Stock Ratings / Materials / CMCL / insiders

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Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc (CMCL) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$21.40 -1.70% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.29

Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc (CMCL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $413.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CMCL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CMCL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc (NYSE: CMCL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $21.40 (-1.70% 1D, market cap $413.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, CMCL ranks #142 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CMCL compare to TMQ and ITRG in the Materials sector?

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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), CMCL carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, TMQ (Trilogy Metals Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -34.0%, cap $418.9M) and ITRG (Integra Resources Corp.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $454.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMCL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TMQ leads on capital efficiency (-34.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CMCL?

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For Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc (CMCL), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #142 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.29 (-0.50%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CMCL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CMCL SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.3% FCF Margin ($11.6M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$24.08-2.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$23.41-8.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$21.37+0.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D$21.40-6.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CMCL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CMCL currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($24.00) and Max Pain ($22.47) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $35.70.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CMCL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CMCL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

CMCL Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (CMCL)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on CMCL. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CMCL)

✓Walkthrough of CMCL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CMCL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.42%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN

2026-11-02O $21.77H $21.77L $21.40C $21.40VOL 113.2K

RES: $30.27SUP: $23.48SMA50: $24.00SMA200: $23.76

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CMCL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CMCL Butterfly Map → + Track CMCL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CMCL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CMCL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CMCL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CMCL)

Materials Rank #142 of 270 ⚔️ TMQ vs CMCL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (CMCL vs. TMQ, ITRG, VGZ, NAK)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc (CMCL) ranks #142 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #184 by equity capitalization ($413.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CMCL leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TMQ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -34.0% ROIC and — gross margin. CMCL currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CMCL ACTIVE Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc	D	46/100	—	—	—	-1.70%	$413.8M	Benchmark Subject
TMQ Trilogy Metals Inc.	E	31/100	—	—	-34.0%	-0.86%	$418.9M	/tmq-vs-cmcl →
ITRG Integra Resources Corp.	D	45/100	—	—	—	-2.18%	$454.4M	/itrg-vs-cmcl →
VGZ Vista Gold Corp	D-	42/100	—	—	-35.0%	-4.44%	$376.6M	/vgz-vs-cmcl →
NAK Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd.	D	46/100	—	—	—	-4.67%	$464.9M	/nak-vs-cmcl →

2. CMCL Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc (CMCL) operates in Precious Metals (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $413.8M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. CMCL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CMCL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does CMCL compare to TMQ and ITRG in the Materials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CMCL?

Where is CMCL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CMCL last traded at $21.40 (-1.70% on volume of 113,207 shares), positioning the stock -10.83% below its 50-day simple moving average ($24.00) and -9.93% below its 200-day simple moving average ($23.76). Across its 52-week range of $15.85 to $34.00, CMCL sits at the 30.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.1% ($19.67 to $23.13).

CMCL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are CMCL insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies CMCL leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

Direct Sub-Reports: CMCL RQD Cockpit CMCL 12M Forecast CMCL Earnings & Move CMCL Dividends & DRIP CMCL Insiders & 13F CMCL Whale Options CMCL Profit Sankey CMCL News & Why