CoreCivic Inc. (CXW) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
CoreCivic Inc. (CXW) advanced +1.47% to $31.08, trading at 74% of its 52-week range ($15.74 – $36.55). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
CoreCivic has delivered a strong multi year share price run, yet the recent pullback and fresh earnings news put a sharper spotlight on whether the current market value lines up with what the business earns. With the sto
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Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +12.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CXW today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CXW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, CoreCivic Inc. (CXW) ranks #672 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #365 by equity capitalization ($3.07B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NHI leads on earnings valuation at 23.1x trailing P/E, while NHI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.3% ROIC and — gross margin. DRH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with CXW at 56/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CXW
ACTIVE
CoreCivic Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | — | — | — | +1.47% | $3.07B | Benchmark Subject |
| DRH Diamondrock Hospitality Company | C+ | 67/100 | 29.2x | — | 7.0% | +1.40% | $2.96B | /drh-vs-cxw → |
| NHI National Health Investors Inc. | D | 48/100 | 23.1x | — | 9.3% | +1.93% | $3.29B | /nhi-vs-cxw → |
| BNL Broadstone Net Lease Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | 34.6x | — | 2.3% | +3.20% | $3.34B | /bnl-vs-cxw → |
| DX Dynex Capital Inc. | D+ | 55/100 | — | — | 0.0% | +0.55% | $2.83B | /dx-vs-cxw → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), CoreCivic Inc. (CXW) reported GAAP revenue of $2.21B (+12.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.96B , and +16.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $194.6M, and free cash flow of $194.6M (-27.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, CXW closed FY2025 with $3.26B in total assets against $1.21B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $2.21B | $0 | $194.6M | $194.6M | $3.26B | $1.21B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.96B | $0 | $269.2M | $269.2M | $2.93B | $973.1M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.90B | $0 | $231.9M | $231.9M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, CoreCivic Inc. (NYSE: CXW) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $31.08 (+1.47% 1D, market cap $3.07B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CXW ranks #672 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), CXW carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, DRH (Diamondrock Hospitality Company) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 29.2x, ROIC 7.0%, cap $2.96B) and NHI (National Health Investors Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 23.1x, ROIC 9.3%, cap $3.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NHI leads on earnings multiple (23.1x) while NHI leads on capital efficiency (9.3% ROIC).
Per CXW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001070985), CoreCivic Inc. generated $2.21B in revenue (+12.7% YoY), $0 in net income, and $194.6M in free cash flow against $3.26B in total assets and $1.21B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
CXW last traded at $31.08 (+1.47% on volume of 1,628,004 shares), positioning the stock -5.01% below its 50-day simple moving average ($32.72) and +20.75% above its 200-day simple moving average ($25.74). Across its 52-week range of $15.74 to $36.55, CXW sits at the 73.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.2% ($27.91 to $34.25).
Why CXW Stock advanced +1.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.