Flanigan's Enterprises Inc. (BDL) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$57.89 +7.62% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $58.82

Flanigan's Enterprises Inc. (BDL) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 8% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $107.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $58.82 (+1.61%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 2.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510071
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B+
Cash (13)Whales (12)SEC (16)Macro (15)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.9% Base Target
$72 Bull$61 Base$47 Bear
📬 FREE BDL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BDL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BDL SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.44 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 91% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 79.5 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$46.79+1.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$47.62+2.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$48.79+18.7% Next Q
Current
71
Grade B-$57.89+6.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (63) → B- (71)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BDL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, BDL faces multiple-compression risk if 21.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($47.31) or 200D SMA ($38.63) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($61.28) toward Bear Floor ($47.47).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BDL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BDL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 26, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your BDL Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $57.89: 172.7 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $47.47
$8,200
$-1,800 (-18.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $61.28
$10,586
+$586 (+5.9%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $72.31
$12,491
+$2,491 (+24.9%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (34 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 23● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskOUTPERFORM$6474%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$6869%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$5458%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BDL Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
BDL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +80.29%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $56.55H $60.97L $56.55C $57.89VOL 80.6K
RES: $56.44SUP: $44.16SMA50: $47.31SMA200: $38.63
$63.21$53.94$44.67$35.40$26.13RES $56.44SUP $44.16$57.892026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BDL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
15.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BDL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BDL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BDL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BDL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #162 of 1011 ⚔️ NDLS vs BDL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BDL vs. NDLS, RRGB, MB, GENK)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Flanigan's Enterprises Inc. (BDL) ranks #162 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #750 by equity capitalization ($107.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BDL leads on earnings valuation at 21.4x trailing P/E, while BDL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.2% ROIC and — gross margin. BDL currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BDL ACTIVE
Flanigan's Enterprises Inc.
B- 71/100 21.4x — 8.2% +7.62% $107.6M Benchmark Subject
NDLS
Noodles & Company (Class A)
D- 36/100 — — -35.0% +7.52% $93.0M /ndls-vs-bdl →
RRGB
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc.
D+ 57/100 — — 5.7% +3.78% $176.4M /rrgb-vs-bdl →
MB
MasterBeef Group
D 48/100 — — — -7.77% $65.2M /mb-vs-bdl →
GENK
GEN Restaurant Group Inc. (Class A)
E 31/100 — — -35.0% +1.88% $56.9M /genk-vs-bdl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-27 • CIK 0000012040

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27), Flanigan's Enterprises Inc. (BDL) reported GAAP revenue of $205.2M (+9.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $187.2M , and +17.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $5.0M, operating cash flow of $10.5M, and free cash flow of $4.7M (+46.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, BDL closed FY2025 with $142.1M in total assets against $18.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.44, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-27 $205.2M $5.0M $10.5M $4.7M $142.1M $18.7M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-28 $187.2M $3.4M $6.6M $3.2M $146.9M $20.2M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $174.4M $4.0M $8.5M $8.5M — —

3. BDL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BDL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Flanigan's Enterprises Inc. (NYSE: BDL) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $57.89 (+7.62% 1D, market cap $107.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BDL ranks #162 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BDL compare to NDLS and RRGB in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), BDL carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.2%. By comparison, NDLS (Noodles & Company (Class A)) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $93.0M) and RRGB (Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.7%, cap $176.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BDL leads on earnings multiple (21.4x) while BDL leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BDL?

Per BDL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27, CIK 0000012040), Flanigan's Enterprises Inc. generated $205.2M in revenue (+9.6% YoY), $5.0M in net income, and $4.7M in free cash flow against $142.1M in total assets and $18.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BDL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BDL last traded at $57.89 (+7.62% on volume of 24,945 shares), positioning the stock +22.36% above its 50-day simple moving average ($47.31) and +49.86% above its 200-day simple moving average ($38.63). Across its 52-week range of $27.55 to $60.97, BDL sits at the 90.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 79.5 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.9% ($52.16 to $63.62).

BDL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is BDL's 12-month stock price target?

Flanigan's Enterprises Inc. (BDL) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $61.28 (+5.9% from $57.89), with a bull-case target of $72.31 and a bear-case floor of $47.47.

Is BDL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates BDL B- (Buy — BUY) with an RQD Confidence score of 71/100.

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