Stock Ratings / Financials / CHMI / forecast

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Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation (CHMI) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$2.64 +1.93% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.64

Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation (CHMI) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $97.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.64 (+0.16%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 0.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CHMI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CHMI SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 58% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 49.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.5% FCF Margin ($19.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$2.58-3.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$2.49+2.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$2.56+3.1% Next Q

Current

Grade C$2.64+0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CHMI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, CHMI faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($2.73) or 200D SMA ($2.59) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($2.70) toward Bear Floor ($2.11).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CHMI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CHMI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your CHMI Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $2.64: 3787.9 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $2.11

$7,992

$-2,008 (-20.1%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $2.70

$10,227

+$227 (+2.3%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $3.19

$12,083

+$2,083 (+20.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$3	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$3	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$2	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CHMI Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CHMI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.12%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE

2026-10-30O $2.71H $2.73L $2.58C $2.64VOL 215.1K

SUP: $2.49SMA50: $2.73SMA200: $2.59

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CHMI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CHMI Butterfly Map → + Track CHMI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CHMI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CHMI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CHMI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CHMI)

Financials Rank #410 of 1096 ⚔️ ACR vs CHMI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CHMI vs. ACR, BHR, RPT, SUNS)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation (CHMI) ranks #410 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #961 by equity capitalization ($97.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SUNS leads on earnings valuation at 7.3x trailing P/E, while BHR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. CHMI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CHMI ACTIVE Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation	C	63/100	—	—	—	+1.93%	$97.5M	Benchmark Subject
ACR ACRES Commercial Realty Corp.	D	51/100	—	—	6.6%	+1.68%	$95.3M	/acr-vs-chmi →
BHR Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc.	D+	55/100	—	—	85.0%	-0.75%	$90.7M	/bhr-vs-chmi →
RPT Rithm Property Trust Inc.	D-	37/100	—	—	-0.9%	+3.19%	$89.6M	/rpt-vs-chmi →
SUNS Sunrise Realty Trust Inc.	D-	37/100	7.3x	—	6.7%	-3.37%	$89.1M	/suns-vs-chmi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001571776

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation (CHMI) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $19.1M, and free cash flow of $19.1M (+507.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, CHMI closed FY2025 with $1.54B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$0	$19.1M	$19.1M	$1.54B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$0	-$4.7M	-$4.7M	$1.49B	—

3. CHMI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CHMI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation (NYSE: CHMI) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $2.64 (+1.93% 1D, market cap $97.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CHMI ranks #410 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CHMI compare to ACR and BHR in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), CHMI carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, ACR (ACRES Commercial Realty Corp.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.6%, cap $95.3M) and BHR (Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $90.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SUNS leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while BHR leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHMI?

Per CHMI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001571776), Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $19.1M in free cash flow against $1.54B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CHMI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CHMI last traded at $2.64 (+1.93% on volume of 124,075 shares), positioning the stock -3.30% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.73) and +1.93% above its 200-day simple moving average ($2.59). Across its 52-week range of $2.17 to $2.98, CHMI sits at the 58.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.4% ($2.50 to $2.78).

CHMI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is CHMI's 12-month stock price target?

Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation (CHMI) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $2.7 (+2.3% from $2.64), with a bull-case target of $3.19 and a bear-case floor of $2.11.

Is CHMI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates CHMI C (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 63/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: CHMI RQD Cockpit CHMI 12M Forecast CHMI Earnings & Move CHMI Dividends & DRIP CHMI Insiders & 13F CHMI Whale Options CHMI Profit Sankey CHMI News & Why