MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Oil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war - ReutersOil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war Reuters
Why CNVS Stock slipped -1.99% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$1.48 -1.99% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.47
Cineverse Corp. (Class A) (CNVS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $39.4M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is CNVS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Cineverse Corp. (Class A) (NASDAQ: CNVS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $1.48 (-1.99% 1D, market cap $39.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CNVS ranks #859 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does CNVS compare to IQ and IZM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Consumer Electronics/Video Chains), CNVS carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -33.2%. By comparison, IQ (iQIYI Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.0%, cap $803.5M) and IZM (ICZOOM Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBY leads on earnings multiple (19.7x) while BBY leads on capital efficiency (26.2% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNVS?
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Per CNVS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001173204), Cineverse Corp. (Class A) generated $65.7M in revenue (-15.9% YoY), -$8.7M in net income, and -$26.5M in free cash flow against $68.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.47 (-0.55%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CNVS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CNVS SCORES 38/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (34% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 4% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 19 (OVERSOLD (<32))
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (24% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$1.91-15.7% Next Q
46
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$1.61-6.2% Next Q
43
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$1.51-2% Next Q
41
CurrentGrade D-$1.48-7.8% Hist 90D α
38
Trajectory: D (46) → D- (38)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CNVS Turnaround Squeeze
While CNVS currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.99) and Max Pain ($1.55) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.61.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CNVS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CNVS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why CNVS Stock slipped -1.99% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Cineverse Corp. (Class A) (CNVS) slipped -1.99% to $1.48, trading at 4% of its 52-week range ($1.4 – $3.44). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-33% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 4% of its 52-week range ($1.4 – $3.44) with RSI-14 at 19 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.48 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live CNVS Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Nine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say - ReutersNine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
MARKET WIRECNBC • 7h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 7h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 8h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CNVS)
- ✓Walkthrough of CNVS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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CNVS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -43.08%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $1.49H $1.52L $1.40C $1.48VOL 81.8K
RES: $2.37SUP: $1.36SMA50: $1.99SMA200: $2.41
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
CNVS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -15.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CNVS today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CNVS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CNVS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CNVS)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #859 of 1011
⚔️ IQ vs CNVS Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CNVS vs. IQ, IZM, BBY, THCH)
Industry: Consumer Electronics/Video Chains (4 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cineverse Corp. (Class A) (CNVS) ranks #859 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #838 by equity capitalization ($39.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BBY leads on earnings valuation at 19.7x trailing P/E, while BBY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 26.2% ROIC and 22.5% gross margin. BBY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with CNVS at 38/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNVS
ACTIVE
Cineverse Corp. (Class A) | D- | 38/100 | — | — | -33.2% | -1.99% | $39.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| IQ iQIYI Inc. | D- | 43/100 | — | 21.1% | 2.0% | -0.14% | $803.5M | /iq-vs-cnvs → |
| IZM ICZOOM Group Inc. (Class A) | C- | 60/100 | — | 3.3% | — | -3.06% | $1.8M | /izm-vs-cnvs → |
| BBY Best Buy Co. Inc. | B+ | 79/100 | 19.7x | 22.5% | 26.2% | +3.54% | $21.05B | /bby-vs-cnvs → |
| THCH TH International Limited | C- | 60/100 | — | — | — | +0.41% | $40.4M | /thch-vs-cnvs → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001173204In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Cineverse Corp. (Class A) (CNVS) reported GAAP revenue of $65.7M (-15.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $78.2M , and +33.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$8.7M, operating cash flow of -$26.5M, and free cash flow of -$26.5M (-252.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, CNVS closed FY2025 with $68.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-03-31 | $65.7M | -$8.7M | -$26.5M | -$26.5M | $68.6M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2025-03-31 | $78.2M | $3.8M | $17.4M | $17.4M | $80.5M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2024-03-31 | $49.1M | -$21.3M | -$10.6M | -$10.6M | — | — |
3. CNVS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CNVS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Cineverse Corp. (Class A) (NASDAQ: CNVS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $1.48 (-1.99% 1D, market cap $39.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CNVS ranks #859 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CNVS compare to IQ and IZM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Consumer Electronics/Video Chains), CNVS carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -33.2%. By comparison, IQ (iQIYI Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.0%, cap $803.5M) and IZM (ICZOOM Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBY leads on earnings multiple (19.7x) while BBY leads on capital efficiency (26.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNVS?
Per CNVS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001173204), Cineverse Corp. (Class A) generated $65.7M in revenue (-15.9% YoY), -$8.7M in net income, and -$26.5M in free cash flow against $68.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CNVS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CNVS last traded at $1.48 (-1.99% on volume of 63,190 shares), positioning the stock -25.63% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.99) and -38.59% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.41). Across its 52-week range of $1.40 to $3.44, CNVS sits at the 3.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 19.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.30 to $1.66).
CNVS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CNVS stock moving today?
Why CNVS Stock slipped -1.99% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-33% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.