Why CLGN Stock surged +11.39% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$4.40 +11.39% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.48

CollPlant Biotechnologies Ltd (CLGN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $12.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.48 (+1.86%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510050
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C-
Cash (8)Whales (13)SEC (11)Macro (13)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$24 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE CLGN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CLGN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CLGN SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (26% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 9% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 56.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$3.51+3.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
45
Grade D$3.63+1.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$3.67+19.9% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$4.40-1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (42) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CLGN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CLGN currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.69) and Max Pain ($4.62) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $24.04.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CLGN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CLGN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why CLGN Stock surged +11.39% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

CollPlant Biotechnologies Ltd (CLGN) surged +11.39% to $4.40, trading at 9% of its 52-week range ($2.64 – $22.9). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 9% of its 52-week range ($2.64 – $22.9) with RSI-14 at 56.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $4.40 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 64.8% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live CLGN Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CLGN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CLGN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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CLGN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +14.88%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $4.20H $4.60L $4.10C $4.40VOL 44.2K
RES: $12.43SUP: $3.53SMA50: $3.69SMA200: $5.11
$17.93$13.79$9.64$5.50$1.35RES $12.43SUP $3.53$4.402026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CLGN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CLGN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CLGN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CLGN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CLGN)

Health Care Rank #353 of 1016 ⚔️ CUPR vs CLGN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (CLGN vs. CUPR, LFWD, RGNT, HSCS)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, CollPlant Biotechnologies Ltd (CLGN) ranks #353 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #873 by equity capitalization ($12.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CLGN leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CLGN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 64.8% gross margin. CLGN currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CLGN ACTIVE
CollPlant Biotechnologies Ltd
D 50/100 — 64.8% -35.0% +11.39% $12.7M Benchmark Subject
CUPR
Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited (Class A)
E 32/100 — -1.3% -35.0% -1.07% $14.1M /cupr-vs-clgn →
LFWD
Lifeward Ltd.
D 46/100 — 96.0% -35.0% +2.78% $16.7M /lfwd-vs-clgn →
RGNT
Regentis Biomaterials Ltd.
D 44/100 — — -35.0% +10.57% $9.6M /rgnt-vs-clgn →
HSCS
HeartSciences Inc.
D- 43/100 — 59.1% -35.0% +7.12% $17.5M /hscs-vs-clgn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001631487

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), CollPlant Biotechnologies Ltd (CLGN) reported GAAP revenue of $2.4M (+360.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $515.0K , and -78.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$11.5M, operating cash flow of -$9.4M, and free cash flow of -$9.4M (+35.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, CLGN closed FY2025 with $10.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.4M -$11.5M -$9.4M -$9.4M $10.8M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $515.0K -$16.6M -$14.1M -$14.6M $18.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $11.0M -$7.0M -$2.8M -$2.8M — —

3. CLGN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CLGN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, CollPlant Biotechnologies Ltd (NASDAQ: CLGN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $4.40 (+11.39% 1D, market cap $12.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, CLGN ranks #353 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CLGN compare to CUPR and LFWD in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Industrial Specialties), CLGN carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 64.8%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CUPR (Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited (Class A)) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $14.1M) and LFWD (Lifeward Ltd.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $16.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CLGN leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CLGN leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CLGN?

Per CLGN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001631487), CollPlant Biotechnologies Ltd generated $2.4M in revenue (+360.4% YoY), -$11.5M in net income, and -$9.4M in free cash flow against $10.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CLGN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CLGN last traded at $4.40 (+11.39% on volume of 167,112 shares), positioning the stock +19.24% above its 50-day simple moving average ($3.69) and -13.89% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.11). Across its 52-week range of $2.64 to $22.90, CLGN sits at the 8.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.85 to $4.95).

CLGN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is CLGN stock moving today?

Why CLGN Stock surged +11.39% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

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