Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / CPHC / options

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Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' (CPHC) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$15.66 -0.38% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.62

Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' (CPHC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $81.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.62 (-0.26%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 0.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CPHC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±1.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CPHC SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.2% FCF Margin ($8.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$15.70+0.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$15.83-0.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$15.78-0.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$15.66+0% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (66) → D+ (58)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CPHC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, CPHC faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($15.79) or 200D SMA ($15.70) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($15.66) toward Bear Floor ($12.21).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CPHC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CPHC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±1.8%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (CPHC)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for CPHC.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CPHC)

✓Walkthrough of CPHC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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CPHC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.14%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $15.74H $15.74L $15.66C $15.66VOL 700

RES: $16.00SUP: $15.00SMA50: $15.79SMA200: $15.70

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CPHC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CPHC Butterfly Map → + Track CPHC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

27.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CPHC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CPHC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CPHC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CPHC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #453 of 1011 ⚔️ VENU vs CPHC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CPHC vs. VENU, GDHG, TP, GAME)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' (CPHC) ranks #453 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #772 by equity capitalization ($81.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CPHC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CPHC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.7% ROIC and — gross margin. TP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with CPHC at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CPHC ACTIVE Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New'	D+	58/100	—	—	2.7%	-0.38%	$81.2M	Benchmark Subject
VENU Venu Holding Corporation	E	34/100	—	—	-31.1%	+3.70%	$82.4M	/venu-vs-cphc →
GDHG Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (Class A)	D	47/100	—	50.2%	—	-3.51%	$72.0M	/gdhg-vs-cphc →
TP Ticketplus Ltd.	C-	60/100	—	—	—	0.00%	$103.1M	/tp-vs-cphc →
GAME GameSquare Holdings Inc.	E	34/100	—	43.4%	-35.0%	+1.17%	$47.9M	/game-vs-cphc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001672909

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' (CPHC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$529.4K, operating cash flow of $8.9M, and free cash flow of $8.9M (+37.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, CPHC closed FY2025 with $112.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	-$529.4K	$8.9M	$8.9M	$112.6M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$2.1M	$6.5M	$6.5M	$109.9M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$10.6M	$11.5M	$11.5M	—	—

3. CPHC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CPHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' (NASDAQ: CPHC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $15.66 (-0.38% 1D, market cap $81.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CPHC ranks #453 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CPHC compare to VENU and GDHG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), CPHC carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.7%. By comparison, VENU (Venu Holding Corporation) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -31.1%, cap $82.4M) and GDHG (Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (Class A)) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $72.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CPHC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CPHC leads on capital efficiency (2.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CPHC?

Per CPHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001672909), Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' generated $0 in revenue, -$529.4K in net income, and $8.9M in free cash flow against $112.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CPHC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CPHC last traded at $15.66 (-0.38% on volume of 1,460 shares), positioning the stock -0.82% below its 50-day simple moving average ($15.79) and -0.25% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.70). Across its 52-week range of $14.39 to $16.84, CPHC sits at the 51.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($15.38 to $15.94).

CPHC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is CPHC's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for CPHC.

Direct Sub-Reports: CPHC RQD Cockpit CPHC 12M Forecast CPHC Earnings & Move CPHC Dividends & DRIP CPHC Insiders & 13F CPHC Whale Options CPHC Profit Sankey CPHC News & Why