Stock Ratings / Health Care / BOLD / forecast

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Boundless Bio Inc. (BOLD) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$2.47 -0.40% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.46

Boundless Bio Inc. (BOLD) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $57.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BOLD Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BOLD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Boundless Bio Inc. (NASDAQ: BOLD) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $2.47 (-0.40% 1D, market cap $57.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, BOLD ranks #510 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BOLD compare to HYFT and NMAD in the Health Care sector?

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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), BOLD carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, HYFT (MindWalk Holdings Corp.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $57.1M) and NMAD (Nomad Power Solutions Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $57.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BOLD leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BOLD leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BOLD?

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Per BOLD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001782303), Boundless Bio Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$58.2M in net income, and -$47.2M in free cash flow against $157.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.46 (-0.26%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BOLD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BOLD SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 69% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 46.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$2.53-7.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$2.34+0.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$2.36+4.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$2.47-7.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (49) → D- (41)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BOLD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BOLD currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.66) and Max Pain ($2.59) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.32.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BOLD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BOLD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 41%NO 59%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your BOLD Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $2.47: 4048.6 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $1.78

$7,206

$-2,794 (-27.9%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $2.28

$9,231

$-769 (-7.7%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $3.32

$13,441

+$3,441 (+34.4%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$2	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$3	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$2	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BOLD)

✓Walkthrough of BOLD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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BOLD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +69.18%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $2.53H $2.59L $2.43C $2.47VOL 47.0K

RES: $3.58SUP: $2.27SMA50: $2.66SMA200: $1.91

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BOLD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BOLD Butterfly Map → + Track BOLD →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BOLD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BOLD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BOLD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BOLD)

Health Care Rank #510 of 1016 ⚔️ HYFT vs BOLD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (BOLD vs. HYFT, NMAD, RFL, ONCY)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Boundless Bio Inc. (BOLD) ranks #510 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #728 by equity capitalization ($57.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BOLD leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while BOLD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. HYFT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with BOLD at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BOLD ACTIVE Boundless Bio Inc.	D-	41/100	—	—	-35.0%	-0.40%	$57.3M	Benchmark Subject
HYFT MindWalk Holdings Corp.	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-5.83%	$57.1M	/hyft-vs-bold →
NMAD Nomad Power Solutions Inc.	E	33/100	—	—	-35.0%	+0.56%	$57.0M	/nmad-vs-bold →
RFL Rafael Holdings Inc. (Class B)	E	16/100	—	—	-35.0%	-3.57%	$58.2M	/rfl-vs-bold →
ONCY Oncolytics Biotech Inc.	D	45/100	—	—	-35.0%	-0.54%	$56.1M	/oncy-vs-bold →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001782303

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Boundless Bio Inc. (BOLD) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$58.2M, operating cash flow of -$46.7M, and free cash flow of -$47.2M (+25.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, BOLD closed FY2025 with $157.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	-$58.2M	-$46.7M	-$47.2M	$157.1M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	-$65.4M	-$60.8M	-$63.4M	$206.4M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$49.4M	-$46.9M	-$46.9M	—	—

3. BOLD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BOLD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does BOLD compare to HYFT and NMAD in the Health Care sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BOLD?

Where is BOLD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BOLD last traded at $2.47 (-0.40% on volume of 47,016 shares), positioning the stock -7.14% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.66) and +29.32% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1.91). Across its 52-week range of $0.96 to $3.16, BOLD sits at the 68.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.16 to $2.78).

BOLD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is BOLD's 12-month stock price target?

Boundless Bio Inc. (BOLD) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $2.28 (-7.7% from $2.47), with a bull-case target of $3.32 and a bear-case floor of $1.78.

Is BOLD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates BOLD D- (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 41/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: BOLD RQD Cockpit BOLD 12M Forecast BOLD Earnings & Move BOLD Dividends & DRIP BOLD Insiders & 13F BOLD Whale Options BOLD Profit Sankey BOLD News & Why