Stock Ratings / Energy / CVI / financials

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CVR Energy Inc. (CVI) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$56.82 -0.44% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $56.67

CVR Energy Inc. (CVI) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $5.71B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $56.67 (-0.27%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CVI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CVI SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2% FCF Margin ($144.0M FCF) & 4.8% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$58.02+5.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$61.42-5.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$58.16-2.3% Next Q

Current

Grade C$56.82+0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (71) → C (63)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CVI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, CVI faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($52.31) or 200D SMA ($35.70) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($58.10) toward Bear Floor ($45.32).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CVI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CVI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How CVI Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$144.0M (2% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $9.25B

FY24

Rev $7.61B

FY25

Rev $7.16B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$7.16B	4.8%	2.5%	$27.0M	$144.0M	65.7%
FY 2024	$7.61B	2.7%	0.8%	$7.0M	$404.0M	95%
FY 2023	$9.25B	8%	12.1%	$769.0M	$948.0M	50.3%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CVI)

✓Walkthrough of CVI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CVI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +71.45%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $55.54H $58.85L $55.54C $56.82VOL 621.8K

RES: $67.04SUP: $36.71SMA50: $52.31SMA200: $35.70

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CVI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CVI Butterfly Map → + Track CVI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

27.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CVI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CVI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CVI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CVI)

Energy Rank #78 of 211 ⚔️ DK vs CVI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (CVI vs. DK, CLMT, IEP, PBF)

Industry: Integrated oil Companies (15 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, CVR Energy Inc. (CVI) ranks #78 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #78 by equity capitalization ($5.71B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CVI leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CVI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 50.3% ROIC and 4.8% gross margin. CVI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CVI ACTIVE CVR Energy Inc.	C	63/100	—	4.8%	50.3%	-0.44%	$5.71B	Benchmark Subject
DK Delek US Holdings Inc.	D+	54/100	—	5.7%	3.9%	+1.14%	$4.35B	/dk-vs-cvi →
CLMT Calumet Inc.	D+	53/100	—	5.9%	7.0%	-2.74%	$4.27B	/clmt-vs-cvi →
IEP Icahn Enterprises L.P.	E	34/100	—	—	-8.7%	-1.13%	$3.73B	/iep-vs-cvi →
PBF PBF Energy Inc.	D	45/100	—	—	-0.6%	+3.08%	$8.95B	/pbf-vs-cvi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001376139

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), CVR Energy Inc. (CVI) reported GAAP revenue of $7.16B (-5.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.61B , and -22.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $27.0M, operating cash flow of $144.0M, and free cash flow of $144.0M (-64.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, CVI closed FY2025 with $3.71B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$7.16B	$27.0M	$144.0M	$144.0M	$3.71B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$7.61B	$7.0M	$404.0M	$404.0M	$4.26B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$9.25B	$769.0M	$948.0M	$948.0M	—	—

3. CVI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CVI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, CVR Energy Inc. (NYSE: CVI) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $56.82 (-0.44% 1D, market cap $5.71B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CVI ranks #78 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CVI compare to DK and CLMT in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Integrated oil Companies), CVI carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 4.8%, and ROIC of 50.3%. By comparison, DK (Delek US Holdings Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.9%, cap $4.35B) and CLMT (Calumet Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 7.0%, cap $4.27B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CVI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CVI leads on capital efficiency (50.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CVI?

Per CVI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001376139), CVR Energy Inc. generated $7.16B in revenue (-5.9% YoY), $27.0M in net income, and $144.0M in free cash flow against $3.71B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (5% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CVI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CVI last traded at $56.82 (-0.44% on volume of 564,157 shares), positioning the stock +8.62% above its 50-day simple moving average ($52.31) and +59.16% above its 200-day simple moving average ($35.70). Across its 52-week range of $19.62 to $63.51, CVI sits at the 84.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.7% ($50.17 to $63.47).