Brighthouse Financial Inc. (BHF) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$42.98 -1.89% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.75

Brighthouse Financial Inc. (BHF) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.47B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.75 (-0.53%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) β€’ 3.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 55.2% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C
025507510064
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C Β· Rk C+
Cash (11)Whales (10)SEC (13)Macro (14)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$70 Bull$44 Base$34 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE BHF RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BHF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±5.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY BHF SCORES 64/100 (C) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 4% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 26.5 (OVERSOLD (<32))

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
72
Grade B$48.53-1.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
69
Grade B-$47.77-4.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
67
Grade B-$45.41-5.4% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$42.98+1.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B (72) β†’ C (64)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BHF Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, BHF faces multiple-compression risk if 7.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($49.81) or 200D SMA ($59.06) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($44.14) toward Bear Floor ($34.43).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BHFβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œBHF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±5.3%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (BHF)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for BHF.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating BHF & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on BHF
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BHF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -30.97%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $43.04H $44.03L $42.93C $42.98VOL 728.3K
RES: $73.41SUP: $42.03SMA50: $49.81SMA200: $59.06
$68.54$61.34$54.14$46.94$39.75RES $73.41SUP $42.03$42.982026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BHF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-6.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +43.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BHF today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BHF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BHF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BHF)

Financials Rank #347 of 1096 βš”οΈ FG vs BHF Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BHF vs. FG, GNW, LNC, PRI)

Industry: Life Insurance (18 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Brighthouse Financial Inc. (BHF) ranks #347 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #397 by equity capitalization ($2.47B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LNC leads on earnings valuation at 6.7x trailing P/E, while FG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.2% ROIC and β€” gross margin. PRI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with BHF at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BHF ACTIVE
Brighthouse Financial Inc.
C 64/100 7.5x β€” 4.9% -1.89% $2.47B Benchmark Subject
FG
F&G Annuities & Life Inc.
D+ 55/100 11.1x β€” 5.2% +2.18% $2.76B /fg-vs-bhf β†’
GNW
Genworth Financial Inc
C 65/100 15.3x β€” 2.5% +1.69% $3.41B /gnw-vs-bhf β†’
LNC
Lincoln National Corporation
D- 42/100 6.7x β€” 0.9% +1.75% $7.92B /lnc-vs-bhf β†’
PRI
Primerica Inc.
C+ 66/100 24.4x β€” 5.2% +1.61% $8.73B /pri-vs-bhf β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001685040

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Brighthouse Financial Inc. (BHF) reported GAAP revenue of $6.77B (+43.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.72B , and +64.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $331.0M, operating cash flow of $259.0M, and free cash flow of $259.0M (+189.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, BHF closed FY2025 with $241.80B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $6.77B $331.0M $259.0M $259.0M $241.80B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $4.72B $286.0M -$290.0M -$290.0M $238.54B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $4.12B -$1.21B -$137.0M -$137.0M β€” β€”

3. BHF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BHF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Brighthouse Financial Inc. (NASDAQ: BHF) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $42.98 (-1.89% 1D, market cap $2.47B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BHF ranks #347 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BHF compare to FG and GNW in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Life Insurance), BHF carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.5x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 4.9%. By comparison, FG (F&G Annuities & Life Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 11.1x, ROIC 5.2%, cap $2.76B) and GNW (Genworth Financial Inc) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 15.3x, ROIC 2.5%, cap $3.41B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LNC leads on earnings multiple (6.7x) while FG leads on capital efficiency (5.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BHF?

Per BHF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001685040), Brighthouse Financial Inc. generated $6.77B in revenue (+43.2% YoY), $331.0M in net income, and $259.0M in free cash flow against $241.80B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BHF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BHF last traded at $42.98 (-1.89% on volume of 1,219,916 shares), positioning the stock -13.71% below its 50-day simple moving average ($49.81) and -27.23% below its 200-day simple moving average ($59.06). Across its 52-week range of $41.98 to $66.80, BHF sits at the 4.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 26.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±5.3% ($40.70 to $45.26).

BHF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is BHF's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for BHF.

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