CoreCivic Inc. (CXW) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$31.08 +1.47% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

CoreCivic Inc. (CXW) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.07B
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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (9)SEC (10)Macro (12)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target
$38 Bull$31 Base$24 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CXW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.2%
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How CXW Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$194.6M (8.8% FCF Margin)
Revenue$2.21BGross Profit $1.15B (52%)Cost of Sales $1.06BOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $1.15BNet Profit$0 (0%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $1.90B
FY24
Rev $1.96B
FY25
Rev $2.21B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$2.21B52%0%$0$194.6M15%
FY 2024$1.96B52%0%$0$269.2M15%
FY 2023$1.90B52%0%$0$231.9M15%
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CXW)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CXW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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CXW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +51.91%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $30.90H $31.38L $30.16C $31.08VOL 1.28M
RES: $38.36SUP: $28.09SMA50: $32.72SMA200: $25.74
$37.76$32.74$27.72$22.70$17.68RES $38.36SUP $28.09$31.082026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CXW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +12.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CXW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CXW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CXW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CXW)

Financials Rank #672 of 1096 ⚔️ DRH vs CXW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CXW vs. DRH, NHI, BNL, DX)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, CoreCivic Inc. (CXW) ranks #672 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #365 by equity capitalization ($3.07B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NHI leads on earnings valuation at 23.1x trailing P/E, while NHI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.3% ROIC and — gross margin. DRH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with CXW at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CXW ACTIVE
CoreCivic Inc.
D+ 56/100 — — — +1.47% $3.07B Benchmark Subject
DRH
Diamondrock Hospitality Company
C+ 67/100 29.2x — 7.0% +1.40% $2.96B /drh-vs-cxw →
NHI
National Health Investors Inc.
D 48/100 23.1x — 9.3% +1.93% $3.29B /nhi-vs-cxw →
BNL
Broadstone Net Lease Inc.
D+ 56/100 34.6x — 2.3% +3.20% $3.34B /bnl-vs-cxw →
DX
Dynex Capital Inc.
D+ 55/100 — — 0.0% +0.55% $2.83B /dx-vs-cxw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001070985

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), CoreCivic Inc. (CXW) reported GAAP revenue of $2.21B (+12.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.96B , and +16.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $194.6M, and free cash flow of $194.6M (-27.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, CXW closed FY2025 with $3.26B in total assets against $1.21B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.21B $0 $194.6M $194.6M $3.26B $1.21B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.96B $0 $269.2M $269.2M $2.93B $973.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.90B $0 $231.9M $231.9M — —

3. CXW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CXW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, CoreCivic Inc. (NYSE: CXW) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $31.08 (+1.47% 1D, market cap $3.07B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CXW ranks #672 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CXW compare to DRH and NHI in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), CXW carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, DRH (Diamondrock Hospitality Company) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 29.2x, ROIC 7.0%, cap $2.96B) and NHI (National Health Investors Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 23.1x, ROIC 9.3%, cap $3.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NHI leads on earnings multiple (23.1x) while NHI leads on capital efficiency (9.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CXW?

Per CXW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001070985), CoreCivic Inc. generated $2.21B in revenue (+12.7% YoY), $0 in net income, and $194.6M in free cash flow against $3.26B in total assets and $1.21B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CXW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CXW last traded at $31.08 (+1.47% on volume of 1,628,004 shares), positioning the stock -5.01% below its 50-day simple moving average ($32.72) and +20.75% above its 200-day simple moving average ($25.74). Across its 52-week range of $15.74 to $36.55, CXW sits at the 73.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.2% ($27.91 to $34.25).

CXW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

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How profitable is CoreCivic Inc. (CXW)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), CXW converted $2.2B of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $194.6M in free cash flow (8.8% FCF margin).

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