DeFi Capital Markets Inc. (DCM) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$3.34 -6.70% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.29

DeFi Capital Markets Inc. (DCM) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $10.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.29 (-1.40%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 11.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510046
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (5)SEC (11)Macro (10)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
$8 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE DCM RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DCM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DCM SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 11.1% FCF Margin ($536.2K FCF) & 16.6% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
54
Grade C-$5.20+1.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
51
Grade C-$5.29-29.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
49
Grade D$3.74-10.7% Next Q
Current
46
Grade D$3.34-6.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DCM Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DCM currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.89) and Max Pain ($3.51) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.21.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DCM• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DCM Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DCM)

  • ✓Walkthrough of DCM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
DCM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -43.87%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $3.40H $3.40L $2.82C $3.34VOL 15.3K
RES: $5.57SUP: $5.21SMA50: $4.89SMA200: $5.11
$8.17$6.72$5.27$3.82$2.37RES $5.57SUP $5.21$3.342026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DCM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -65.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DCM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DCM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DCM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DCM)

Technology Rank #476 of 714 ⚔️ MSAI vs DCM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (DCM vs. MSAI, OPXS, OPTX, RELL)

Industry: Electronic Components (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, DeFi Capital Markets Inc. (DCM) ranks #476 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #643 by equity capitalization ($10.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OPXS leads on earnings valuation at 12.5x trailing P/E, while OPXS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.8% ROIC and 29.2% gross margin. OPXS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 84/100 (A-) compared with DCM at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DCM ACTIVE
DeFi Capital Markets Inc.
D 46/100 — 16.6% -35.0% -6.70% $10.1M Benchmark Subject
MSAI
MultiSensor AI Holdings Inc.
E 27/100 — — -35.0% +2.24% $7.6M /msai-vs-dcm →
OPXS
Optex Systems Holdings Inc.
A- 84/100 12.5x 29.2% 29.8% +1.32% $64.2M /opxs-vs-dcm →
OPTX
Syntec Optics Holdings Inc. (Class A)
D+ 54/100 — 23.3% -2.8% +0.83% $294.0M /optx-vs-dcm →
RELL
Richardson Electronics Ltd.
D 47/100 48.8x 31.2% 4.1% -0.81% $311.4M /rell-vs-dcm →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0000102109

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), DeFi Capital Markets Inc. (DCM) reported GAAP revenue of $4.8M (-79.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $23.6M , and -75.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$2.5M, operating cash flow of $536.2K, and free cash flow of $536.2K (+151.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, DCM closed FY2025 with $5.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $4.8M -$2.5M $536.2K $536.2K $5.5M —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $23.6M $501.0K -$1.0M -$1.0M $9.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $19.5M -$396.0K $604.1K $604.1K — —

3. DCM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DCM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, DeFi Capital Markets Inc. (NYSE: DCM) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $3.34 (-6.70% 1D, market cap $10.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, DCM ranks #476 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DCM compare to MSAI and OPXS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Electronic Components), DCM carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 16.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, MSAI (MultiSensor AI Holdings Inc.) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $7.6M) and OPXS (Optex Systems Holdings Inc.) posts a A- grade (84/100 RQD, P/E 12.5x, ROIC 29.8%, cap $64.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OPXS leads on earnings multiple (12.5x) while OPXS leads on capital efficiency (29.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DCM?

Per DCM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0000102109), DeFi Capital Markets Inc. generated $4.8M in revenue (-79.4% YoY), -$2.5M in net income, and $536.2K in free cash flow against $5.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DCM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DCM last traded at $3.34 (-6.70% on volume of 13,629 shares), positioning the stock -31.70% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.89) and -34.64% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.11). Across its 52-week range of $2.82 to $7.82, DCM sits at the 10.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 27.4 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.92 to $3.76).

DCM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does DCM pay a dividend and is it safe?

DeFi Capital Markets Inc. (DCM) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

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