MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why CPHC Stock slipped -0.38% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$15.66 -0.38% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.62
Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' (CPHC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $81.2M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.62 (-0.26%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 0.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CPHC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±1.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CPHC SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (22% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.2% FCF Margin ($8.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B-$15.70+0.8% Next Q
66
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C+$15.83-0.3% Next Q
63
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$15.78-0.8% Next Q
61
CurrentGrade D+$15.66+0% Hist 90D α
58
Trajectory: B- (66) → D+ (58)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CPHC Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, CPHC faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($15.79) or 200D SMA ($15.70) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($15.66) toward Bear Floor ($12.21).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CPHC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CPHC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why CPHC Stock slipped -0.38% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' (CPHC) slipped -0.38% to $15.66, trading at 52% of its 52-week range ($14.39 – $16.84). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 52% of its 52-week range ($14.39 – $16.84) with RSI-14 at 48.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±1.8% around $15.66 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $8.9M annual free cash flow.
Live CPHC Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 6h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 9h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CPHC)
- ✓Walkthrough of CPHC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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CPHC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.14%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $15.74H $15.74L $15.66C $15.66VOL 700
RES: $16.00SUP: $15.00SMA50: $15.79SMA200: $15.70
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
CPHC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
27.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CPHC today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CPHC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CPHC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CPHC)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #453 of 1011
⚔️ VENU vs CPHC Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CPHC vs. VENU, GDHG, TP, GAME)
Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' (CPHC) ranks #453 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #772 by equity capitalization ($81.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CPHC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CPHC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.7% ROIC and — gross margin. TP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with CPHC at 58/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPHC
ACTIVE
Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | 2.7% | -0.38% | $81.2M | Benchmark Subject |
| VENU Venu Holding Corporation | E | 34/100 | — | — | -31.1% | +3.70% | $82.4M | /venu-vs-cphc → |
| GDHG Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (Class A) | D | 47/100 | — | 50.2% | — | -3.51% | $72.0M | /gdhg-vs-cphc → |
| TP Ticketplus Ltd. | C- | 60/100 | — | — | — | 0.00% | $103.1M | /tp-vs-cphc → |
| GAME GameSquare Holdings Inc. | E | 34/100 | — | 43.4% | -35.0% | +1.17% | $47.9M | /game-vs-cphc → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001672909In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' (CPHC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$529.4K, operating cash flow of $8.9M, and free cash flow of $8.9M (+37.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, CPHC closed FY2025 with $112.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$529.4K | $8.9M | $8.9M | $112.6M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $2.1M | $6.5M | $6.5M | $109.9M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | $10.6M | $11.5M | $11.5M | — | — |
3. CPHC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CPHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' (NASDAQ: CPHC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $15.66 (-0.38% 1D, market cap $81.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CPHC ranks #453 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CPHC compare to VENU and GDHG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), CPHC carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.7%. By comparison, VENU (Venu Holding Corporation) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -31.1%, cap $82.4M) and GDHG (Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (Class A)) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $72.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CPHC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CPHC leads on capital efficiency (2.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CPHC?
Per CPHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001672909), Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' generated $0 in revenue, -$529.4K in net income, and $8.9M in free cash flow against $112.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CPHC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CPHC last traded at $15.66 (-0.38% on volume of 1,460 shares), positioning the stock -0.82% below its 50-day simple moving average ($15.79) and -0.25% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.70). Across its 52-week range of $14.39 to $16.84, CPHC sits at the 51.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($15.38 to $15.94).
CPHC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CPHC stock moving today?
Why CPHC Stock slipped -0.38% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.