Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. (CMG) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. (CMG) surged +8.88% to $31.28, trading at 28% of its 52-week range ($27.31 – $41.42). Solid steady margins (30% return on capital), mixed timing at 26x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
Chipotle’s third quarter saw continued momentum, as management credited the Recipe for Growth strategy for driving sales and positive same-store transactions. The market responded favorably to initiatives that included o
Bank of America’s Sara Senatore sees changes in the chain’s menu pulling customers back into stores.
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Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG) has outperformed the market over the past 10 years by 1.85% on an annualized basis producing an average annual return of 15.58%. Currently, Chipotle Mexican Grill has a market
Starbucks Corp. Chief Executive Officer Brian Niccol expects earnings growth to continue and he says the turnaround plan is ahead of schedule. He says becoming a multi-brand company is a possibility. The chain recently s
Starbucks Corp. Chief Executive Officer Brian Niccol says becoming a multi-brand company is possible, but that's not the focus right now. Two weeks ago the company said it's not buying Chipotle Mexican Grill. Niccol tell
Starbucks Corp. Chief Executive Officer Brian Niccol expects earnings growth to continue and he says the turnaround plan is ahead of schedule. He says becoming a multi-brand company is a possibility. The chain recently s
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. reported strong Q3 results on Oct. 28, although its free cash flow (FCF) and FCF margins dipped YoY. CMG may be undervalued, but shorting puts could be a good play.
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Chipotle Mexican Grill came into this earnings print with a stock that had cooled over the past quarter, then jumped 8.9% to about $31 after the Q3 2026 release. That move reflects relief more than euphoria. The headline
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +5.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CMG today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CMG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 304 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. (CMG) ranks #114 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #55 by equity capitalization ($39.58B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, YUMC leads on earnings valuation at 16.7x trailing P/E, while YUM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 60.3% ROIC and 69.8% gross margin. YUM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with CMG at 68/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMG
ACTIVE
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. | C+ | 68/100 | 25.8x | — | 30.2% | +8.88% | $39.58B | Benchmark Subject |
| YUM Yum! Brands Inc. | B | 74/100 | 27.1x | 69.8% | 60.3% | +2.92% | $42.18B | /yum-vs-cmg → |
| QSR Restaurant Brands International Inc. | D | 50/100 | 30.9x | — | 12.6% | -2.03% | $33.18B | /qsr-vs-cmg → |
| DRI Darden Restaurants Inc. | C | 64/100 | 20.7x | 20.3% | 19.5% | +1.81% | $24.95B | /dri-vs-cmg → |
| YUMC Yum China Holdings Inc. | B- | 71/100 | 16.7x | — | 14.9% | +1.60% | $15.48B | /yumc-vs-cmg → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. (CMG) reported GAAP revenue of $11.93B (+5.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $11.31B , and +20.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.54B, operating cash flow of $2.11B, and free cash flow of $1.45B (-4.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, CMG closed FY2025 with $8.99B in total assets against $2.77B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.02, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $11.93B | $1.54B | $2.11B | $1.45B | $8.99B | $2.77B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $11.31B | $1.53B | $2.11B | $1.51B | $9.20B | $2.50B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $9.87B | $1.23B | $1.78B | $1.34B | $21.77B | $5.09B |
As of 2026-11-01, Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. (NYSE: CMG) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $31.28 (+8.88% 1D, market cap $39.58B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 304 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CMG ranks #114 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), CMG carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 30.2%. By comparison, YUM (Yum! Brands Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 27.1x, ROIC 60.3%, cap $42.18B) and QSR (Restaurant Brands International Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 30.9x, ROIC 12.6%, cap $33.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, YUMC leads on earnings multiple (16.7x) while YUM leads on capital efficiency (60.3% ROIC).
Per CMG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001058090), Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. generated $11.93B in revenue (+5.4% YoY), $1.54B in net income, and $1.45B in free cash flow against $8.99B in total assets and $2.77B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
CMG last traded at $31.28 (+8.88% on volume of 42,481,889 shares), positioning the stock -5.10% below its 50-day simple moving average ($32.96) and -8.03% below its 200-day simple moving average ($34.01). Across its 52-week range of $27.31 to $41.42, CMG sits at the 28.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.3% ($28.68 to $33.88).
Why CMG Stock surged +8.88% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (30% return on capital), mixed timing at 26x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.