Stock Ratings / Technology / CTW / options

MRLN (31) TCX (42) WQEY (50) QMLS (52) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

CTW (Class A) (CTW) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$1.81 +2.26% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.81

CTW (Class A) (CTW) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $110.7M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CTW Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CTW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, CTW (Class A) (NASDAQ: CTW) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $1.81 (+2.26% 1D, market cap $110.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, CTW ranks #360 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CTW compare to MRLN and TCX in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), CTW carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 28.9x, gross margin of 75.6%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, MRLN (Merlin Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E 17.7x, ROIC -35.0%, cap $106.1M) and TCX (Tucows Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $116.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MRLN leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while MRLN leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CTW?

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Per CTW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-07-31, CIK 0002047148), CTW (Class A) generated $90.4M in revenue (+32.1% YoY), $3.8M in net income, and -$473.3K in free cash flow against $0 in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.81 (+0.22%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CTW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CTW SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 75.6% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 13 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$2.30-18.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$1.87-6.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$1.75+3.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D$1.81-1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (58) → D (50)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CTW Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CTW currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.18) and Max Pain ($1.90) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.30.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CTW• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CTW Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±12.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (CTW)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for CTW.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CTW)

✓Walkthrough of CTW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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CTW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -32.21%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $1.64H $1.99L $1.58C $1.81VOL 30.3K

RES: $2.47SUP: $1.47SMA50: $2.18SMA200: $2.22

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CTW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CTW Butterfly Map → + Track CTW →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

22.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +32.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CTW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CTW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CTW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CTW)

Technology Rank #360 of 714 ⚔️ MRLN vs CTW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (CTW vs. MRLN, TCX, WQEY, QMLS)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, CTW (Class A) (CTW) ranks #360 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #514 by equity capitalization ($110.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MRLN leads on earnings valuation at 17.7x trailing P/E, while MRLN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. QMLS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 52/100 (D+) compared with CTW at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CTW ACTIVE CTW (Class A)	D	50/100	28.9x	75.6%	—	+2.26%	$110.7M	Benchmark Subject
MRLN Merlin Inc.	E	31/100	17.7x	—	-35.0%	-10.31%	$106.1M	/mrln-vs-ctw →
TCX Tucows Inc. (Class A)	D-	42/100	—	24.1%	-35.0%	+5.37%	$116.6M	/tcx-vs-ctw →
WQEY WISeQey Corp	D	50/100	—	—	—	-4.92%	$96.9M	/wqey-vs-ctw →
QMLS QumulusAI Inc.	D+	52/100	—	—	—	-8.03%	$127.1M	/qmls-vs-ctw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-07-31 • CIK 0002047148

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-07-31), CTW (Class A) (CTW) reported GAAP revenue of $90.4M (+32.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $68.4M , and +43.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $3.8M, operating cash flow of $111.4K, and free cash flow of -$473.3K (-154.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, CTW closed FY2025 with $0 in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-07-31	$90.4M	$3.8M	$111.4K	-$473.3K	—	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-07-31	$68.4M	$6.0M	$1.6M	$877.2K	—	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-07-31	$62.9M	$3.4M	$2.6M	$2.6M	—	—

3. CTW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CTW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does CTW compare to MRLN and TCX in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CTW?

Where is CTW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CTW last traded at $1.81 (+2.26% on volume of 30,252 shares), positioning the stock -16.97% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.18) and -18.47% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.22). Across its 52-week range of $1.10 to $3.14, CTW sits at the 34.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.58 to $2.04).