MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
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Why CMCM Stock surged +2.95% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$2.44 +2.95% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.45
Cheetah Mobile Inc. each representing fifty (50) (Class A) (CMCM) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $76.1M
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Is CMCM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Cheetah Mobile Inc. each representing fifty (50) (Class A) (NYSE: CMCM) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $2.44 (+2.95% 1D, market cap $76.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, CMCM ranks #545 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does CMCM compare to CCLD and CHOW in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), CMCM carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 72.5%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CCLD (CareCloud Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 15.1%, cap $76.5M) and CHOW (ChowChow Cloud International Holdings Limited) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $75.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FATN leads on earnings multiple (15.1x) while CCLD leads on capital efficiency (15.1% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CMCM?
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Per CMCM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001597835), Cheetah Mobile Inc. each representing fifty (50) (Class A) generated $164.5M in revenue (+48.8% YoY), -$36.9M in net income, and -$24.6M in free cash flow against $669.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.45 (+0.34%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.2% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CMCM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (40/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CMCM SCORES 40/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (33% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 6% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 44.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (30% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$2.48-6.5% Next Q
48
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$2.32+2.2% Next Q
45
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$2.37+3% Next Q
43
CurrentGrade D-$2.44-7.4% Hist 90D α
40
Trajectory: D (48) → D- (40)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CMCM Turnaround Squeeze
While CMCM currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.77) and Max Pain ($2.56) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.45.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CMCM• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CMCM Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why CMCM Stock surged +2.95% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Cheetah Mobile Inc. each representing fifty (50) (Class A) (CMCM) surged +2.95% to $2.44, trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($2.05 – $9). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($2.05 – $9) with RSI-14 at 44.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $2.44 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 72.5% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live CMCM Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
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MARKET WIRECNBC • 9h ago
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MARKET WIRECNBC • 9h ago
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RISK WATCHReuters • 10h ago
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CMCM)
- ✓Walkthrough of CMCM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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CMCM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -55.15%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $2.64H $2.64L $2.27C $2.44VOL 7.7K
RES: $2.95SUP: $2.01SMA50: $2.77SMA200: $4.40
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
CMCM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +48.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CMCM today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CMCM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CMCM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CMCM)
Technology Rank #545 of 714
⚔️ CCLD vs CMCM Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (CMCM vs. CCLD, CHOW, FATN, AISP)
Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cheetah Mobile Inc. each representing fifty (50) (Class A) (CMCM) ranks #545 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #537 by equity capitalization ($76.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FATN leads on earnings valuation at 15.1x trailing P/E, while CCLD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.1% ROIC and — gross margin. CCLD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with CMCM at 40/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMCM
ACTIVE
Cheetah Mobile Inc. each representing fifty (50) (Class A) | D- | 40/100 | — | 72.5% | -35.0% | +2.95% | $76.1M | Benchmark Subject |
| CCLD CareCloud Inc. | C+ | 67/100 | — | — | 15.1% | +1.70% | $76.5M | /ccld-vs-cmcm → |
| CHOW ChowChow Cloud International Holdings Limited | D- | 36/100 | — | 12.9% | -35.0% | +0.95% | $75.6M | /chow-vs-cmcm → |
| FATN FatPipe Inc. | D+ | 53/100 | 15.1x | 91.0% | 13.4% | +1.92% | $74.9M | /fatn-vs-cmcm → |
| AISP Airship AI Holdings Inc. (Class A) | E | 19/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -0.88% | $77.5M | /aisp-vs-cmcm → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001597835In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Cheetah Mobile Inc. each representing fifty (50) (Class A) (CMCM) reported GAAP revenue of $164.5M (+48.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $110.5M , and +74.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$36.9M, operating cash flow of -$24.6M, and free cash flow of -$24.6M (+24.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, CMCM closed FY2025 with $669.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $164.5M | -$36.9M | -$24.6M | -$24.6M | $669.8M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $110.5M | -$84.6M | -$32.6M | -$32.6M | $754.1M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $94.3M | -$84.9M | $77.5M | $77.5M | — | — |
3. CMCM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CMCM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Cheetah Mobile Inc. each representing fifty (50) (Class A) (NYSE: CMCM) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $2.44 (+2.95% 1D, market cap $76.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, CMCM ranks #545 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CMCM compare to CCLD and CHOW in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), CMCM carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 72.5%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CCLD (CareCloud Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 15.1%, cap $76.5M) and CHOW (ChowChow Cloud International Holdings Limited) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $75.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FATN leads on earnings multiple (15.1x) while CCLD leads on capital efficiency (15.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CMCM?
Per CMCM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001597835), Cheetah Mobile Inc. each representing fifty (50) (Class A) generated $164.5M in revenue (+48.8% YoY), -$36.9M in net income, and -$24.6M in free cash flow against $669.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CMCM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CMCM last traded at $2.44 (+2.95% on volume of 8,743 shares), positioning the stock -11.91% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.77) and -44.55% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.40). Across its 52-week range of $2.05 to $9.00, CMCM sits at the 5.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.14 to $2.74).
CMCM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CMCM stock moving today?
Why CMCM Stock surged +2.95% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.