Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / CNVS / forecast

IQ (43) IZM (60) BBY (79) THCH (60) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Cineverse Corp. (Class A) (CNVS) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Q: Is CNVS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Cineverse Corp. (Class A) (NASDAQ: CNVS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $1.48 (-1.99% 1D, market cap $39.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CNVS ranks #859 in composite RQD confidence.

Q: How does CNVS compare to IQ and IZM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Consumer Electronics/Video Chains), CNVS carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -33.2%. By comparison, IQ (iQIYI Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.0%, cap $803.5M) and IZM (ICZOOM Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBY leads on earnings multiple (19.7x) while BBY leads on capital efficiency (26.2% ROIC).

Q: What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNVS?

Per CNVS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001173204), Cineverse Corp. (Class A) generated $65.7M in revenue (-15.9% YoY), -$8.7M in net income, and -$26.5M in free cash flow against $68.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Q: Where is CNVS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CNVS last traded at $1.48 (-1.99% on volume of 63,190 shares), positioning the stock -25.63% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.99) and -38.59% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.41). Across its 52-week range of $1.40 to $3.44, CNVS sits at the 3.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 19.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.30 to $1.66).

Q: What is CNVS's 12-month stock price target?

Cineverse Corp. (Class A) (CNVS) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $1.35 (-8.8% from $1.48), with a bull-case target of $3.61 and a bear-case floor of $1.05.

Q: Is CNVS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates CNVS D- (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 38/100.

$1.48 -1.99% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.47

Cineverse Corp. (Class A) (CNVS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $39.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.47 (-0.55%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CNVS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CNVS SCORES 38/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (34% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 4% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 19 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$1.91-15.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$1.61-6.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$1.51-2% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$1.48-7.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (46) → D- (38)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CNVS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CNVS currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.99) and Max Pain ($1.55) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.61.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CNVS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CNVS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 38%NO 62%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your CNVS Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.48: 6756.8 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $1.05

$7,095

$-2,905 (-29.1%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $1.35

$9,122

$-878 (-8.8%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $3.61

$24,392

+$14,392 (+143.9%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$1	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$3	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$1	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CNVS)

✓Walkthrough of CNVS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CNVS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -43.08%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $1.49H $1.52L $1.40C $1.48VOL 81.8K

RES: $2.37SUP: $1.36SMA50: $1.99SMA200: $2.41

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CNVS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CNVS Butterfly Map → + Track CNVS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -15.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CNVS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CNVS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CNVS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CNVS)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #859 of 1011 ⚔️ IQ vs CNVS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CNVS vs. IQ, IZM, BBY, THCH)

Industry: Consumer Electronics/Video Chains (4 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cineverse Corp. (Class A) (CNVS) ranks #859 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #838 by equity capitalization ($39.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BBY leads on earnings valuation at 19.7x trailing P/E, while BBY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 26.2% ROIC and 22.5% gross margin. BBY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with CNVS at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CNVS ACTIVE Cineverse Corp. (Class A)	D-	38/100	—	—	-33.2%	-1.99%	$39.4M	Benchmark Subject
IQ iQIYI Inc.	D-	43/100	—	21.1%	2.0%	-0.14%	$803.5M	/iq-vs-cnvs →
IZM ICZOOM Group Inc. (Class A)	C-	60/100	—	3.3%	—	-3.06%	$1.8M	/izm-vs-cnvs →
BBY Best Buy Co. Inc.	B+	79/100	19.7x	22.5%	26.2%	+3.54%	$21.05B	/bby-vs-cnvs →
THCH TH International Limited	C-	60/100	—	—	—	+0.41%	$40.4M	/thch-vs-cnvs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001173204

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Cineverse Corp. (Class A) (CNVS) reported GAAP revenue of $65.7M (-15.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $78.2M , and +33.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$8.7M, operating cash flow of -$26.5M, and free cash flow of -$26.5M (-252.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, CNVS closed FY2025 with $68.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-03-31	$65.7M	-$8.7M	-$26.5M	-$26.5M	$68.6M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-03-31	$78.2M	$3.8M	$17.4M	$17.4M	$80.5M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-03-31	$49.1M	-$21.3M	-$10.6M	-$10.6M	—	—

3. CNVS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CNVS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Cineverse Corp. (Class A) (NASDAQ: CNVS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $1.48 (-1.99% 1D, market cap $39.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CNVS ranks #859 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CNVS compare to IQ and IZM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Consumer Electronics/Video Chains), CNVS carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -33.2%. By comparison, IQ (iQIYI Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.0%, cap $803.5M) and IZM (ICZOOM Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBY leads on earnings multiple (19.7x) while BBY leads on capital efficiency (26.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNVS?

Per CNVS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001173204), Cineverse Corp. (Class A) generated $65.7M in revenue (-15.9% YoY), -$8.7M in net income, and -$26.5M in free cash flow against $68.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CNVS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CNVS last traded at $1.48 (-1.99% on volume of 63,190 shares), positioning the stock -25.63% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.99) and -38.59% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.41). Across its 52-week range of $1.40 to $3.44, CNVS sits at the 3.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 19.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.30 to $1.66).

CNVS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is CNVS's 12-month stock price target?

Cineverse Corp. (Class A) (CNVS) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $1.35 (-8.8% from $1.48), with a bull-case target of $3.61 and a bear-case floor of $1.05.

Is CNVS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates CNVS D- (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 38/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: CNVS RQD Cockpit CNVS 12M Forecast CNVS Earnings & Move CNVS Dividends & DRIP CNVS Insiders & 13F CNVS Whale Options CNVS Profit Sankey CNVS News & Why