Stock Ratings / Financials / CLDT / earnings

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Chatham Lodging Trust of (CLDT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.3% Move

$14.98 +0.60% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.97

Chatham Lodging Trust of (CLDT) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $697.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CLDT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CLDT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Chatham Lodging Trust of (NYSE: CLDT) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $14.98 (+0.60% 1D, market cap $697.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CLDT ranks #434 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CLDT compare to MFA and CIM in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), CLDT carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 46.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.5%. By comparison, MFA (MFA Financial Inc.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 3.9x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $687.4M) and CIM (Chimera Investment Corporation) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 9.0%, cap $709.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MFA leads on earnings multiple (3.9x) while BFS leads on capital efficiency (51.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CLDT?

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Per CLDT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001476045), Chatham Lodging Trust of generated $295.1M in revenue (-7.0% YoY), $15.1M in net income, and $64.1M in free cash flow against $1.17B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 46x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.97 (-0.08%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 21.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CLDT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CLDT SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 99% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 66.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 13.9% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$13.61+3.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$14.05-0.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$14.03+6.8% Next Q

Current

Grade C$14.98+0.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (54) → C (62)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CLDT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, CLDT faces multiple-compression risk if 46.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 46x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($13.57) or 200D SMA ($10.92) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($15.25) toward Bear Floor ($11.89).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CLDT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CLDT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 62%NO 38%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.3% Swing Band

±$0.94 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

CLDT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 62/100

Trailing EPS: $0.32 • YoY Revenue Growth: -7%

Model Bullish Setup (62/100)Model Risk Weight (38/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$295.1M	$15.1M	$64.1M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$317.2M	$4.2M	$73.8M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$311.1M	$2.6M	$76.4M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating CLDT & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on CLDT
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CLDT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +72.58%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $14.87H $14.98L $14.52C $14.98VOL 280.1K

RES: $14.97SUP: $12.63SMA50: $13.57SMA200: $10.92

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CLDT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CLDT Butterfly Map → + Track CLDT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

34.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -7.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CLDT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CLDT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CLDT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CLDT)

Financials Rank #434 of 1096 ⚔️ MFA vs CLDT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CLDT vs. MFA, CIM, BFS, PSTL)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Chatham Lodging Trust of (CLDT) ranks #434 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #627 by equity capitalization ($697.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MFA leads on earnings valuation at 3.9x trailing P/E, while BFS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 51.6% ROIC and — gross margin. BFS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with CLDT at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CLDT ACTIVE Chatham Lodging Trust of	C	62/100	46.3x	—	4.5%	+0.60%	$697.6M	Benchmark Subject
MFA MFA Financial Inc.	C	62/100	3.9x	—	9.7%	+0.15%	$687.4M	/mfa-vs-cldt →
CIM Chimera Investment Corporation	D-	40/100	—	—	9.0%	+1.80%	$709.9M	/cim-vs-cldt →
BFS Saul Centers Inc.	B+	76/100	19.4x	—	51.6%	+1.56%	$725.9M	/bfs-vs-cldt →
PSTL Postal Realty Trust Inc. (Class A)	C	65/100	46.4x	—	9.6%	+1.93%	$656.4M	/pstl-vs-cldt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001476045

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Chatham Lodging Trust of (CLDT) reported GAAP revenue of $295.1M (-7.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $317.2M , and -5.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $15.1M, operating cash flow of $64.1M, and free cash flow of $64.1M (-13.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, CLDT closed FY2025 with $1.17B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$295.1M	$15.1M	$64.1M	$64.1M	$1.17B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$317.2M	$4.2M	$73.8M	$73.8M	$1.25B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$311.1M	$2.6M	$76.4M	$76.4M	—	—

3. CLDT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CLDT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does CLDT compare to MFA and CIM in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CLDT?

Where is CLDT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CLDT last traded at $14.98 (+0.60% on volume of 295,312 shares), positioning the stock +10.39% above its 50-day simple moving average ($13.57) and +37.18% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.92). Across its 52-week range of $6.08 to $15.02, CLDT sits at the 99.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($14.04 to $15.92).

CLDT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is CLDT's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Chatham Lodging Trust of (CLDT)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is CLDT stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.3% event move for CLDT, spanning a range between $14.04 and $15.92.

Direct Sub-Reports: CLDT RQD Cockpit CLDT 12M Forecast CLDT Earnings & Move CLDT Dividends & DRIP CLDT Insiders & 13F CLDT Whale Options CLDT Profit Sankey CLDT News & Why