AIAI Holdings Corporation (Class A) (AIAI) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1.23 -6.11% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.21

AIAI Holdings Corporation (Class A) (AIAI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 32/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $92.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AIAI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, AIAI Holdings Corporation (Class A) (NASDAQ: AIAI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $1.23 (-6.11% 1D, market cap $92.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, AIAI ranks #581 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AIAI compare to MWC and WQEY in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), AIAI carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -14.2%. By comparison, MWC (Micware Co. Ltd.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 9.1x, ROIC —, cap $93.8M) and WQEY (WISeQey Corp) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $96.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MWC leads on earnings multiple (9.1x) while AIAI leads on capital efficiency (-14.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AIAI?
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Per AIAI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002096362), AIAI Holdings Corporation (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, -$3.9M in net income, and -$2.5M in free cash flow against $94.7M in total assets and $22.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.21 (-1.29%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510032
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (7)Whales (6)SEC (10)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.4% Base Target
$21 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE AIAI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AIAI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (32/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AIAI SCORES 32/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
40
Grade D$3.18-15.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
37
Grade E$2.68-31.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
35
Grade E$1.84-33.2% Next Q
Current
32
Grade E$1.23-9.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (40) → E (32)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AIAI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AIAI currently carries a cautious 32/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.27) and Max Pain ($1.29) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $20.55.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AIAI• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AIAI Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)
20.730 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
2 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE
L: $1$1.23H: $20
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 9 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on AIAI

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (35)

-14.2% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -2.68% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 2/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (25)

9/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like AIAI
  • ✓Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AIAI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of AIAI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AIAI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -91.85%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $1.38H $1.38L $1.20C $1.23VOL 453.6K
RES: $2.66SUP: $-6.67SMA50: $3.27SMA200: $7.51
$20.86$15.52$10.18$4.83$-0.51RES $2.66SUP $-6.67$1.232026-05-142026-06-262026-08-072026-09-182026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AIAI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AIAI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AIAI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AIAI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AIAI)

Technology Rank #581 of 714 ⚔️ MWC vs AIAI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (AIAI vs. MWC, WQEY, DAVA, WSTN)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AIAI Holdings Corporation (Class A) (AIAI) ranks #581 by composite RQD confidence (32/100, grade E) and #521 by equity capitalization ($92.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MWC leads on earnings valuation at 9.1x trailing P/E, while AIAI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -14.2% ROIC and — gross margin. MWC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with AIAI at 32/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AIAI ACTIVE
AIAI Holdings Corporation (Class A)
E 32/100 — — -14.2% -6.11% $92.8M Benchmark Subject
MWC
Micware Co. Ltd.
B 72/100 9.1x 36.8% — -1.96% $93.8M /mwc-vs-aiai →
WQEY
WISeQey Corp
D 50/100 — — — -4.92% $96.9M /wqey-vs-aiai →
DAVA
Endava plc (each representing one Class A Ordinary Share)
D 47/100 — — — +0.65% $84.2M /dava-vs-aiai →
WSTN
Westin Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
D+ 57/100 — — — +0.39% $82.2M /wstn-vs-aiai →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002096362

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AIAI Holdings Corporation (Class A) (AIAI) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of -$3.9M, operating cash flow of -$2.5M, and free cash flow of -$2.5M . On the balance sheet, AIAI closed FY2025 with $94.7M in total assets against $22.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$3.9M -$2.5M -$2.5M $94.7M $22.3M

3. AIAI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AIAI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, AIAI Holdings Corporation (Class A) (NASDAQ: AIAI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $1.23 (-6.11% 1D, market cap $92.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, AIAI ranks #581 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AIAI compare to MWC and WQEY in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), AIAI carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -14.2%. By comparison, MWC (Micware Co. Ltd.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 9.1x, ROIC —, cap $93.8M) and WQEY (WISeQey Corp) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $96.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MWC leads on earnings multiple (9.1x) while AIAI leads on capital efficiency (-14.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AIAI?

Per AIAI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002096362), AIAI Holdings Corporation (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, -$3.9M in net income, and -$2.5M in free cash flow against $94.7M in total assets and $22.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AIAI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AIAI last traded at $1.23 (-6.11% on volume of 453,697 shares), positioning the stock -62.39% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.27) and -83.62% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.51). Across its 52-week range of $1.15 to $19.57, AIAI sits at the 0.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 20.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.08 to $1.38).

AIAI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell AIAI stock right now?

AIAI Holdings Corporation (Class A) (AIAI) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell — SELL) with 32/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-14% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is AIAI's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

AIAI's 12-month base price target is $1.09 (range $0.85 to $20.55), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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