MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why CPK Stock advanced +1.39% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$135.56 +1.39% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $135.64
Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $3.27B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $135.64 (+0.06%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CPK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CPK SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (26% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (26% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 76% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 65 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 27.5% operating margin leave 13 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$127.75+3.5% Next Q
50
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$132.18+1.6% Next Q
53
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$134.28+1% Next Q
55
CurrentGrade D+$135.56+0% Hist 90D α
58
Trajectory: C- (50) → D+ (58)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CPK Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, CPK faces multiple-compression risk if 23.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($130.93) or 200D SMA ($129.20) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($135.56) toward Bear Floor ($105.74).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CPK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CPK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why CPK Stock advanced +1.39% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) advanced +1.39% to $135.56, trading at 76% of its 52-week range ($118.88 – $140.83). Stretched risk/reward at 23x P/E (7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 76% of its 52-week range ($118.88 – $140.83) with RSI-14 at 65 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±3.8% around $135.56 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live CPK Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CPK)
- ✓Walkthrough of CPK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CPK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.48%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $137.0H $137.4L $135.6C $135.6VOL 177.5K
RES: $144.7SUP: $121.4SMA50: $130.9SMA200: $129.2
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
CPK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
17.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +18.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CPK today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CPK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CPK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CPK)
Energy Rank #107 of 211
⚔️ SDRL vs CPK Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (CPK vs. SDRL, TALO, NOG, GPOR)
Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) ranks #107 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #104 by equity capitalization ($3.27B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GPOR leads on earnings valuation at 6.8x trailing P/E, while GPOR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.1% ROIC and 74.8% gross margin. GPOR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with CPK at 58/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPK
ACTIVE
Chesapeake Utilities Corporation | D+ | 58/100 | 23.3x | — | 6.9% | +1.39% | $3.27B | Benchmark Subject |
| SDRL Seadrill Limited | D- | 42/100 | — | — | 1.2% | -1.30% | $3.24B | /sdrl-vs-cpk → |
| TALO Talos Energy Inc. | C- | 59/100 | — | — | -14.6% | -2.20% | $2.97B | /talo-vs-cpk → |
| NOG Northern Oil and Gas Inc. | D | 49/100 | 76.4x | 80.9% | 9.2% | -1.00% | $2.96B | /nog-vs-cpk → |
| GPOR Gulfport Energy Corporation | B | 74/100 | 6.8x | 74.8% | 18.1% | -0.42% | $2.92B | /gpor-vs-cpk → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000019745In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) reported GAAP revenue of $930.0M (+18.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $787.2M , and +38.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $140.3M, operating cash flow of $233.7M, and free cash flow of -$214.9M (-85.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, CPK closed FY2025 with $3.99B in total assets against $1.33B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $930.0M | $140.3M | $233.7M | -$214.9M | $3.99B | $1.33B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $787.2M | $118.6M | $239.4M | -$115.9M | $3.58B | $1.26B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $670.6M | $87.2M | $203.5M | $203.5M | — | — |
3. CPK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CPK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (NYSE: CPK) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $135.56 (+1.39% 1D, market cap $3.27B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CPK ranks #107 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CPK compare to SDRL and TALO in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), CPK carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, SDRL (Seadrill Limited) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.2%, cap $3.24B) and TALO (Talos Energy Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.6%, cap $2.97B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GPOR leads on earnings multiple (6.8x) while GPOR leads on capital efficiency (18.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CPK?
Per CPK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000019745), Chesapeake Utilities Corporation generated $930.0M in revenue (+18.1% YoY), $140.3M in net income, and -$214.9M in free cash flow against $3.99B in total assets and $1.33B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CPK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CPK last traded at $135.56 (+1.39% on volume of 110,567 shares), positioning the stock +3.54% above its 50-day simple moving average ($130.93) and +4.92% above its 200-day simple moving average ($129.20). Across its 52-week range of $118.88 to $140.83, CPK sits at the 76.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.8% ($130.41 to $140.71).
CPK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CPK stock moving today?
Why CPK Stock advanced +1.39% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 23x P/E (7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.