Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / CATO / insiders

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Cato Corporation (Class A) (CATO) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$2.38 -0.42% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.37

Cato Corporation (Class A) (CATO) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $47.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.37 (-0.27%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CATO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CATO SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 6% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 40.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$2.47-4.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$2.35-0.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$2.33+2.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$2.38-7.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (49) → D- (41)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CATO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CATO currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.46) and Max Pain ($2.50) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.24.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CATO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CATO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 41%NO 59%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

CATO Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (CATO)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on CATO. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CATO)

✓Walkthrough of CATO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CATO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -17.07%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $2.31H $2.38L $2.30C $2.38VOL 45.0K

RES: $3.82SUP: $1.84SMA50: $2.46SMA200: $2.95

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CATO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CATO Butterfly Map → + Track CATO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CATO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CATO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CATO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CATO)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #815 of 1011 ⚔️ DXLG vs CATO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CATO vs. DXLG, TLYS, VNCE, JL)

Industry: Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores (25 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cato Corporation (Class A) (CATO) ranks #815 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #819 by equity capitalization ($47.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JL leads on earnings valuation at 5.6x trailing P/E, while VNCE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.6% ROIC and — gross margin. JL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with CATO at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CATO ACTIVE Cato Corporation (Class A)	D-	41/100	—	34.0%	-7.1%	-0.42%	$47.4M	Benchmark Subject
DXLG Destination XL Group Inc.	D-	42/100	—	43.4%	-17.0%	-8.51%	$25.9M	/dxlg-vs-cato →
TLYS Tilly's Inc.	E	31/100	—	29.7%	-35.0%	-0.46%	$132.7M	/tlys-vs-cato →
VNCE Vince Holding Corp.	D	45/100	—	—	10.6%	-7.10%	$137.2M	/vnce-vs-cato →
JL J-Long Group Limited (Class A)	B	72/100	5.6x	34.0%	—	+1.97%	$15.4M	/jl-vs-cato →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0000018255

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Cato Corporation (Class A) (CATO) reported GAAP revenue of $653.8M (+0.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $649.8M , and -7.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$5.9M, operating cash flow of -$1.5M, and free cash flow of -$5.2M (+81.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, CATO closed FY2025 with $421.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-31	$653.8M	-$5.9M	-$1.5M	-$5.2M	$421.4M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-02-01	$649.8M	-$18.1M	-$19.7M	-$27.6M	$452.4M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-02-03	$708.1M	-$23.9M	$477.0K	$477.0K	—	—

3. CATO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CATO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Cato Corporation (Class A) (NYSE: CATO) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $2.38 (-0.42% 1D, market cap $47.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CATO ranks #815 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CATO compare to DXLG and TLYS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores), CATO carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 34.0%, and ROIC of -7.1%. By comparison, DXLG (Destination XL Group Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -17.0%, cap $25.9M) and TLYS (Tilly's Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $132.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JL leads on earnings multiple (5.6x) while VNCE leads on capital efficiency (10.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CATO?

Per CATO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000018255), Cato Corporation (Class A) generated $653.8M in revenue (+0.6% YoY), -$5.9M in net income, and -$5.2M in free cash flow against $421.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CATO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CATO last traded at $2.38 (-0.42% on volume of 21,287 shares), positioning the stock -3.25% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.46) and -19.32% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.95). Across its 52-week range of $2.28 to $4.04, CATO sits at the 5.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.5% ($2.25 to $2.51).

CATO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are CATO insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies CATO leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

Direct Sub-Reports: CATO RQD Cockpit CATO 12M Forecast CATO Earnings & Move CATO Dividends & DRIP CATO Insiders & 13F CATO Whale Options CATO Profit Sankey CATO News & Why