Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / BUDA / earnings

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Buda Juice Inc. (BUDA) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±11.7% Move

$6.78 -0.95% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.76

Buda Juice Inc. (BUDA) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $85.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.76 (-0.36%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 23% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BUDA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BUDA SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 23% FCF Margin ($2.9M FCF) & 44.6% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B+$7.60-1.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$7.50-12% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$6.60+2.7% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$6.78+1.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B+ (76) → C+ (68)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BUDA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, BUDA faces multiple-compression risk if 24.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 42.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($7.68) or 200D SMA ($8.79) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($7.09) toward Bear Floor ($5.53).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BUDA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BUDA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 68%NO 32%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±11.7% Swing Band

±$0.79 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

BUDA Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 68/100

Trailing EPS: $0.28 • YoY Revenue Growth: 11.8%

Model Bullish Setup (68/100)Model Risk Weight (32/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$12.6M	$3.5M	$2.9M	44.6%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$11.3M	$3.6M	$3.3M	46.2%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating BUDA & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on BUDA
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

BUDA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.63%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $6.55H $7.47L $6.53C $6.78VOL 10.7K

RES: $8.24SUP: $6.12SMA50: $7.68SMA200: $8.79

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BUDA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BUDA Butterfly Map → + Track BUDA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

17.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BUDA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BUDA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BUDA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BUDA)

Consumer Staples Rank #22 of 146 ⚔️ ZVIA vs BUDA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (BUDA vs. ZVIA, WATR, BRCC, SRXH)

Industry: Beverages (Production/Distribution) (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Buda Juice Inc. (BUDA) ranks #22 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #103 by equity capitalization ($85.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BUDA leads on earnings valuation at 24.1x trailing P/E, while BUDA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 62.1% ROIC and 44.6% gross margin. BUDA currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BUDA ACTIVE Buda Juice Inc.	C+	68/100	24.1x	44.6%	62.1%	-0.95%	$85.1M	Benchmark Subject
ZVIA Zevia PBC (Class A)	E	32/100	—	48.0%	-35.0%	0.00%	$95.1M	/zvia-vs-buda →
WATR Air Water Ventures Limited	D	48/100	—	—	—	-7.48%	$43.0M	/watr-vs-buda →
BRCC BRC Inc. (Class A)	D-	42/100	—	34.6%	-26.4%	+6.91%	$325.1M	/brcc-vs-buda →
SRXH SRX Global Inc.	E	21/100	—	23.4%	-35.0%	-2.88%	$20.5M	/srxh-vs-buda →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002079720

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Buda Juice Inc. (BUDA) reported GAAP revenue of $12.6M (+11.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $11.3M ) , GAAP net income of $3.5M, operating cash flow of $3.1M, and free cash flow of $2.9M (-11.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, BUDA closed FY2025 with $5.0M in total assets against $647.0K in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$12.6M	$3.5M	$3.1M	$2.9M	$5.0M	$647.0K
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$11.3M	$3.6M	$4.0M	$3.3M	$3.7M	—

3. BUDA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BUDA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Buda Juice Inc. (NYSE: BUDA) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $6.78 (-0.95% 1D, market cap $85.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, BUDA ranks #22 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BUDA compare to ZVIA and WATR in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), BUDA carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.1x, gross margin of 44.6%, and ROIC of 62.1%. By comparison, ZVIA (Zevia PBC (Class A)) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $95.1M) and WATR (Air Water Ventures Limited) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $43.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BUDA leads on earnings multiple (24.1x) while BUDA leads on capital efficiency (62.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BUDA?

Per BUDA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002079720), Buda Juice Inc. generated $12.6M in revenue (+11.8% YoY), $3.5M in net income, and $2.9M in free cash flow against $5.0M in total assets and $647.0K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (45% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BUDA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BUDA last traded at $6.78 (-0.95% on volume of 805 shares), positioning the stock -11.72% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.68) and -22.87% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.79). Across its 52-week range of $6.25 to $12.00, BUDA sits at the 9.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.7% ($5.99 to $7.57).

BUDA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is BUDA's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Buda Juice Inc. (BUDA)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is BUDA stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±11.7% event move for BUDA, spanning a range between $5.99 and $7.57.

Direct Sub-Reports: BUDA RQD Cockpit BUDA 12M Forecast BUDA Earnings & Move BUDA Dividends & DRIP BUDA Insiders & 13F BUDA Whale Options BUDA Profit Sankey BUDA News & Why