BKV Corporation (BKV) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
FRED Regime × Technicals: 7% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 39 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.7% realized swing band)
Capital intensity & 26.6% operating margin leave 15 pts on the table
While BKV currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($23.15) and Max Pain ($21.99) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $34.45.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
BKV Corporation (BKV) slipped -1.09% to $20.94, trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($20.03 – $32.81). Stretched risk/reward at 13x P/E (9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
BKV shares have fallen sharply this year, which puts fresh focus on whether the current US$20.82 price still lines up with what the company earns. With sentiment under pressure, the question now is how much of BKV's earn
Many small-cap stocks have limited Wall Street coverage, giving savvy investors the chance to act before everyone else catches on. But the flip side is that these businesses have increased downside risk because they lack
Companies that burn cash at a rapid pace can run into serious trouble if they fail to secure funding. Without a clear path to profitability, these businesses risk dilution, mounting debt, or even bankruptcy.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +41.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BKV today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BKV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BKV Corporation (BKV) ranks #154 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #114 by equity capitalization ($2.29B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BKV leads on earnings valuation at 12.8x trailing P/E, while BKV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.0% ROIC and — gross margin. VET currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with BKV at 49/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BKV
ACTIVE
BKV Corporation | D | 49/100 | 12.8x | — | 9.0% | -1.09% | $2.29B | Benchmark Subject |
| CTRI Centuri Holdings Inc. | D | 47/100 | 97.1x | 8.3% | 5.0% | +2.67% | $2.17B | /ctri-vs-bkv → |
| VET Vermilion Energy Inc. Common (Canada) | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | -0.95% | $2.07B | /vet-vs-bkv → |
| EROK EagleRock Land LLC representing limited liability company interests (Class A) | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | — | -1.69% | $2.68B | /erok-vs-bkv → |
| NEXT NextDecade Corporation | D- | 39/100 | — | — | -2.1% | +11.52% | $1.93B | /next-vs-bkv → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), BKV Corporation (BKV) reported GAAP revenue of $1.14B (+41.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $805.7M , and +13.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $179.2M, operating cash flow of $280.4M, and free cash flow of -$24.7M (-346.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, BKV closed FY2025 with $3.94B in total assets against $937.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.37, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.14B | $179.2M | $280.4M | -$24.7M | $3.94B | $937.7M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $805.7M | -$138.7M | $115.4M | $10.0M | $3.10B | $849.8M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.01B | $123.6M | $260.3M | $260.3M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, BKV Corporation (NYSE: BKV) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $20.94 (-1.09% 1D, market cap $2.29B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, BKV ranks #154 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), BKV carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.0%. By comparison, CTRI (Centuri Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 97.1x, ROIC 5.0%, cap $2.17B) and VET (Vermilion Energy Inc. Common (Canada)) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.07B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BKV leads on earnings multiple (12.8x) while BKV leads on capital efficiency (9.0% ROIC).
Per BKV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001838406), BKV Corporation generated $1.14B in revenue (+41.6% YoY), $179.2M in net income, and -$24.7M in free cash flow against $3.94B in total assets and $937.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
BKV last traded at $20.94 (-1.09% on volume of 1,050,844 shares), positioning the stock -9.55% below its 50-day simple moving average ($23.15) and -21.22% below its 200-day simple moving average ($26.58). Across its 52-week range of $20.03 to $32.81, BKV sits at the 7.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.7% ($19.12 to $22.76).
Why BKV Stock slipped -1.09% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 13x P/E (9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.