Homes Inc. (Class A) (DFH) reported GAAP revenue of $4.32B (-2.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.45B , and +15.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $217.4M, operating cash flow of -$100.6M, and free cash flow of -$126.4M (+55.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, DFH closed FY2025 with $3.73B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $4.32B | $217.4M | -$100.6M | -$126.4M | $3.73B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $4.45B | $340.6M | -$256.6M | -$282.0M | $3.33B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $3.75B | $307.9M | $374.2M | $374.2M | — | — |
3. DFH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs DFH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Dream Finders Homes Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: DFH) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $10.04 (+3.29% 1D, market cap $909.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DFH ranks #621 in composite RQD confidence.
How does DFH compare to LGIH and LEGH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), DFH carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 15.3%. By comparison, LGIH (LGI Homes Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 14.0x, ROIC 3.0%, cap $1.02B) and LEGH (Legacy Housing Corporation (TX)) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 16.5x, ROIC 7.4%, cap $688.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DFH leads on earnings multiple (4.2x) while DFH leads on capital efficiency (15.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DFH?
Per DFH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001825088), Dream Finders Homes Inc. (Class A) generated $4.32B in revenue (-2.9% YoY), $217.4M in net income, and -$126.4M in free cash flow against $3.73B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is DFH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
DFH last traded at $10.04 (+3.29% on volume of 974,052 shares), positioning the stock -11.78% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.38) and -31.79% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.72). Across its 52-week range of $7.30 to $21.55, DFH sits at the 19.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($8.79 to $11.29).
DFH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is DFH stock moving today?
Why DFH Stock surged +3.29% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 4x P/E (15% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.