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Chatham Lodging Trust of (CLDT) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$14.98 +0.60% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.97

Chatham Lodging Trust of (CLDT) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $697.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.97 (-0.08%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 21.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CLDT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CLDT SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 99% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 66.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 13.9% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$13.61+3.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$14.05-0.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$14.03+6.8% Next Q

Current

Grade C$14.98+0.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (54) → C (62)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CLDT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, CLDT faces multiple-compression risk if 46.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 46x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($13.57) or 200D SMA ($10.92) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($15.25) toward Bear Floor ($11.89).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CLDT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CLDT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 62%NO 38%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your CLDT Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $14.98: 667.6 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $11.89

$7,937

$-2,063 (-20.6%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $15.25

$10,180

+$180 (+1.8%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $17.99

$12,009

+$2,009 (+20.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$16	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$17	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$14	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CLDT Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CLDT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +72.58%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $14.87H $14.98L $14.52C $14.98VOL 280.1K

RES: $14.97SUP: $12.63SMA50: $13.57SMA200: $10.92

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CLDT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CLDT Butterfly Map → + Track CLDT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

34.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -7.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CLDT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CLDT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CLDT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CLDT)

Financials Rank #434 of 1096 ⚔️ MFA vs CLDT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CLDT vs. MFA, CIM, BFS, PSTL)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Chatham Lodging Trust of (CLDT) ranks #434 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #627 by equity capitalization ($697.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MFA leads on earnings valuation at 3.9x trailing P/E, while BFS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 51.6% ROIC and — gross margin. BFS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with CLDT at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CLDT ACTIVE Chatham Lodging Trust of	C	62/100	46.3x	—	4.5%	+0.60%	$697.6M	Benchmark Subject
MFA MFA Financial Inc.	C	62/100	3.9x	—	9.7%	+0.15%	$687.4M	/mfa-vs-cldt →
CIM Chimera Investment Corporation	D-	40/100	—	—	9.0%	+1.80%	$709.9M	/cim-vs-cldt →
BFS Saul Centers Inc.	B+	76/100	19.4x	—	51.6%	+1.56%	$725.9M	/bfs-vs-cldt →
PSTL Postal Realty Trust Inc. (Class A)	C	65/100	46.4x	—	9.6%	+1.93%	$656.4M	/pstl-vs-cldt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001476045

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Chatham Lodging Trust of (CLDT) reported GAAP revenue of $295.1M (-7.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $317.2M , and -5.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $15.1M, operating cash flow of $64.1M, and free cash flow of $64.1M (-13.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, CLDT closed FY2025 with $1.17B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$295.1M	$15.1M	$64.1M	$64.1M	$1.17B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$317.2M	$4.2M	$73.8M	$73.8M	$1.25B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$311.1M	$2.6M	$76.4M	$76.4M	—	—

3. CLDT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CLDT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Chatham Lodging Trust of (NYSE: CLDT) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $14.98 (+0.60% 1D, market cap $697.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CLDT ranks #434 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CLDT compare to MFA and CIM in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), CLDT carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 46.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.5%. By comparison, MFA (MFA Financial Inc.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 3.9x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $687.4M) and CIM (Chimera Investment Corporation) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 9.0%, cap $709.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MFA leads on earnings multiple (3.9x) while BFS leads on capital efficiency (51.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CLDT?

Per CLDT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001476045), Chatham Lodging Trust of generated $295.1M in revenue (-7.0% YoY), $15.1M in net income, and $64.1M in free cash flow against $1.17B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 46x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CLDT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CLDT last traded at $14.98 (+0.60% on volume of 295,312 shares), positioning the stock +10.39% above its 50-day simple moving average ($13.57) and +37.18% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.92). Across its 52-week range of $6.08 to $15.02, CLDT sits at the 99.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($14.04 to $15.92).

CLDT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is CLDT's 12-month stock price target?

Chatham Lodging Trust of (CLDT) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $15.25 (+1.8% from $14.98), with a bull-case target of $17.99 and a bear-case floor of $11.89.

Is CLDT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates CLDT C (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 62/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: CLDT RQD Cockpit CLDT 12M Forecast CLDT Earnings & Move CLDT Dividends & DRIP CLDT Insiders & 13F CLDT Whale Options CLDT Profit Sankey CLDT News & Why