Cabaletta Bio Inc. (CABA) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1.59 +4.28% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Cabaletta Bio Inc. (CABA) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $268.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510042
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (7)Whales (10)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.9% Base Target
$4 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE CABA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CABA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
37.130 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
2 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE9% OF RANGE
L: $1$1.59H: $4
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 15 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on CABA

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (35)

-35.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 2/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (42)

15/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CABA
  • ✓Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CABA)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CABA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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CABA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -46.82%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $1.55H $1.59L $1.43C $1.59VOL 3.73M
RES: $3.52SUP: $1.27SMA50: $2.30SMA200: $2.86
$4.43$3.59$2.75$1.90$1.06RES $3.52SUP $1.27$1.592026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CABA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CABA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CABA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CABA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CABA)

Health Care Rank #575 of 1016 ⚔️ IPSC vs CABA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (CABA vs. IPSC, LCTX, FATE, OCGN)

Industry: Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cabaletta Bio Inc. (CABA) ranks #575 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #533 by equity capitalization ($268.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CABA leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while IPSC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -14.1% ROIC and — gross margin. CABA currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CABA ACTIVE
Cabaletta Bio Inc.
D- 42/100 — — -35.0% +4.28% $268.7M Benchmark Subject
IPSC
Century Therapeutics Inc.
E 28/100 — — -14.1% -2.67% $264.4M /ipsc-vs-caba →
LCTX
Lineage Cell Therapeutics Inc.
E 29/100 — — -35.0% -0.96% $260.5M /lctx-vs-caba →
FATE
Fate Therapeutics Inc.
D- 40/100 — — -35.0% 0.00% $260.0M /fate-vs-caba →
OCGN
Ocugen Inc.
D- 35/100 — — -35.0% -4.15% $252.4M /ocgn-vs-caba →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001759138

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Cabaletta Bio Inc. (CABA) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$167.9M, operating cash flow of -$131.1M, and free cash flow of -$132.3M (-46.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, CABA closed FY2025 with $165.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$167.9M -$131.1M -$132.3M $165.1M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$115.9M -$88.2M -$90.4M $185.0M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$67.7M -$53.5M -$53.5M — —

3. CABA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CABA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Cabaletta Bio Inc. (NASDAQ: CABA) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $1.59 (+4.28% 1D, market cap $268.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, CABA ranks #575 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CABA compare to IPSC and LCTX in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), CABA carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, IPSC (Century Therapeutics Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.1%, cap $264.4M) and LCTX (Lineage Cell Therapeutics Inc.) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $260.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CABA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while IPSC leads on capital efficiency (-14.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CABA?

Per CABA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001759138), Cabaletta Bio Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$167.9M in net income, and -$132.3M in free cash flow against $165.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CABA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CABA last traded at $1.59 (+4.28% on volume of 5,412,148 shares), positioning the stock -30.87% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.30) and -44.41% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.86). Across its 52-week range of $1.32 to $4.23, CABA sits at the 9.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.39 to $1.79).

CABA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell CABA stock right now?

Cabaletta Bio Inc. (CABA) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 42/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is CABA's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

CABA's 12-month base price target is $1.48 (range $1.15 to $4.44), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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