COMPASS Pathways Plc American Depository Shares (CMPS) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$12.19 -0.73% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.15

COMPASS Pathways Plc American Depository Shares (CMPS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $1.69B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.15 (-0.32%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510037
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (8)Whales (8)SEC (10)Macro (8)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target
$17 Bull$11 Base$9 Bear
📬 FREE CMPS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CMPS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CMPS SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
29
Grade E$12.00-10.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
32
Grade E$10.75+4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
34
Grade E$11.18+9% Next Q
Current
37
Grade D-$12.19-8.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (29) → D- (37)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CMPS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CMPS currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.91) and Max Pain ($12.80) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $16.66.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CMPS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CMPS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

CMPS Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (CMPS)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on CMPS. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CMPS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CMPS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CMPS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +34.55%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $11.82H $12.19L $11.27C $12.19VOL 2.17M
RES: $16.22SUP: $10.74SMA50: $12.91SMA200: $10.40
$16.56$13.70$10.85$7.99$5.13RES $16.22SUP $10.74$12.192026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CMPS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CMPS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CMPS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CMPS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CMPS)

Health Care Rank #739 of 1016 ⚔️ ANIP vs CMPS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (CMPS vs. ANIP, STOK, NUVB, NBTX)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, COMPASS Pathways Plc American Depository Shares (CMPS) ranks #739 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #288 by equity capitalization ($1.69B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ANIP leads on earnings valuation at 21.5x trailing P/E, while ANIP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.0% ROIC and — gross margin. ANIP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with CMPS at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CMPS ACTIVE
COMPASS Pathways Plc American Depository Shares
D- 37/100 — — -35.0% -0.73% $1.69B Benchmark Subject
ANIP
ANI Pharmaceuticals Inc.
B- 70/100 21.5x — 16.0% +2.02% $1.68B /anip-vs-cmps →
STOK
Stoke Therapeutics Inc.
C- 59/100 — — -6.1% -0.23% $1.70B /stok-vs-cmps →
NUVB
Nuvation Bio Inc. (Class A)
E 29/100 — — -35.0% +3.92% $1.67B /nuvb-vs-cmps →
NBTX
Nanobiotix S.A.
D+ 52/100 — — — -0.53% $1.72B /nbtx-vs-cmps →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001816590

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), COMPASS Pathways Plc American Depository Shares (CMPS) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$269.8M, operating cash flow of -$157.2M, and free cash flow of -$157.2M (-31.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CMPS closed FY2025 with $210.3M in total assets against $14.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$269.8M -$157.2M -$157.2M $210.3M $14.1M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$155.1M -$119.2M -$119.2M $213.7M $24.7M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$118.5M -$97.4M -$97.4M — —

3. CMPS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CMPS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, COMPASS Pathways Plc American Depository Shares (NASDAQ: CMPS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $12.19 (-0.73% 1D, market cap $1.69B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, CMPS ranks #739 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CMPS compare to ANIP and STOK in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), CMPS carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ANIP (ANI Pharmaceuticals Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 21.5x, ROIC 16.0%, cap $1.68B) and STOK (Stoke Therapeutics Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.1%, cap $1.70B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ANIP leads on earnings multiple (21.5x) while ANIP leads on capital efficiency (16.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CMPS?

Per CMPS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001816590), COMPASS Pathways Plc American Depository Shares generated $0 in revenue, -$269.8M in net income, and -$157.2M in free cash flow against $210.3M in total assets and $14.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CMPS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CMPS last traded at $12.19 (-0.73% on volume of 1,382,444 shares), positioning the stock -5.58% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.91) and +17.21% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.40). Across its 52-week range of $4.88 to $15.87, CMPS sits at the 66.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.3% ($10.81 to $13.57).

CMPS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are CMPS insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies CMPS leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

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