MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why BHF Stock slipped -1.89% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$42.98 -1.89% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.75
Brighthouse Financial Inc. (BHF) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $2.47B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.75 (-0.53%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 3.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BHF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BHF SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (22% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 4% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 26.5 (OVERSOLD (<32))
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B$48.53-1.6% Next Q
72
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B-$47.77-4.9% Next Q
69
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B-$45.41-5.4% Next Q
67
CurrentGrade C$42.98+1.1% Hist 90D α
64
Trajectory: B (72) → C (64)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BHF Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 64/100 (C) score, BHF faces multiple-compression risk if 7.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($49.81) or 200D SMA ($59.06) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($44.14) toward Bear Floor ($34.43).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BHF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BHF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why BHF Stock slipped -1.89% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Brighthouse Financial Inc. (BHF) slipped -1.89% to $42.98, trading at 4% of its 52-week range ($41.98 – $66.8). Solid steady margins (5% return on capital), mixed timing at 8x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 4% of its 52-week range ($41.98 – $66.8) with RSI-14 at 26.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.3% around $42.98 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $259.0M annual free cash flow.
Live BHF Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 6h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 8h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BHF Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
BHF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -30.97%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $43.04H $44.03L $42.93C $42.98VOL 728.3K
RES: $73.41SUP: $42.03SMA50: $49.81SMA200: $59.06
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
BHF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-6.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +43.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BHF today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BHF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BHF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BHF)
Financials Rank #347 of 1096
⚔️ FG vs BHF Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BHF vs. FG, GNW, LNC, PRI)
Industry: Life Insurance (18 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Brighthouse Financial Inc. (BHF) ranks #347 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #397 by equity capitalization ($2.47B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LNC leads on earnings valuation at 6.7x trailing P/E, while FG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.2% ROIC and — gross margin. PRI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with BHF at 64/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BHF
ACTIVE
Brighthouse Financial Inc. | C | 64/100 | 7.5x | — | 4.9% | -1.89% | $2.47B | Benchmark Subject |
| FG F&G Annuities & Life Inc. | D+ | 55/100 | 11.1x | — | 5.2% | +2.18% | $2.76B | /fg-vs-bhf → |
| GNW Genworth Financial Inc | C | 65/100 | 15.3x | — | 2.5% | +1.69% | $3.41B | /gnw-vs-bhf → |
| LNC Lincoln National Corporation | D- | 42/100 | 6.7x | — | 0.9% | +1.75% | $7.92B | /lnc-vs-bhf → |
| PRI Primerica Inc. | C+ | 66/100 | 24.4x | — | 5.2% | +1.61% | $8.73B | /pri-vs-bhf → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001685040In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Brighthouse Financial Inc. (BHF) reported GAAP revenue of $6.77B (+43.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.72B , and +64.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $331.0M, operating cash flow of $259.0M, and free cash flow of $259.0M (+189.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, BHF closed FY2025 with $241.80B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $6.77B | $331.0M | $259.0M | $259.0M | $241.80B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $4.72B | $286.0M | -$290.0M | -$290.0M | $238.54B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $4.12B | -$1.21B | -$137.0M | -$137.0M | — | — |
3. BHF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs BHF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Brighthouse Financial Inc. (NASDAQ: BHF) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $42.98 (-1.89% 1D, market cap $2.47B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BHF ranks #347 in composite RQD confidence.
How does BHF compare to FG and GNW in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Life Insurance), BHF carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.9%. By comparison, FG (F&G Annuities & Life Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 11.1x, ROIC 5.2%, cap $2.76B) and GNW (Genworth Financial Inc) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 15.3x, ROIC 2.5%, cap $3.41B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LNC leads on earnings multiple (6.7x) while FG leads on capital efficiency (5.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BHF?
Per BHF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001685040), Brighthouse Financial Inc. generated $6.77B in revenue (+43.2% YoY), $331.0M in net income, and $259.0M in free cash flow against $241.80B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is BHF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
BHF last traded at $42.98 (-1.89% on volume of 1,219,916 shares), positioning the stock -13.71% below its 50-day simple moving average ($49.81) and -27.23% below its 200-day simple moving average ($59.06). Across its 52-week range of $41.98 to $66.80, BHF sits at the 4.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 26.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.3% ($40.70 to $45.26).
BHF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is BHF stock moving today?
Why BHF Stock slipped -1.89% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (5% return on capital), mixed timing at 8x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.