Buda Juice Inc. (BUDA) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$6.78 -0.95% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.76

Buda Juice Inc. (BUDA) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $85.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.76 (-0.36%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 23% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510068
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B
Cash (15)Whales (8)SEC (15)Macro (14)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.6% Base Target
$13 Bull$7 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE BUDA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BUDA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BUDA SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 23% FCF Margin ($2.9M FCF) & 44.6% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
76
Grade B+$7.60-1.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
73
Grade B$7.50-12% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
71
Grade B$6.60+2.7% Next Q
Current
68
Grade C+$6.78+1.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (76) → C+ (68)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BUDA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, BUDA faces multiple-compression risk if 24.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 42.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($7.68) or 200D SMA ($8.79) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($7.09) toward Bear Floor ($5.53).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BUDA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BUDA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
39.930 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE9% OF RANGE
L: $6$6.78H: $12
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (45% profit margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: BRQD 15 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 29 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on BUDA

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (75)

62.1% ROIC with 44.6% gross margin and 3.41% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (75)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (63)

24/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 14/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like BUDA
  • ✓Strong cash generator (45% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BUDA Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
BUDA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.63%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $6.55H $7.47L $6.53C $6.78VOL 10.7K
RES: $8.24SUP: $6.12SMA50: $7.68SMA200: $8.79
$12.40$10.74$9.07$7.40$5.73RES $8.24SUP $6.12$6.782026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BUDA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
17.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BUDA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BUDA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BUDA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BUDA)

Consumer Staples Rank #22 of 146 ⚔️ ZVIA vs BUDA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (BUDA vs. ZVIA, WATR, BRCC, SRXH)

Industry: Beverages (Production/Distribution) (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Buda Juice Inc. (BUDA) ranks #22 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #103 by equity capitalization ($85.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BUDA leads on earnings valuation at 24.1x trailing P/E, while BUDA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 62.1% ROIC and 44.6% gross margin. BUDA currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BUDA ACTIVE
Buda Juice Inc.
C+ 68/100 24.1x 44.6% 62.1% -0.95% $85.1M Benchmark Subject
ZVIA
Zevia PBC (Class A)
E 32/100 — 48.0% -35.0% 0.00% $95.1M /zvia-vs-buda →
WATR
Air Water Ventures Limited
D 48/100 — — — -7.48% $43.0M /watr-vs-buda →
BRCC
BRC Inc. (Class A)
D- 42/100 — 34.6% -26.4% +6.91% $325.1M /brcc-vs-buda →
SRXH
SRX Global Inc.
E 21/100 — 23.4% -35.0% -2.88% $20.5M /srxh-vs-buda →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002079720

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Buda Juice Inc. (BUDA) reported GAAP revenue of $12.6M (+11.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $11.3M ) , GAAP net income of $3.5M, operating cash flow of $3.1M, and free cash flow of $2.9M (-11.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, BUDA closed FY2025 with $5.0M in total assets against $647.0K in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $12.6M $3.5M $3.1M $2.9M $5.0M $647.0K
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $11.3M $3.6M $4.0M $3.3M $3.7M —

3. BUDA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BUDA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Buda Juice Inc. (NYSE: BUDA) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $6.78 (-0.95% 1D, market cap $85.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, BUDA ranks #22 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BUDA compare to ZVIA and WATR in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), BUDA carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.1x, gross margin of 44.6%, and ROIC of 62.1%. By comparison, ZVIA (Zevia PBC (Class A)) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $95.1M) and WATR (Air Water Ventures Limited) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $43.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BUDA leads on earnings multiple (24.1x) while BUDA leads on capital efficiency (62.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BUDA?

Per BUDA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002079720), Buda Juice Inc. generated $12.6M in revenue (+11.8% YoY), $3.5M in net income, and $2.9M in free cash flow against $5.0M in total assets and $647.0K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (45% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BUDA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BUDA last traded at $6.78 (-0.95% on volume of 805 shares), positioning the stock -11.72% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.68) and -22.87% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.79). Across its 52-week range of $6.25 to $12.00, BUDA sits at the 9.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.7% ($5.99 to $7.57).

BUDA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell BUDA stock right now?

Buda Juice Inc. (BUDA) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold — HOLD) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 45% profit margin (62% return on capital), mixed timing at 24x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is BUDA's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

BUDA's 12-month base price target is $7.09 (range $5.53 to $12.6), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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