Burning Rock Biotech Limited (BNR) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$11.05 -9.87% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.83

Burning Rock Biotech Limited (BNR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 20/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $116.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BNR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Burning Rock Biotech Limited (NASDAQ: BNR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 20/100 at a spot price of $11.05 (-9.87% 1D, market cap $116.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, BNR ranks #992 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BNR compare to KEQU and SERA in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Medical Specialities), BNR carries a Roarable E (20/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 74.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, KEQU (Kewaunee Scientific Corporation) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 10.1x, ROIC 16.7%, cap $97.0M) and SERA (Sera Prognostics Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $81.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, KEQU leads on earnings multiple (10.1x) while KEQU leads on capital efficiency (16.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BNR?
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Per BNR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001792267), Burning Rock Biotech Limited generated $77.2M in revenue (+9.2% YoY), -$7.9M in net income, and -$4.8M in free cash flow against $117.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.83 (-1.97%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (20/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510020
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (4)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-17.1% Base Target
$44 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE BNR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BNR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (20/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BNR SCORES 20/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (40% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+4/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 74.7% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
28
Grade E$15.00-18.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
25
Grade E$12.29-9.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
23
Grade E$11.15-0.9% Next Q
Current
20
Grade E$11.05-11.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (28) → E (20)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BNR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BNR currently carries a cautious 20/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($13.27) and Max Pain ($11.60) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $43.81.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BNR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BNR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your BNR Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $11.05: 905.0 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $7.14
$6,462
$-3,538 (-35.4%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $9.16
$8,290
$-1,710 (-17.1%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $43.81
$39,647
+$29,647 (+296.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$1074%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$4169%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$858%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BNR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of BNR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BNR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -35.72%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-02O $12.26H $12.26L $11.05C $11.05VOL 29.8K
RES: $22.66SUP: $13.05SMA50: $13.27SMA200: $16.27
$20.81$17.01$13.21$9.41$5.61RES $22.66SUP $13.05$11.052026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BNR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BNR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BNR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BNR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BNR)

Health Care Rank #992 of 1016 ⚔️ KEQU vs BNR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (BNR vs. KEQU, SERA, XGN, TLSI)

Industry: Medical Specialities (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Burning Rock Biotech Limited (BNR) ranks #992 by composite RQD confidence (20/100, grade E) and #639 by equity capitalization ($116.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KEQU leads on earnings valuation at 10.1x trailing P/E, while KEQU leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.7% ROIC and 28.5% gross margin. KEQU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with BNR at 20/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BNR ACTIVE
Burning Rock Biotech Limited
E 20/100 — 74.7% -35.0% -9.87% $116.5M Benchmark Subject
KEQU
Kewaunee Scientific Corporation
C+ 69/100 10.1x 28.5% 16.7% -3.48% $97.0M /kequ-vs-bnr →
SERA
Sera Prognostics Inc. (Class A)
E 30/100 — -30.0% -35.0% +1.48% $81.3M /sera-vs-bnr →
XGN
Exagen Inc.
D- 36/100 — 58.3% -35.0% +3.57% $210.8M /xgn-vs-bnr →
TLSI
TriSalus Life Sciences Inc.
E 31/100 — 84.6% -35.0% -1.78% $237.7M /tlsi-vs-bnr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001792267

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Burning Rock Biotech Limited (BNR) reported GAAP revenue of $77.2M (+9.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $70.7M , and +1.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$7.9M, operating cash flow of -$4.1M, and free cash flow of -$4.8M (+64.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, BNR closed FY2025 with $117.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $77.2M -$7.9M -$4.1M -$4.8M $117.3M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $70.7M -$47.5M -$12.6M -$13.4M $121.3M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $75.7M -$92.1M -$36.0M -$36.0M — —

3. BNR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BNR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Burning Rock Biotech Limited (NASDAQ: BNR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 20/100 at a spot price of $11.05 (-9.87% 1D, market cap $116.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, BNR ranks #992 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BNR compare to KEQU and SERA in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Medical Specialities), BNR carries a Roarable E (20/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 74.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, KEQU (Kewaunee Scientific Corporation) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 10.1x, ROIC 16.7%, cap $97.0M) and SERA (Sera Prognostics Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $81.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, KEQU leads on earnings multiple (10.1x) while KEQU leads on capital efficiency (16.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BNR?

Per BNR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001792267), Burning Rock Biotech Limited generated $77.2M in revenue (+9.2% YoY), -$7.9M in net income, and -$4.8M in free cash flow against $117.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BNR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BNR last traded at $11.05 (-9.87% on volume of 29,816 shares), positioning the stock -16.73% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.27) and -32.08% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.27). Across its 52-week range of $6.79 to $41.72, BNR sits at the 12.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($9.67 to $12.43).

BNR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is BNR's 12-month stock price target?

Burning Rock Biotech Limited (BNR) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $9.16 (-17.1% from $11.05), with a bull-case target of $43.81 and a bear-case floor of $7.14.

Is BNR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates BNR E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 20/100.

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