COPT Defense Properties of (CDP) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$34.25 +2.33% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.33

COPT Defense Properties of (CDP) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.88B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.33 (+0.23%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 736.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510057
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (11)SEC (10)Macro (12)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target
$41 Bull$34 Base$27 Bear
📬 FREE CDP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CDP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CDP SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 736.6% FCF Margin ($309.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 61% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 44.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
49
Grade D$33.48-0.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
52
Grade C-$33.29+1.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
54
Grade C-$33.93+0.9% Next Q
Current
57
Grade D+$34.25-0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (49) → D+ (57)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CDP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, CDP faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($34.48) or 200D SMA ($33.59) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($34.10) toward Bear Floor ($26.60).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CDP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CDP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±4.3%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (CDP)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for CDP.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CDP)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CDP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CDP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +9.60%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $35.17H $36.21L $33.25C $34.25VOL 1.19M
RES: $37.63SUP: $32.55SMA50: $34.48SMA200: $33.59
$39.53$36.91$34.28$31.65$29.02RES $37.63SUP $32.55$34.252026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CDP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -44.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CDP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CDP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CDP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CDP)

Financials Rank #628 of 1096 ⚔️ COLD vs CDP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CDP vs. COLD, SLG, LXP, KRC)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, COPT Defense Properties of (CDP) ranks #628 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #317 by equity capitalization ($3.88B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LXP leads on earnings valuation at 31.9x trailing P/E, while SLG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.7% ROIC and — gross margin. LXP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with CDP at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CDP ACTIVE
COPT Defense Properties of
D+ 57/100 — — — +2.33% $3.88B Benchmark Subject
COLD
Americold Realty Trust Inc.
D- 39/100 — — 0.2% +3.55% $4.17B /cold-vs-cdp →
SLG
SL Green Realty Corp
C+ 68/100 — — 14.7% +3.96% $3.61B /slg-vs-cdp →
LXP
LXP Industrial Trust (Maryland REIT)
B- 70/100 31.9x — 4.4% +0.05% $3.61B /lxp-vs-cdp →
KRC
Kilroy Realty Corporation
C- 61/100 — — 0.0% +2.42% $4.23B /krc-vs-cdp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000860546

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), COPT Defense Properties of (CDP) reported GAAP revenue of $42.1M (-44.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $75.5M , and -30.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $309.9M, and free cash flow of $309.9M (-6.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, CDP closed FY2025 with $4.70B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $42.1M $0 $309.9M $309.9M $4.70B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $75.5M $0 $331.0M $331.0M $4.25B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $60.2M $0 $276.3M $276.3M — —

3. CDP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CDP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, COPT Defense Properties of (NYSE: CDP) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $34.25 (+2.33% 1D, market cap $3.88B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CDP ranks #628 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CDP compare to COLD and SLG in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), CDP carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, COLD (Americold Realty Trust Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.2%, cap $4.17B) and SLG (SL Green Realty Corp) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 14.7%, cap $3.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LXP leads on earnings multiple (31.9x) while SLG leads on capital efficiency (14.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CDP?

Per CDP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000860546), COPT Defense Properties of generated $42.1M in revenue (-44.3% YoY), $0 in net income, and $309.9M in free cash flow against $4.70B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CDP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CDP last traded at $34.25 (+2.33% on volume of 742,761 shares), positioning the stock -0.67% below its 50-day simple moving average ($34.48) and +1.96% above its 200-day simple moving average ($33.59). Across its 52-week range of $27.06 to $38.90, CDP sits at the 60.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.3% ($32.78 to $35.72).

CDP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is CDP's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for CDP.

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