Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / CCS / forecast

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Century Communities Inc. (CCS) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$53.56 -5.52% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $52.93

Century Communities Inc. (CCS) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.52B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $52.93 (-1.18%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CCS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CCS SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3% FCF Margin ($124.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$55.67-1.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$54.59+6.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$57.92-7.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$53.56-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (65) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CCS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, CCS faces multiple-compression risk if 10.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($60.43) or 200D SMA ($62.09) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($53.32) toward Bear Floor ($41.59).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CCS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CCS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your CCS Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $53.56: 186.7 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $41.59

$7,765

$-2,235 (-22.3%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $53.32

$9,955

$-45 (-0.4%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $79.80

$14,899

+$4,899 (+49.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$55	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$75	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$47	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CCS)

✓Walkthrough of CCS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CCS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.39%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $54.27H $56.53L $50.94C $53.56VOL 474.6K

RES: $74.56SUP: $51.91SMA50: $60.43SMA200: $62.09

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CCS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CCS Butterfly Map → + Track CCS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-0.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -6.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CCS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CCS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CCS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CCS)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #480 of 1011 ⚔️ LGIH vs CCS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CCS vs. LGIH, DFH, GRBK, KBH)

Industry: Homebuilding (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Century Communities Inc. (CCS) ranks #480 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #451 by equity capitalization ($1.52B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DFH leads on earnings valuation at 4.2x trailing P/E, while GRBK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.5% ROIC and 31.4% gross margin. GRBK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with CCS at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CCS ACTIVE Century Communities Inc.	D+	57/100	10.3x	—	5.7%	-5.52%	$1.52B	Benchmark Subject
LGIH LGI Homes Inc.	D	44/100	14.0x	20.7%	3.0%	+5.12%	$1.02B	/lgih-vs-ccs →
DFH Dream Finders Homes Inc. (Class A)	D	51/100	4.2x	—	15.3%	+3.29%	$909.0M	/dfh-vs-ccs →
GRBK Green Brick Partners Inc.	C	65/100	7.7x	31.4%	18.5%	-0.62%	$2.65B	/grbk-vs-ccs →
KBH KB Home	C-	60/100	6.8x	—	11.0%	+3.23%	$2.90B	/kbh-vs-ccs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001576940

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Century Communities Inc. (CCS) reported GAAP revenue of $4.12B (-6.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.40B , and +11.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $147.6M, operating cash flow of $153.1M, and free cash flow of $124.3M (+43.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, CCS closed FY2025 with $4.46B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$4.12B	$147.6M	$153.1M	$124.3M	$4.46B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$4.40B	$333.8M	$125.7M	$86.7M	$4.53B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$3.69B	$259.2M	$41.6M	$41.6M	—	—

3. CCS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CCS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Century Communities Inc. (NYSE: CCS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $53.56 (-5.52% 1D, market cap $1.52B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CCS ranks #480 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CCS compare to LGIH and DFH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), CCS carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.7%. By comparison, LGIH (LGI Homes Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 14.0x, ROIC 3.0%, cap $1.02B) and DFH (Dream Finders Homes Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 4.2x, ROIC 15.3%, cap $909.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DFH leads on earnings multiple (4.2x) while GRBK leads on capital efficiency (18.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CCS?

Per CCS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001576940), Century Communities Inc. generated $4.12B in revenue (-6.4% YoY), $147.6M in net income, and $124.3M in free cash flow against $4.46B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CCS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CCS last traded at $53.56 (-5.52% on volume of 891,427 shares), positioning the stock -11.37% below its 50-day simple moving average ($60.43) and -13.74% below its 200-day simple moving average ($62.09). Across its 52-week range of $47.28 to $76.00, CCS sits at the 21.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.0% ($48.74 to $58.38).

CCS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is CCS's 12-month stock price target?

Century Communities Inc. (CCS) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $53.32 (-0.4% from $53.56), with a bull-case target of $79.8 and a bear-case floor of $41.59.

Is CCS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates CCS D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 57/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: CCS RQD Cockpit CCS 12M Forecast CCS Earnings & Move CCS Dividends & DRIP CCS Insiders & 13F CCS Whale Options CCS Profit Sankey CCS News & Why