Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / CALY / earnings

PTON (50) YETI (85) MAT (67) GOLF (70) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Callaway Golf Company (CALY) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.3% Move

$15.19 +3.90% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.27

Callaway Golf Company (CALY) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.71B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.27 (+0.51%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 14.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CALY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CALY SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 56% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 63.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.3% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 6.2% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$13.67+1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$13.81+2.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$14.13+7.5% Next Q

Current

Grade C$15.19+0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CALY Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, CALY faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 39.6% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($14.72) or 200D SMA ($15.46) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($15.53) toward Bear Floor ($12.11).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CALY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CALY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.3% Swing Band

±$0.81 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

CALY Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 63/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -0.8%

Model Bullish Setup (63/100)Model Risk Weight (37/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$2.06B	-$409.3M	$302.2M	42.1%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$2.08B	-$1.45B	$333.3M	42.7%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$2.13B	$95.0M	$364.7M	42.1%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating CALY & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on CALY
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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CALY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.72%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $15.42H $15.54L $15.07C $15.19VOL 2.06M

RES: $21.07SUP: $12.69SMA50: $14.72SMA200: $15.46

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CALY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CALY Butterfly Map → + Track CALY →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

13.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CALY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CALY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CALY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CALY)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #324 of 1011 ⚔️ PTON vs CALY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CALY vs. PTON, YETI, MAT, GOLF)

Industry: Recreational Games/Products/Toys (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Callaway Golf Company (CALY) ranks #324 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #379 by equity capitalization ($2.71B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MAT leads on earnings valuation at 11.1x trailing P/E, while YETI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.5% ROIC and 57.4% gross margin. YETI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 85/100 (A-) compared with CALY at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CALY ACTIVE Callaway Golf Company	C	63/100	—	42.1%	5.6%	+3.90%	$2.71B	Benchmark Subject
PTON Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A)	D	50/100	—	50.9%	-24.3%	+0.19%	$2.35B	/pton-vs-caly →
YETI YETI Holdings Inc.	A-	85/100	19.5x	57.4%	23.5%	+2.98%	$3.23B	/yeti-vs-caly →
MAT Mattel Inc.	C+	67/100	11.1x	48.7%	13.0%	+1.31%	$4.42B	/mat-vs-caly →
GOLF Acushnet Holdings Corp.	B-	70/100	26.5x	47.7%	13.8%	+2.73%	$5.00B	/golf-vs-caly →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000837465

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Callaway Golf Company (CALY) reported GAAP revenue of $2.06B (-0.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.08B , and -3.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$409.3M, operating cash flow of $334.0M, and free cash flow of $302.2M (-9.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, CALY closed FY2025 with $7.29B in total assets against $650.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.06B	-$409.3M	$334.0M	$302.2M	$7.29B	$650.7M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.08B	-$1.45B	$382.0M	$333.3M	$7.64B	$1.41B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.13B	$95.0M	$364.7M	$364.7M	—	—

3. CALY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CALY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Callaway Golf Company (NYSE: CALY) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $15.19 (+3.90% 1D, market cap $2.71B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CALY ranks #324 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CALY compare to PTON and YETI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Recreational Games/Products/Toys), CALY carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 42.1%, and ROIC of 5.6%. By comparison, PTON (Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A)) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.3%, cap $2.35B) and YETI (YETI Holdings Inc.) posts a A- grade (85/100 RQD, P/E 19.5x, ROIC 23.5%, cap $3.23B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MAT leads on earnings multiple (11.1x) while YETI leads on capital efficiency (23.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CALY?

Per CALY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000837465), Callaway Golf Company generated $2.06B in revenue (-0.8% YoY), -$409.3M in net income, and $302.2M in free cash flow against $7.29B in total assets and $650.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CALY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CALY last traded at $15.19 (+3.90% on volume of 1,369,357 shares), positioning the stock +3.19% above its 50-day simple moving average ($14.72) and -1.75% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.46). Across its 52-week range of $8.71 to $20.28, CALY sits at the 56.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.3% ($14.38 to $16.00).

CALY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is CALY's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Callaway Golf Company (CALY)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is CALY stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.3% event move for CALY, spanning a range between $14.38 and $16.

Direct Sub-Reports: CALY RQD Cockpit CALY 12M Forecast CALY Earnings & Move CALY Dividends & DRIP CALY Insiders & 13F CALY Whale Options CALY Profit Sankey CALY News & Why