Community Bancorp. (CMTV) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$42.19 +1.71% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.42

Community Bancorp. (CMTV) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 15% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $236.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CMTV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Community Bancorp. (NASDAQ: CMTV) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $42.19 (+1.71% 1D, market cap $236.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CMTV ranks #139 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CMTV compare to INBK and OPBK in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), CMTV carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 14.9%. By comparison, INBK (First Internet Bancorp) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.8%, cap $238.2M) and OPBK (OP Bancorp) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 9.0x, ROIC 11.2%, cap $230.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OPBK leads on earnings multiple (9.0x) while CMTV leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CMTV?
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Per CMTV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000718413), Community Bancorp. generated $0 in revenue, $17.0M in net income, and $15.3M in free cash flow against $1.29B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.42 (+0.55%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510070
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B
Cash (12)Whales (11)SEC (13)Macro (17)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target
$52 Bull$44 Base$35 Bear
📬 FREE CMTV RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CMTV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CMTV SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 92% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 52.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
78
Grade A-$42.64-4.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
75
Grade B+$40.70+3.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
73
Grade B$42.17+0% Next Q
Current
70
Grade B-$42.19+6.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: A- (78) → B- (70)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CMTV Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, CMTV faces multiple-compression risk if 13.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($41.40) or 200D SMA ($37.98) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($44.47) toward Bear Floor ($34.60).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CMTV• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CMTV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±6%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (CMTV)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for CMTV.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating CMTV & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on CMTV
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CMTV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.55%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-11-02O $41.48H $42.19L $41.48C $42.19VOL 6.8K
RES: $44.03SUP: $40.64SMA50: $41.40SMA200: $37.98
$45.12$40.28$35.44$30.60$25.76RES $44.03SUP $40.64$42.192026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CMTV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
5.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CMTV today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CMTV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CMTV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CMTV)

Financials Rank #139 of 1096 ⚔️ INBK vs CMTV Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CMTV vs. INBK, OPBK, PEBK, MRBK)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Community Bancorp. (CMTV) ranks #139 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #859 by equity capitalization ($236.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OPBK leads on earnings valuation at 9.0x trailing P/E, while CMTV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.9% ROIC and — gross margin. CMTV currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CMTV ACTIVE
Community Bancorp.
B- 70/100 13.9x — 14.9% +1.71% $236.3M Benchmark Subject
INBK
First Internet Bancorp
D 49/100 — — -9.8% +2.29% $238.2M /inbk-vs-cmtv →
OPBK
OP Bancorp
C+ 66/100 9.0x — 11.2% +0.98% $230.6M /opbk-vs-cmtv →
PEBK
Peoples Bancorp of North Carolina Inc.
B- 70/100 12.3x — 12.6% +1.48% $243.6M /pebk-vs-cmtv →
MRBK
Meridian Corporation
C 65/100 10.4x — 10.9% +0.32% $226.9M /mrbk-vs-cmtv →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000718413

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Community Bancorp. (CMTV) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $17.0M, operating cash flow of $16.0M, and free cash flow of $15.3M (+1.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CMTV closed FY2025 with $1.29B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $17.0M $16.0M $15.3M $1.29B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $12.8M $15.8M $15.0M $1.25B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $13.4M $14.9M $14.9M — —

3. CMTV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CMTV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Community Bancorp. (NASDAQ: CMTV) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $42.19 (+1.71% 1D, market cap $236.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CMTV ranks #139 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CMTV compare to INBK and OPBK in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), CMTV carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 14.9%. By comparison, INBK (First Internet Bancorp) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.8%, cap $238.2M) and OPBK (OP Bancorp) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 9.0x, ROIC 11.2%, cap $230.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OPBK leads on earnings multiple (9.0x) while CMTV leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CMTV?

Per CMTV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000718413), Community Bancorp. generated $0 in revenue, $17.0M in net income, and $15.3M in free cash flow against $1.29B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CMTV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CMTV last traded at $42.19 (+1.71% on volume of 6,808 shares), positioning the stock +1.91% above its 50-day simple moving average ($41.40) and +11.08% above its 200-day simple moving average ($37.98). Across its 52-week range of $22.66 to $43.95, CMTV sits at the 91.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.0% ($39.66 to $44.72).

CMTV Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is CMTV's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for CMTV.

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