Stock Ratings / Financials / CRVL / earnings

ARX (53) NP (58) BWIN (46) HGTY (71) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

CorVel Corp. (CRVL) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.4% Move

$82.19 +0.75% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $82.14

CorVel Corp. (CRVL) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.15B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CRVL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CRVL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, CorVel Corp. (NASDAQ: CRVL) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $82.19 (+0.75% 1D, market cap $4.15B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CRVL ranks #344 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CRVL compare to ARX and NP in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Specialty Insurers), CRVL carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 37.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 29.4%. By comparison, ARX (Accelerant Holdings (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $4.30B) and NP (Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 106.4x, ROIC 28.2%, cap $3.98B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HGTY leads on earnings multiple (37.5x) while HGTY leads on capital efficiency (67.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CRVL?

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Per CRVL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0000874866), CorVel Corp. generated $958.5M in revenue (+7.0% YoY), $110.3M in net income, and $110.3M in free cash flow against $644.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $82.15 (-0.05%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 11.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CRVL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CRVL SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 11.5% FCF Margin ($110.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$77.16+3.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$79.69+5.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$83.87-2% Next Q

Current

Grade C$82.19+1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (56) → C (64)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CRVL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, CRVL faces multiple-compression risk if 37.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($74.71) or 200D SMA ($62.48) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($84.41) toward Bear Floor ($65.84).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CRVL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CRVL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 64%NO 36%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 29, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.4% Swing Band

±$4.44 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

CRVL Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 64/100

Trailing EPS: $2.18 • YoY Revenue Growth: 7%

Model Bullish Setup (64/100)Model Risk Weight (36/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2026-03-31	$958.5M	$110.3M	$110.3M	52%
FY 2024	2025-03-31	$895.6M	$95.2M	$91.6M	52%
FY 2023	2024-03-31	$795.3M	$76.3M	$99.2M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating CRVL & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on CRVL
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CRVL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +43.04%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $83.00H $83.61L $81.71C $82.19VOL 114.8K

RES: $86.24SUP: $62.49SMA50: $74.71SMA200: $62.48

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CRVL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CRVL Butterfly Map → + Track CRVL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

28.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CRVL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CRVL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CRVL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CRVL)

Financials Rank #344 of 1096 ⚔️ ARX vs CRVL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CRVL vs. ARX, NP, BWIN, HGTY)

Industry: Specialty Insurers (33 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, CorVel Corp. (CRVL) ranks #344 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #309 by equity capitalization ($4.15B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HGTY leads on earnings valuation at 37.5x trailing P/E, while HGTY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 67.4% ROIC and — gross margin. HGTY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with CRVL at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CRVL ACTIVE CorVel Corp.	C	64/100	37.6x	—	29.4%	+0.75%	$4.15B	Benchmark Subject
ARX Accelerant Holdings (Class A)	D+	53/100	—	—	—	+0.05%	$4.30B	/arx-vs-crvl →
NP Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A)	D+	58/100	106.4x	—	28.2%	-2.27%	$3.98B	/np-vs-crvl →
BWIN The Baldwin Insurance Group Inc.	D	46/100	—	—	3.6%	-0.38%	$4.44B	/bwin-vs-crvl →
HGTY Hagerty Inc. (Class A)	B-	71/100	37.5x	—	67.4%	+0.13%	$5.60B	/hgty-vs-crvl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0000874866

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), CorVel Corp. (CRVL) reported GAAP revenue of $958.5M (+7.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $895.6M , and +20.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $110.3M, operating cash flow of $155.6M, and free cash flow of $110.3M (+20.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, CRVL closed FY2025 with $644.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-03-31	$958.5M	$110.3M	$155.6M	$110.3M	$644.8M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-03-31	$895.6M	$95.2M	$127.3M	$91.6M	$538.8M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-03-31	$795.3M	$76.3M	$99.2M	$99.2M	—	—

3. CRVL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CRVL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does CRVL compare to ARX and NP in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CRVL?

Where is CRVL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CRVL last traded at $82.19 (+0.75% on volume of 125,623 shares), positioning the stock +10.01% above its 50-day simple moving average ($74.71) and +31.55% above its 200-day simple moving average ($62.48). Across its 52-week range of $44.83 to $85.15, CRVL sits at the 92.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.4% ($77.75 to $86.63).

CRVL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is CRVL's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, CorVel Corp. (CRVL)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 29, 2026.

How much is CRVL stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.4% event move for CRVL, spanning a range between $77.75 and $86.63.

Direct Sub-Reports: CRVL RQD Cockpit CRVL 12M Forecast CRVL Earnings & Move CRVL Dividends & DRIP CRVL Insiders & 13F CRVL Whale Options CRVL Profit Sankey CRVL News & Why