MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why CHR Stock surged +12.50% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$1.35 +12.50% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.38
Cheer Holding Inc. Class A Ordinary Share (CHR) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $3.2M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.38 (+2.06%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 12.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.7% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CHR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CHR SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (22% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (22% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 43.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)
Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 10 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B-$1.51-2.6% Next Q
67
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C+$1.47-10.9% Next Q
64
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C+$1.31+3.1% Next Q
62
CurrentGrade C-$1.35+0.2% Hist 90D α
59
Trajectory: B- (67) → C- (59)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CHR Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, CHR faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($1.59) or 200D SMA ($2.29) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1.36) toward Bear Floor ($1.06).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CHR• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CHR Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why CHR Stock surged +12.50% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Cheer Holding Inc. Class A Ordinary Share (CHR) surged +12.50% to $1.35, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.16 – $42). Solid 71% profit margin (16% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.16 – $42) with RSI-14 at 43.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.35 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 71% gross margin and $17.9M annual free cash flow.
Live CHR Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CHR Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
CHR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.19%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $1.43H $1.44L $1.32C $1.35VOL 7.5K
RES: $1.69SUP: $1.12SMA50: $1.59SMA200: $2.29
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
CHR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +1.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CHR today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CHR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CHR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CHR)
Technology Rank #272 of 714
⚔️ MASK vs CHR Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (CHR vs. MASK, DAIC, AGMH, CXAI)
Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cheer Holding Inc. Class A Ordinary Share (CHR) ranks #272 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #690 by equity capitalization ($3.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MASK leads on earnings valuation at 4.7x trailing P/E, while MASK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.9% ROIC and 49.8% gross margin. MASK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with CHR at 59/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHR
ACTIVE
Cheer Holding Inc. Class A Ordinary Share | C- | 59/100 | — | 71.0% | 16.3% | +12.50% | $3.2M | Benchmark Subject |
| MASK 3 E Network Technology Group Ltd (Class A) | C | 63/100 | 4.7x | 49.8% | 17.9% | -4.28% | $3.6M | /mask-vs-chr → |
| DAIC CID HoldCo Inc. | D- | 43/100 | — | 46.0% | -35.0% | +12.26% | $3.7M | /daic-vs-chr → |
| AGMH AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A) | D- | 42/100 | 4.8x | 10.3% | -9.5% | -0.12% | $2.7M | /agmh-vs-chr → |
| CXAI CXApp Inc. (Class A) | E | 33/100 | — | 87.4% | -35.0% | -3.20% | $3.9M | /cxai-vs-chr → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001738758In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Cheer Holding Inc. Class A Ordinary Share (CHR) reported GAAP revenue of $148.8M (+1.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $147.2M , and -2.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $25.6M, operating cash flow of $17.9M, and free cash flow of $17.9M (-21.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, CHR closed FY2025 with $401.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.46, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $148.8M | $25.6M | $17.9M | $17.9M | $401.7M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $147.2M | $26.0M | $22.9M | $22.9M | $346.6M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $152.3M | $30.5M | $42.2M | $42.2M | — | — |
3. CHR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CHR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Cheer Holding Inc. Class A Ordinary Share (NASDAQ: CHR) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $1.35 (+12.50% 1D, market cap $3.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, CHR ranks #272 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CHR compare to MASK and DAIC in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), CHR carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 71.0%, and ROIC of 16.3%. By comparison, MASK (3 E Network Technology Group Ltd (Class A)) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 4.7x, ROIC 17.9%, cap $3.6M) and DAIC (CID HoldCo Inc.) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MASK leads on earnings multiple (4.7x) while MASK leads on capital efficiency (17.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHR?
Per CHR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001738758), Cheer Holding Inc. Class A Ordinary Share generated $148.8M in revenue (+1.1% YoY), $25.6M in net income, and $17.9M in free cash flow against $401.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CHR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CHR last traded at $1.35 (+12.50% on volume of 21,304 shares), positioning the stock -15.09% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.59) and -41.05% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.29). Across its 52-week range of $1.16 to $42.00, CHR sits at the 0.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.18 to $1.52).
CHR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CHR stock moving today?
Why CHR Stock surged +12.50% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 71% profit margin (16% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.