MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why CDP Stock surged +2.33% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$34.25 +2.33% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.33
COPT Defense Properties of (CDP) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $3.88B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.33 (+0.23%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 736.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CDP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CDP SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (21% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 736.6% FCF Margin ($309.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (21% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 61% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 44.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$33.48-0.6% Next Q
49
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$33.29+1.9% Next Q
52
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$33.93+0.9% Next Q
54
CurrentGrade D+$34.25-0.2% Hist 90D α
57
Trajectory: D (49) → D+ (57)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CDP Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, CDP faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($34.48) or 200D SMA ($33.59) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($34.10) toward Bear Floor ($26.60).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CDP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CDP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why CDP Stock surged +2.33% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
COPT Defense Properties of (CDP) surged +2.33% to $34.25, trading at 61% of its 52-week range ($27.06 – $38.9). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 61% of its 52-week range ($27.06 – $38.9) with RSI-14 at 44.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.3% around $34.25 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $309.9M annual free cash flow.
Live CDP Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 7h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 9h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CDP)
- ✓Walkthrough of CDP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
CDP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +9.60%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $35.17H $36.21L $33.25C $34.25VOL 1.19M
RES: $37.63SUP: $32.55SMA50: $34.48SMA200: $33.59
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
CDP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -44.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CDP today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CDP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CDP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CDP)
Financials Rank #628 of 1096
⚔️ COLD vs CDP Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CDP vs. COLD, SLG, LXP, KRC)
Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, COPT Defense Properties of (CDP) ranks #628 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #317 by equity capitalization ($3.88B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LXP leads on earnings valuation at 31.9x trailing P/E, while SLG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.7% ROIC and — gross margin. LXP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with CDP at 57/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDP
ACTIVE
COPT Defense Properties of | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | — | +2.33% | $3.88B | Benchmark Subject |
| COLD Americold Realty Trust Inc. | D- | 39/100 | — | — | 0.2% | +3.55% | $4.17B | /cold-vs-cdp → |
| SLG SL Green Realty Corp | C+ | 68/100 | — | — | 14.7% | +3.96% | $3.61B | /slg-vs-cdp → |
| LXP LXP Industrial Trust (Maryland REIT) | B- | 70/100 | 31.9x | — | 4.4% | +0.05% | $3.61B | /lxp-vs-cdp → |
| KRC Kilroy Realty Corporation | C- | 61/100 | — | — | 0.0% | +2.42% | $4.23B | /krc-vs-cdp → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000860546In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), COPT Defense Properties of (CDP) reported GAAP revenue of $42.1M (-44.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $75.5M , and -30.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $309.9M, and free cash flow of $309.9M (-6.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, CDP closed FY2025 with $4.70B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $42.1M | $0 | $309.9M | $309.9M | $4.70B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $75.5M | $0 | $331.0M | $331.0M | $4.25B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $60.2M | $0 | $276.3M | $276.3M | — | — |
3. CDP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CDP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, COPT Defense Properties of (NYSE: CDP) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $34.25 (+2.33% 1D, market cap $3.88B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CDP ranks #628 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CDP compare to COLD and SLG in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), CDP carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, COLD (Americold Realty Trust Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.2%, cap $4.17B) and SLG (SL Green Realty Corp) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 14.7%, cap $3.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LXP leads on earnings multiple (31.9x) while SLG leads on capital efficiency (14.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CDP?
Per CDP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000860546), COPT Defense Properties of generated $42.1M in revenue (-44.3% YoY), $0 in net income, and $309.9M in free cash flow against $4.70B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CDP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CDP last traded at $34.25 (+2.33% on volume of 742,761 shares), positioning the stock -0.67% below its 50-day simple moving average ($34.48) and +1.96% above its 200-day simple moving average ($33.59). Across its 52-week range of $27.06 to $38.90, CDP sits at the 60.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.3% ($32.78 to $35.72).
CDP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CDP stock moving today?
Why CDP Stock surged +2.33% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.