Stock Ratings / Financials / BUR / insiders

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Burford Capital Limited (BUR) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$3.49 +3.25% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.50

Burford Capital Limited (BUR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $763.7M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BUR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BUR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Burford Capital Limited (NYSE: BUR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $3.49 (+3.25% 1D, market cap $763.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BUR ranks #1003 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BUR compare to CGBD and WRLD in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), BUR carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.7%. By comparison, CGBD (Carlyle Secured Lending Inc.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 10.6x, ROIC 6.0%, cap $743.8M) and WRLD (World Acceptance Corporation) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 23.7x, ROIC 9.8%, cap $820.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CGBD leads on earnings multiple (10.6x) while GDOT leads on capital efficiency (30.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BUR?

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Per BUR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001714174), Burford Capital Limited generated $413.4M in revenue (-24.3% YoY), $62.6M in net income, and -$29.3M in free cash flow against $6.64B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.50 (+0.39%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BUR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BUR SCORES 33/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+7/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 35% Net Buy • Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (50.1) create a -15 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$3.48-11.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$3.08+5.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$3.25+7.4% Next Q

Current

Grade E$3.49-8.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (25) → E (33)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BUR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BUR currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.80) and Max Pain ($3.66) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.61.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BUR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BUR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 33%NO 67%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

BUR Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (BUR)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on BUR. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BUR)

✓Walkthrough of BUR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

BUR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -33.65%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $3.38H $3.49L $3.38C $3.49VOL 2.03M

RES: $4.38SUP: $2.65SMA50: $3.80SMA200: $5.35

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BUR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BUR Butterfly Map → + Track BUR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

2.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -24.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BUR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BUR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BUR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BUR)

Financials Rank #1003 of 1096 ⚔️ CGBD vs BUR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BUR vs. CGBD, WRLD, GDOT, CD)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Burford Capital Limited (BUR) ranks #1003 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #608 by equity capitalization ($763.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CGBD leads on earnings valuation at 10.6x trailing P/E, while GDOT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 30.6% ROIC and — gross margin. WRLD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with BUR at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BUR ACTIVE Burford Capital Limited	E	33/100	12.2x	—	9.7%	+3.25%	$763.7M	Benchmark Subject
CGBD Carlyle Secured Lending Inc.	D-	38/100	10.6x	—	6.0%	+2.27%	$743.8M	/cgbd-vs-bur →
WRLD World Acceptance Corporation	D+	58/100	23.7x	—	9.8%	+1.02%	$820.3M	/wrld-vs-bur →
GDOT Green Dot Corporation $0.001 par value (Class A)	D+	56/100	—	—	30.6%	+1.06%	$706.0M	/gdot-vs-bur →
CD Chaince Digital Holdings Inc.	D-	40/100	—	—	-7.2%	-17.60%	$829.4M	/cd-vs-bur →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001714174

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Burford Capital Limited (BUR) reported GAAP revenue of $413.4M (-24.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $546.1M , and -62.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $62.6M, operating cash flow of -$29.0M, and free cash flow of -$29.3M (-113.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, BUR closed FY2025 with $6.64B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$413.4M	$62.6M	-$29.0M	-$29.3M	$6.64B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$546.1M	$146.5M	$216.7M	$216.1M	$6.18B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.09B	$610.5M	-$274.7M	-$274.7M	—	—

3. BUR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BUR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does BUR compare to CGBD and WRLD in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BUR?

Where is BUR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BUR last traded at $3.49 (+3.25% on volume of 2,026,980 shares), positioning the stock -8.16% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.80) and -34.77% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.35). Across its 52-week range of $2.86 to $10.10, BUR sits at the 8.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.8% ($3.11 to $3.87).

BUR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are BUR insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies BUR leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

Direct Sub-Reports: BUR RQD Cockpit BUR 12M Forecast BUR Earnings & Move BUR Dividends & DRIP BUR Insiders & 13F BUR Whale Options BUR Profit Sankey BUR News & Why