Consolidated Water Co. Ltd. (CWCO) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$26.76 -0.89% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $26.78

Consolidated Water Co. Ltd. (CWCO) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 80/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (37% profit margin, 15% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $428.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $26.78 (+0.08%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 25.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 80/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 9% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.3% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+
025507510080
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk A
Cash (17)Whales (10)SEC (18)Macro (18)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9.9% Base Target
$41 Bull$29 Base$22 Bear
📬 FREE CWCO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CWCO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (80/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CWCO SCORES 80/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 10.37 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 36.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
88
Grade A$30.58-7.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
85
Grade A$28.24-1.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
83
Grade A$27.79-3.7% Next Q
Current
80
Grade B+$26.76+8.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: A (88) → B+ (80)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CWCO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 80/100 (B+) score, CWCO faces multiple-compression risk if 23.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 34.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($28.71) or 200D SMA ($31.57) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($29.41) toward Bear Floor ($21.94).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CWCO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CWCO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±6.9%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (CWCO)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for CWCO.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating CWCO & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on CWCO
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CWCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -16.51%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $26.78H $27.25L $26.60C $26.76VOL 129.8K
RES: $33.76SUP: $26.66SMA50: $28.71SMA200: $31.57
$34.97$32.70$30.43$28.16$25.90RES $33.76SUP $26.66$26.762026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CWCO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
17.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CWCO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CWCO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CWCO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CWCO)

Utilities Rank #3 of 117 ⚔️ CDZI vs CWCO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (CWCO vs. CDZI, YORW, ARTNA, PCYO)

Industry: Water Supply (13 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Consolidated Water Co. Ltd. (CWCO) ranks #3 by composite RQD confidence (80/100, grade B+) and #91 by equity capitalization ($428.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARTNA leads on earnings valuation at 15.2x trailing P/E, while CWCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.8% ROIC and 36.6% gross margin. CWCO currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 80/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CWCO ACTIVE
Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.
B+ 80/100 23.4x 36.6% 14.8% -0.89% $428.5M Benchmark Subject
CDZI
CADIZ Inc.
E 34/100 — 31.6% -23.1% -0.21% $398.8M /cdzi-vs-cwco →
YORW
York Water Company
C+ 67/100 25.1x — 4.7% -0.61% $504.2M /yorw-vs-cwco →
ARTNA
Artesian Resources Corporation (Class A)
D+ 52/100 15.2x — 5.2% -0.86% $346.0M /artna-vs-cwco →
PCYO
Pure Cycle Corporation
B+ 76/100 19.5x 61.4% 4.4% -0.56% $255.2M /pcyo-vs-cwco →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000928340

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Consolidated Water Co. Ltd. (CWCO) reported GAAP revenue of $132.1M (-1.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $134.0M , and -26.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $18.3M, operating cash flow of $41.7M, and free cash flow of $33.2M (+11.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, CWCO closed FY2025 with $257.6M in total assets against $26.0K in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 10.37, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $132.1M $18.3M $41.7M $33.2M $257.6M $26.0K
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $134.0M $28.2M $36.5M $29.8M $243.3M $70.3K
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $180.2M $29.6M $8.0M $8.0M — —

3. CWCO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CWCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Consolidated Water Co. Ltd. (NASDAQ: CWCO) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 80/100 at a spot price of $26.76 (-0.89% 1D, market cap $428.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, CWCO ranks #3 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CWCO compare to CDZI and YORW in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Water Supply), CWCO carries a Roarable B+ (80/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.4x, gross margin of 36.6%, and ROIC of 14.8%. By comparison, CDZI (CADIZ Inc.) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -23.1%, cap $398.8M) and YORW (York Water Company) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 25.1x, ROIC 4.7%, cap $504.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARTNA leads on earnings multiple (15.2x) while CWCO leads on capital efficiency (14.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CWCO?

Per CWCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000928340), Consolidated Water Co. Ltd. generated $132.1M in revenue (-1.4% YoY), $18.3M in net income, and $33.2M in free cash flow against $257.6M in total assets and $26.0K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (37% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CWCO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CWCO last traded at $26.76 (-0.89% on volume of 115,157 shares), positioning the stock -6.79% below its 50-day simple moving average ($28.71) and -15.24% below its 200-day simple moving average ($31.57). Across its 52-week range of $26.60 to $39.12, CWCO sits at the 1.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($24.91 to $28.61).

CWCO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is CWCO's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for CWCO.

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