CATALYSTYahoo • 3d ago
Can Axon Stock Jump 50%?For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
Why BYRN Stock dropped -9.66% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$4.30 -9.66% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.22
Byrna Technologies Inc. (BYRN) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $111.4M
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Is BYRN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Byrna Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: BYRN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $4.30 (-9.66% 1D, market cap $111.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, BYRN ranks #160 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does BYRN compare to CODA and OWLT in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), BYRN carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.5x, gross margin of 60.5%, and ROIC of 18.0%. By comparison, CODA (Coda Octopus Group Inc.) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 26.1x, ROIC 12.0%, cap $108.0M) and OWLT (Owlet Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $122.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BYRN leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while CEPL leads on capital efficiency (59.3% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BYRN?
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Per BYRN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30, CIK 0001354866), Byrna Technologies Inc. generated $118.1M in revenue (+37.7% YoY), $9.7M in net income, and -$9.2M in free cash flow against $84.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.22 (-1.93%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BYRN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BYRN SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (28% of score)
Altman Z-Score 5.31 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (19% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 10 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B-$4.52+7.1% Next Q
66
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C+$4.84-0.4% Next Q
63
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$4.82-10.8% Next Q
61
CurrentGrade D+$4.30+0% Hist 90D α
58
Trajectory: B- (66) → D+ (58)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BYRN Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, BYRN faces multiple-compression risk if 11.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 58.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($3.98) or 200D SMA ($6.91) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($4.30) toward Bear Floor ($3.35).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BYRN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BYRN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why BYRN Stock dropped -9.66% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Byrna Technologies Inc. (BYRN) dropped -9.66% to $4.30, trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($3.17 – $21.19). Stretched risk/reward at 12x P/E (18% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($3.17 – $21.19) with RSI-14 at 46.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $4.30 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 60.5% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live BYRN Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 4d ago
2 small-cap stocks to keep an eye on and 1 we questionInvestors looking for hidden gems should keep an eye on small-cap stocks because they’re frequently overlooked by Wall Street. Many opportunities exist in this part of the market, but it is also a high-risk, high-reward
MARKET WIREYahoo • 5d ago
Is Axon Stock Increasing Your Market Risk?For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
RISK WATCHYahoo • 10d ago
2 Reasons to watch BYRN and 1 to stay cautiousShareholders of Byrna would probably like to forget the past six months even happened. The stock dropped 23.5% and now trades at $4.77. This may have investors wondering how to approach the situation.
RISK WATCHYahoo • 12d ago
Has Buying Axon Stock's Dips Paid Off?Axon Enterprise (AXON) shares declined 16.6% between their September 22 close and October 19, 2026. The sharpest daily loss took place on October 16, when the stock gave up 6.4%. A rapid slide leaves some investors looki
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BYRN)
- ✓Walkthrough of BYRN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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BYRN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -26.50%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $4.71H $4.71L $4.28C $4.30VOL 275.3K
RES: $5.26SUP: $3.30SMA50: $3.98SMA200: $6.91
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
BYRN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
1.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +37.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BYRN today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BYRN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BYRN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BYRN)
Industrials Rank #160 of 485
⚔️ CODA vs BYRN Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (BYRN vs. CODA, OWLT, NEOV, CEPL)
Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Byrna Technologies Inc. (BYRN) ranks #160 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #371 by equity capitalization ($111.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BYRN leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while CEPL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 59.3% ROIC and 32.0% gross margin. CODA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with BYRN at 58/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BYRN
ACTIVE
Byrna Technologies Inc. | D+ | 58/100 | 11.5x | 60.5% | 18.0% | -9.66% | $111.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| CODA Coda Octopus Group Inc. | B+ | 78/100 | 26.1x | 66.5% | 12.0% | -5.49% | $108.0M | /coda-vs-byrn → |
| OWLT Owlet Inc. (Class A) | E | 29/100 | — | 50.9% | -35.0% | -3.34% | $122.4M | /owlt-vs-byrn → |
| NEOV NeoVolta Inc. | D- | 42/100 | — | 17.9% | -35.0% | -6.09% | $135.7M | /neov-vs-byrn → |
| CEPL Capstone Energy Plus Inc. | D- | 43/100 | 32.3x | 32.0% | 59.3% | -5.05% | $90.3M | /cepl-vs-byrn → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-11-30 • CIK 0001354866In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30), Byrna Technologies Inc. (BYRN) reported GAAP revenue of $118.1M (+37.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $85.8M , and +177.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $9.7M, operating cash flow of -$1.6M, and free cash flow of -$9.2M (-197.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, BYRN closed FY2025 with $84.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.31, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-11-30 | $118.1M | $9.7M | -$1.6M | -$9.2M | $84.5M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-11-30 | $85.8M | $12.8M | $11.7M | $9.4M | $71.9M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-11-30 | $42.6M | -$8.2M | $3.9M | $3.9M | — | — |
3. BYRN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs BYRN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Byrna Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: BYRN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $4.30 (-9.66% 1D, market cap $111.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, BYRN ranks #160 in composite RQD confidence.
How does BYRN compare to CODA and OWLT in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), BYRN carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.5x, gross margin of 60.5%, and ROIC of 18.0%. By comparison, CODA (Coda Octopus Group Inc.) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 26.1x, ROIC 12.0%, cap $108.0M) and OWLT (Owlet Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $122.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BYRN leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while CEPL leads on capital efficiency (59.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BYRN?
Per BYRN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30, CIK 0001354866), Byrna Technologies Inc. generated $118.1M in revenue (+37.7% YoY), $9.7M in net income, and -$9.2M in free cash flow against $84.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is BYRN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
BYRN last traded at $4.30 (-9.66% on volume of 275,363 shares), positioning the stock +8.04% above its 50-day simple moving average ($3.98) and -37.77% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.91). Across its 52-week range of $3.17 to $21.19, BYRN sits at the 6.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.76 to $4.84).
BYRN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is BYRN stock moving today?
Why BYRN Stock dropped -9.66% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 12x P/E (18% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.