Cal-Maine Foods Inc. (CALM) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$62.07 +1.46% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $62.38

Cal-Maine Foods Inc. (CALM) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 75/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (23% profit margin, 12% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $2.90B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $62.38 (+0.50%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 11.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 75/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510075
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk B
Cash (16)Whales (14)SEC (13)Macro (16)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.7% Base Target
$100 Bull$67 Base$51 Bear
📬 FREE CALM RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CALM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (75/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CALM SCORES 75/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 11.3% FCF Margin ($328.5M FCF) & 23.1% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 6% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 44.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 7 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
83
Grade A$64.35-1.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
80
Grade A-$63.65-1.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
78
Grade A-$62.60-0.8% Next Q
Current
75
Grade B$62.07+7.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: A (83) → B (75)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CALM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 75/100 (B) score, CALM faces multiple-compression risk if 9.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 20.6% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($69.95) or 200D SMA ($78.44) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($66.82) toward Bear Floor ($50.90).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CALM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CALM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your CALM Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $62.07: 161.1 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $50.90
$8,200
$-1,800 (-18.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $66.82
$10,765
+$765 (+7.7%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $100.01
$16,112
+$6,112 (+61.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (43 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 32● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskOUTPERFORM$6974%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadSTRONG BUY$9469%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$5958%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CALM Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
CALM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -19.66%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $63.25H $63.93L $62.07C $62.07VOL 882.7K
RES: $92.69SUP: $55.99SMA50: $69.95SMA200: $78.44
$97.71$87.52$77.34$67.15$56.97RES $92.69SUP $55.99$62.072026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CALM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-2.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -31.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CALM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CALM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CALM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CALM)

Consumer Staples Rank #9 of 146 ⚔️ AGRO vs CALM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (CALM vs. AGRO, DMC, DOLE, CTVA)

Industry: Farming/Seeds/Milling (25 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cal-Maine Foods Inc. (CALM) ranks #9 by composite RQD confidence (75/100, grade B) and #51 by equity capitalization ($2.90B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CTVA leads on earnings valuation at 7.0x trailing P/E, while CALM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.9% ROIC and 23.1% gross margin. CALM currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 75/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CALM ACTIVE
Cal-Maine Foods Inc.
B 75/100 9.2x 23.1% 11.9% +1.46% $2.90B Benchmark Subject
AGRO
Adecoagro S.A.
D+ 58/100 — — — -1.12% $1.40B /agro-vs-calm →
DMC
Del Monte Corporation
D+ 58/100 14.0x 9.2% 5.5% -4.24% $1.31B /dmc-vs-calm →
DOLE
Dole plc
C- 61/100 24.2x 7.8% 9.3% +0.08% $1.24B /dole-vs-calm →
CTVA
Corteva Inc.
D+ 57/100 7.0x 47.3% 3.7% +1.24% $7.65B /ctva-vs-calm →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-05-30 • CIK 0000016160

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-05-30), Cal-Maine Foods Inc. (CALM) reported GAAP revenue of $2.91B (-31.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.26B , and +25.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $316.7M, operating cash flow of $479.8M, and free cash flow of $328.5M (-69.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, CALM closed FY2025 with $3.14B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.01, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-05-30 $2.91B $316.7M $479.8M $328.5M $3.14B —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-05-31 $4.26B $1.22B $1.22B $1.06B $2.49B —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-06-01 $2.33B $277.9M $451.4M $451.4M — —

3. CALM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CALM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Cal-Maine Foods Inc. (NASDAQ: CALM) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $62.07 (+1.46% 1D, market cap $2.90B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, CALM ranks #9 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CALM compare to AGRO and DMC in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Farming/Seeds/Milling), CALM carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.2x, gross margin of 23.1%, and ROIC of 11.9%. By comparison, AGRO (Adecoagro S.A.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.40B) and DMC (Del Monte Corporation) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 14.0x, ROIC 5.5%, cap $1.31B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CTVA leads on earnings multiple (7.0x) while CALM leads on capital efficiency (11.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CALM?

Per CALM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-30, CIK 0000016160), Cal-Maine Foods Inc. generated $2.91B in revenue (-31.7% YoY), $316.7M in net income, and $328.5M in free cash flow against $3.14B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (23% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CALM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CALM last traded at $62.07 (+1.46% on volume of 901,852 shares), positioning the stock -11.27% below its 50-day simple moving average ($69.95) and -20.87% below its 200-day simple moving average ($78.44). Across its 52-week range of $60.13 to $95.25, CALM sits at the 5.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($57.91 to $66.23).

CALM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is CALM's 12-month stock price target?

Cal-Maine Foods Inc. (CALM) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $66.82 (+7.7% from $62.07), with a bull-case target of $100.01 and a bear-case floor of $50.9.

Is CALM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates CALM B (Buy — BUY) with an RQD Confidence score of 75/100.

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