Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-02, Centerra Gold Inc. (NYSE: CGAU) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $20.43 (-3.54% 1D, market cap $4.08B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, CGAU ranks #99 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), CGAU carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SKE (Skeena Resources Limited) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.55B) and AYA (Aya Gold & Silver Inc.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.52B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SSRM leads on earnings multiple (14.6x) while SSRM leads on capital efficiency (12.0% ROIC).
For Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #99 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 2.9% FCF Margin ($114.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)
While CGAU currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($22.19) and Max Pain ($21.45) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $25.75.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) dropped -3.54% to $20.43, trading at 69% of its 52-week range ($11.13 – $24.52). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Centerra Gold Inc (CGAU) posted $72 million in adjusted net earnings, cut Mount Milligan cost guidance on strong copper credits, and advanced the Thompson Creek restart toward mid-2027 production.
2026-10-31. The following slide deck was published by Centerra Gold Inc.
Centerra Gold (NYSE:CGAU) said its third-quarter 2026 results reflected continued operating consistency at its Mount Milligan and Öksüt mines, while the company advanced development work at Goldfield and the restart of t
Centerra Gold Inc. (CG:CA) Q3 2026 Earnings Call October 30, 2026 9:00 AM EDTCompany ParticipantsLisa Wilkinson - Vice President of Investor Relations &...
Mount Milligan gold output surged 15% as revenue climbed 27% to $500.2 million.
Moby summary of Centerra Gold Inc.'s Q3 2026 earnings call
TORONTO, Oct. 29, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Centerra Gold Inc. (“Centerra” or the “Company”) (TSX: CG) (NYSE: CGAU) announced today that its Board of Directors has approved a quarterly dividend of C$0.07 per common share,
This news release contains forward-looking information about expected future events that is subject to risks and assumptions set out in the “Cautionary Statement on Forward-Looking Information” below. All figures are in
Centerra Gold (NYSE:CGAU) reported quarterly earnings of $0.37 per share which missed the analyst consensus estimate of $0.47 by 21.28 percent. This is a 15.62 percent increase over earnings of $0.32 per share from the
CGAU, THRM and TV have been added to the Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) List on October 29th, 2026.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CGAU today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CGAU. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) ranks #99 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #82 by equity capitalization ($4.08B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SSRM leads on earnings valuation at 14.6x trailing P/E, while SSRM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.0% ROIC and — gross margin. SSRM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with CGAU at 50/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGAU
ACTIVE
Centerra Gold Inc. | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | -3.54% | $4.08B | Benchmark Subject |
| SKE Skeena Resources Limited | D | 48/100 | — | — | — | -4.52% | $3.55B | /ske-vs-cgau → |
| AYA Aya Gold & Silver Inc. | D+ | 54/100 | — | — | — | -3.32% | $3.52B | /aya-vs-cgau → |
| SSRM SSR Mining Inc. | C- | 61/100 | 14.6x | — | 12.0% | -4.75% | $5.76B | /ssrm-vs-cgau → |
| TGB Trekor Metals Limited | D+ | 54/100 | — | — | — | -2.72% | $2.88B | /tgb-vs-cgau → |
Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) operates in Precious Metals (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $4.08B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.
As of 2026-11-02, Centerra Gold Inc. (NYSE: CGAU) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $20.43 (-3.54% 1D, market cap $4.08B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, CGAU ranks #99 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), CGAU carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SKE (Skeena Resources Limited) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.55B) and AYA (Aya Gold & Silver Inc.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.52B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SSRM leads on earnings multiple (14.6x) while SSRM leads on capital efficiency (12.0% ROIC).
For Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #99 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
CGAU last traded at $20.43 (-3.54% on volume of 1,056,229 shares), positioning the stock -7.93% below its 50-day simple moving average ($22.19) and +7.75% above its 200-day simple moving average ($18.96). Across its 52-week range of $11.13 to $24.52, CGAU sits at the 69.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.2% ($18.75 to $22.11).
Why CGAU Stock dropped -3.54% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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