Stock Ratings / Energy / CPK / financials

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Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$135.56 +1.39% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $135.64

Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.27B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $135.64 (+0.06%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CPK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CPK SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 76% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 65 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 27.5% operating margin leave 13 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$127.75+3.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$132.18+1.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$134.28+1% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$135.56+0% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (50) → D+ (58)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CPK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, CPK faces multiple-compression risk if 23.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($130.93) or 200D SMA ($129.20) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($135.56) toward Bear Floor ($105.74).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CPK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CPK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How CPK Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $670.6M

FY24

Rev $787.2M

FY25

Rev $930.0M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$930.0M	52%	27.5%	$140.3M	-$214.9M	6.9%
FY 2024	$787.2M	52%	29%	$118.6M	-$115.9M	6.8%
FY 2023	$670.6M	52%	22.5%	$87.2M	$203.5M	6.9%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CPK)

✓Walkthrough of CPK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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CPK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.48%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $137.0H $137.4L $135.6C $135.6VOL 177.5K

RES: $144.7SUP: $121.4SMA50: $130.9SMA200: $129.2

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CPK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CPK Butterfly Map → + Track CPK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

17.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +18.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CPK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CPK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CPK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CPK)

Energy Rank #107 of 211 ⚔️ SDRL vs CPK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (CPK vs. SDRL, TALO, NOG, GPOR)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) ranks #107 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #104 by equity capitalization ($3.27B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GPOR leads on earnings valuation at 6.8x trailing P/E, while GPOR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.1% ROIC and 74.8% gross margin. GPOR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with CPK at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CPK ACTIVE Chesapeake Utilities Corporation	D+	58/100	23.3x	—	6.9%	+1.39%	$3.27B	Benchmark Subject
SDRL Seadrill Limited	D-	42/100	—	—	1.2%	-1.30%	$3.24B	/sdrl-vs-cpk →
TALO Talos Energy Inc.	C-	59/100	—	—	-14.6%	-2.20%	$2.97B	/talo-vs-cpk →
NOG Northern Oil and Gas Inc.	D	49/100	76.4x	80.9%	9.2%	-1.00%	$2.96B	/nog-vs-cpk →
GPOR Gulfport Energy Corporation	B	74/100	6.8x	74.8%	18.1%	-0.42%	$2.92B	/gpor-vs-cpk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000019745

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) reported GAAP revenue of $930.0M (+18.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $787.2M , and +38.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $140.3M, operating cash flow of $233.7M, and free cash flow of -$214.9M (-85.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, CPK closed FY2025 with $3.99B in total assets against $1.33B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$930.0M	$140.3M	$233.7M	-$214.9M	$3.99B	$1.33B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$787.2M	$118.6M	$239.4M	-$115.9M	$3.58B	$1.26B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$670.6M	$87.2M	$203.5M	$203.5M	—	—

3. CPK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CPK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (NYSE: CPK) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $135.56 (+1.39% 1D, market cap $3.27B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CPK ranks #107 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CPK compare to SDRL and TALO in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), CPK carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, SDRL (Seadrill Limited) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.2%, cap $3.24B) and TALO (Talos Energy Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.6%, cap $2.97B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GPOR leads on earnings multiple (6.8x) while GPOR leads on capital efficiency (18.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CPK?

Per CPK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000019745), Chesapeake Utilities Corporation generated $930.0M in revenue (+18.1% YoY), $140.3M in net income, and -$214.9M in free cash flow against $3.99B in total assets and $1.33B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CPK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CPK last traded at $135.56 (+1.39% on volume of 110,567 shares), positioning the stock +3.54% above its 50-day simple moving average ($130.93) and +4.92% above its 200-day simple moving average ($129.20). Across its 52-week range of $118.88 to $140.83, CPK sits at the 76.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.8% ($130.41 to $140.71).

CPK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), CPK converted $930.0M of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 27.5% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: CPK RQD Cockpit CPK 12M Forecast CPK Earnings & Move CPK Dividends & DRIP CPK Insiders & 13F CPK Whale Options CPK Profit Sankey CPK News & Why