MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why BTBT Stock dropped -3.31% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$0.93 -3.31% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.92
Bit Digital Inc. (BTBT) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $336.5M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.92 (-0.79%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BTBT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (30/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BTBT SCORES 30/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (27% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (27% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$1.29-25.6% Next Q
38
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$0.96-11.5% Next Q
35
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$0.85+9.4% Next Q
33
CurrentGrade E$0.93-9.6% Hist 90D α
30
Trajectory: E (38) → E (30)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BTBT Turnaround Squeeze
While BTBT currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.39) and Max Pain ($0.98) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.87.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BTBT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BTBT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why BTBT Stock dropped -3.31% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Bit Digital Inc. (BTBT) dropped -3.31% to $0.93, trading at 4% of its 52-week range ($0.8 – $3.69). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 4% of its 52-week range ($0.8 – $3.69) with RSI-14 at 26.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $0.93 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live BTBT Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BTBT)
- ✓Walkthrough of BTBT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BTBT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.41%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $0.87H $0.93L $0.80C $0.93VOL 47.91M
RES: $1.65SUP: $0.57SMA50: $1.39SMA200: $1.62
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
BTBT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +5.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BTBT today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BTBT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BTBT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BTBT)
Financials Rank #1067 of 1096
⚔️ RM vs BTBT Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BTBT vs. RM, CCAP, TREE, BRBI)
Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bit Digital Inc. (BTBT) ranks #1067 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #789 by equity capitalization ($336.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RM leads on earnings valuation at 7.5x trailing P/E, while RM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.9% ROIC and — gross margin. RM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with BTBT at 30/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTBT
ACTIVE
Bit Digital Inc. | E | 30/100 | — | — | -12.0% | -3.31% | $336.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| RM Regional Management Corp. | C+ | 69/100 | 7.5x | — | 11.9% | +7.76% | $334.5M | /rm-vs-btbt → |
| CCAP Crescent Capital BDC Inc. | C | 65/100 | 9.9x | — | -11.1% | +3.22% | $342.7M | /ccap-vs-btbt → |
| TREE LendingTree Inc. | C | 63/100 | — | — | 8.6% | +5.69% | $393.5M | /tree-vs-btbt → |
| BRBI BRBI BR Partners S.A. ADSs | D | 49/100 | — | — | — | -3.27% | $400.1M | /brbi-vs-btbt → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001710350In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Bit Digital Inc. (BTBT) reported GAAP revenue of $113.6M (+5.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $108.1M , and +152.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$80.3M, operating cash flow of -$288.9M, and free cash flow of -$574.9M (-437.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, BTBT closed FY2025 with $1.17B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $113.6M | -$80.3M | -$288.9M | -$574.9M | $1.17B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $108.1M | $28.3M | -$13.0M | -$107.0M | $538.2M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $44.9M | -$13.9M | $1.1M | $1.1M | — | — |
3. BTBT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs BTBT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Bit Digital Inc. (NASDAQ: BTBT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $0.93 (-3.31% 1D, market cap $336.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BTBT ranks #1067 in composite RQD confidence.
How does BTBT compare to RM and CCAP in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), BTBT carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -12.0%. By comparison, RM (Regional Management Corp.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 7.5x, ROIC 11.9%, cap $334.5M) and CCAP (Crescent Capital BDC Inc.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 9.9x, ROIC -11.1%, cap $342.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RM leads on earnings multiple (7.5x) while RM leads on capital efficiency (11.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BTBT?
Per BTBT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001710350), Bit Digital Inc. generated $113.6M in revenue (+5.1% YoY), -$80.3M in net income, and -$574.9M in free cash flow against $1.17B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is BTBT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
BTBT last traded at $0.93 (-3.31% on volume of 15,811,009 shares), positioning the stock -33.09% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.39) and -42.59% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.62). Across its 52-week range of $0.80 to $3.69, BTBT sits at the 4.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 26.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.05).
BTBT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is BTBT stock moving today?
Why BTBT Stock dropped -3.31% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.