Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / BTBD / forecast

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BT Brands Inc. (BTBD) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$1.84 +0.55% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.84

BT Brands Inc. (BTBD) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $11.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BTBD Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BTBD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, BT Brands Inc. (NASDAQ: BTBD) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $1.84 (+0.55% 1D, market cap $11.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BTBD compare to REBN and GTIM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), BTBD carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -3.5%. By comparison, REBN (Reborn Coffee Inc.) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $13.5M) and GTIM (Good Times Restaurants Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E 13.3x, ROIC 0.7%, cap $13.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GTIM leads on earnings multiple (13.3x) while GTIM leads on capital efficiency (0.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BTBD?

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Per BTBD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001718224), BT Brands Inc. generated $13.5M in revenue (-9.0% YoY), -$687.8K in net income, and $112.0K in free cash flow against $10.7M in total assets and $1.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.84 (-0.09%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BTBD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BTBD SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 56% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 56.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$1.64+1.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$1.67-1.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$1.64+12.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D$1.84-5.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (41) → D (49)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BTBD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BTBD currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.71) and Max Pain ($1.93) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.60.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BTBD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BTBD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 49%NO 51%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your BTBD Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.84: 5434.8 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $1.38

$7,500

$-2,500 (-25.0%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $1.77

$9,620

$-380 (-3.8%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $2.60

$14,130

+$4,130 (+41.3%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$2	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$2	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$2	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BTBD)

✓Walkthrough of BTBD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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BTBD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.22%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $1.88H $1.88L $1.83C $1.84VOL 19.1K

RES: $2.23SUP: $1.58SMA50: $1.71SMA200: $1.45

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BTBD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BTBD Butterfly Map → + Track BTBD →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -9.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BTBD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BTBD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BTBD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BTBD)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #587 of 1011 ⚔️ REBN vs BTBD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BTBD vs. REBN, GTIM, ARKR, CCHH)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BT Brands Inc. (BTBD) ranks #587 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #921 by equity capitalization ($11.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GTIM leads on earnings valuation at 13.3x trailing P/E, while GTIM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.7% ROIC and — gross margin. BTBD currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BTBD ACTIVE BT Brands Inc.	D	49/100	—	—	-3.5%	+0.55%	$11.3M	Benchmark Subject
REBN Reborn Coffee Inc.	E	34/100	—	92.0%	-35.0%	+1.27%	$13.5M	/rebn-vs-btbd →
GTIM Good Times Restaurants Inc.	D-	39/100	13.3x	—	0.7%	0.00%	$13.6M	/gtim-vs-btbd →
ARKR Ark Restaurants Corp.	E	24/100	—	—	-13.1%	+7.97%	$16.7M	/arkr-vs-btbd →
CCHH CCH Holdings Ltd (Class A)	E	22/100	—	19.3%	-21.4%	-7.37%	$19.0M	/cchh-vs-btbd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-28 • CIK 0001718224

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), BT Brands Inc. (BTBD) reported GAAP revenue of $13.5M (-9.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $14.8M , and -4.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$687.8K, operating cash flow of $284.9K, and free cash flow of $112.0K (+109.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, BTBD closed FY2025 with $10.7M in total assets against $1.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.58, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-28	$13.5M	-$687.8K	$284.9K	$112.0K	$10.7M	$1.9M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-29	$14.8M	-$2.3M	-$713.5K	-$1.2M	$12.0M	$2.1M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$14.1M	-$887.4K	-$258.8K	-$258.8K	—	—

3. BTBD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BTBD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does BTBD compare to REBN and GTIM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BTBD?

Where is BTBD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BTBD last traded at $1.84 (+0.55% on volume of 8,096 shares), positioning the stock +7.60% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.71) and +26.90% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1.45). Across its 52-week range of $1.03 to $2.48, BTBD sits at the 55.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.61 to $2.07).

BTBD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is BTBD's 12-month stock price target?

BT Brands Inc. (BTBD) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $1.77 (-3.8% from $1.84), with a bull-case target of $2.6 and a bear-case floor of $1.38.

Is BTBD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates BTBD D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 49/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: BTBD RQD Cockpit BTBD 12M Forecast BTBD Earnings & Move BTBD Dividends & DRIP BTBD Insiders & 13F BTBD Whale Options BTBD Profit Sankey BTBD News & Why