Stock Ratings / Industrials / CMCO / earnings

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Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.6% Move

$15.25 +1.26% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.26

Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $440.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.26 (+0.04%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CMCO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CMCO SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (31% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 26% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 45.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (29% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.6% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$15.99-8.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$14.64-7.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$13.52+12.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$15.25-7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (50) → D- (42)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CMCO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CMCO currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($16.31) and Max Pain ($16.01) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $25.62.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CMCO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CMCO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 42%NO 58%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 29, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.6% Swing Band

±$1.46 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

CMCO Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 42/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 23.9%

Model Bullish Setup (42/100)Model Risk Weight (58/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2026-03-31	$1.19B	-$229.5M	-$164.1M	30.1%
FY 2024	2025-03-31	$963.0M	-$5.1M	$24.2M	33.8%
FY 2023	2024-03-31	$1.01B	$46.6M	$67.2M	30.1%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CMCO)

✓Walkthrough of CMCO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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CMCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.29%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $14.74H $15.25L $14.70C $15.25VOL 430.7K

RES: $20.20SUP: $12.79SMA50: $16.31SMA200: $16.52

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CMCO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CMCO Butterfly Map → + Track CMCO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +23.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CMCO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CMCO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CMCO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CMCO)

Industrials Rank #357 of 485 ⚔️ HY vs CMCO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (CMCO vs. HY, WNC, GENC, MTW)

Industry: Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO) ranks #357 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #305 by equity capitalization ($440.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GENC leads on earnings valuation at 16.2x trailing P/E, while WNC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 31.2% ROIC and — gross margin. GENC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with CMCO at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CMCO ACTIVE Columbus McKinnon Corporation	D-	42/100	—	30.1%	-10.6%	+1.26%	$440.2M	Benchmark Subject
HY Hyster-Yale Inc. (Class A)	D+	52/100	—	16.8%	-3.7%	0.00%	$526.1M	/hy-vs-cmco →
WNC Wabash National Corporation	D+	53/100	—	—	31.2%	-4.05%	$540.2M	/wnc-vs-cmco →
GENC Gencor Industries Inc.	D+	57/100	16.2x	27.5%	6.2%	+1.22%	$254.5M	/genc-vs-cmco →
MTW Manitowoc Company Inc.	D-	41/100	119.2x	18.1%	6.9%	+2.81%	$858.3M	/mtw-vs-cmco →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001005229

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO) reported GAAP revenue of $1.19B (+23.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $963.0M , and +17.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$229.5M, operating cash flow of -$146.2M, and free cash flow of -$164.1M (-777.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CMCO closed FY2025 with $1.76B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.22, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-03-31	$1.19B	-$229.5M	-$146.2M	-$164.1M	$1.76B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-03-31	$963.0M	-$5.1M	$45.6M	$24.2M	$1.71B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-03-31	$1.01B	$46.6M	$67.2M	$67.2M	—	—

3. CMCO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CMCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Columbus McKinnon Corporation (NASDAQ: CMCO) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $15.25 (+1.26% 1D, market cap $440.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, CMCO ranks #357 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CMCO compare to HY and WNC in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks), CMCO carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.1%, and ROIC of -10.6%. By comparison, HY (Hyster-Yale Inc. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.7%, cap $526.1M) and WNC (Wabash National Corporation) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 31.2%, cap $540.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GENC leads on earnings multiple (16.2x) while WNC leads on capital efficiency (31.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CMCO?

Per CMCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001005229), Columbus McKinnon Corporation generated $1.19B in revenue (+23.9% YoY), -$229.5M in net income, and -$164.1M in free cash flow against $1.76B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CMCO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CMCO last traded at $15.25 (+1.26% on volume of 384,391 shares), positioning the stock -6.50% below its 50-day simple moving average ($16.31) and -7.69% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.52). Across its 52-week range of $11.99 to $24.40, CMCO sits at the 26.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.6% ($13.79 to $16.71).

CMCO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is CMCO's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 29, 2026.

How much is CMCO stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±9.6% event move for CMCO, spanning a range between $13.79 and $16.71.

Direct Sub-Reports: CMCO RQD Cockpit CMCO 12M Forecast CMCO Earnings & Move CMCO Dividends & DRIP CMCO Insiders & 13F CMCO Whale Options CMCO Profit Sankey CMCO News & Why