Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / CLAR / earnings

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Clarus Corporation (CLAR) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.8% Move

$4.49 +4.42% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.52

Clarus Corporation (CLAR) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $171.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.52 (+0.61%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CLAR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CLAR SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (32% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.8% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 93% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 80.3 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$3.50+2.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$3.60+6.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$3.83+17.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$4.49-8.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (29) → D- (37)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CLAR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CLAR currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.66) and Max Pain ($4.71) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.86.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CLAR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CLAR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 37%NO 63%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.8% Swing Band

±$0.35 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

CLAR Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 37/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -5.2%

Model Bullish Setup (37/100)Model Risk Weight (63/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$250.4M	-$46.6K	-$9.9M	33.1%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$264.3M	-$88.4K	-$14.0M	35%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$286.0M	-$15.8K	$31.9M	33.1%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CLAR)

✓Walkthrough of CLAR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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CLAR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +72.03%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $4.63H $4.63L $4.41C $4.49VOL 221.4K

RES: $4.79SUP: $3.38SMA50: $3.66SMA200: $3.26

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CLAR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CLAR Butterfly Map → + Track CLAR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CLAR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CLAR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CLAR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CLAR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #872 of 1011 ⚔️ AOUT vs CLAR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CLAR vs. AOUT, ESCA, BBW, HERE)

Industry: Recreational Games/Products/Toys (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Clarus Corporation (CLAR) ranks #872 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #712 by equity capitalization ($171.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BBW leads on earnings valuation at 6.5x trailing P/E, while BBW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.7% ROIC and 55.8% gross margin. BBW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 83/100 (A-) compared with CLAR at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CLAR ACTIVE Clarus Corporation	D-	37/100	—	33.1%	-29.5%	+4.42%	$171.9M	Benchmark Subject
AOUT American Outdoor Brands Inc.	D+	55/100	—	44.7%	-4.6%	+1.52%	$231.6M	/aout-vs-clar →
ESCA Escalade Incorporated	B+	79/100	20.2x	26.9%	8.0%	+8.63%	$277.2M	/esca-vs-clar →
BBW Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc.	A-	83/100	6.5x	55.8%	33.7%	+9.18%	$338.5M	/bbw-vs-clar →
HERE Here Group Limited	C-	59/100	—	81.5%	—	+10.87%	$83.2M	/here-vs-clar →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000913277

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Clarus Corporation (CLAR) reported GAAP revenue of $250.4M (-5.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $264.3M , and -12.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$46.6K, operating cash flow of -$4.7M, and free cash flow of -$9.9M (+29.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, CLAR closed FY2025 with $249.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.23, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$250.4M	-$46.6K	-$4.7M	-$9.9M	$249.0M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$264.3M	-$88.4K	-$7.3M	-$14.0M	$294.1M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$286.0M	-$15.8K	$31.9M	$31.9M	—	—

3. CLAR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CLAR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Clarus Corporation (NASDAQ: CLAR) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $4.49 (+4.42% 1D, market cap $171.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CLAR ranks #872 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CLAR compare to AOUT and ESCA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Recreational Games/Products/Toys), CLAR carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.1%, and ROIC of -29.5%. By comparison, AOUT (American Outdoor Brands Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.6%, cap $231.6M) and ESCA (Escalade Incorporated) posts a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 20.2x, ROIC 8.0%, cap $277.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBW leads on earnings multiple (6.5x) while BBW leads on capital efficiency (33.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CLAR?

Per CLAR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000913277), Clarus Corporation generated $250.4M in revenue (-5.2% YoY), -$46.6K in net income, and -$9.9M in free cash flow against $249.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CLAR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CLAR last traded at $4.49 (+4.42% on volume of 531,650 shares), positioning the stock +22.68% above its 50-day simple moving average ($3.66) and +37.73% above its 200-day simple moving average ($3.26). Across its 52-week range of $2.53 to $4.63, CLAR sits at the 93.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 80.3 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.8% ($4.14 to $4.84).