Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / BCC / options

FND (56) BLDR (60) QXO (26) ASPN (25) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Boise Cascade L.L.C. (BCC) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$77.85 +4.41% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $78.32

Boise Cascade L.L.C. (BCC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.72B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $78.32 (+0.60%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BCC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BCC SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 48% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 58.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 2.9% operating margin leave 12 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$73.57+3.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$76.13+2.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$77.74+0.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$77.85-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (49) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BCC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, BCC faces multiple-compression risk if 20.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($76.45) or 200D SMA ($77.20) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($77.50) toward Bear Floor ($60.45).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BCC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BCC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±6.1%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (BCC)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for BCC.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BCC)

✓Walkthrough of BCC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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BCC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.79%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $78.34H $79.68L $77.13C $77.85VOL 296.2K

RES: $77.76SUP: $72.54SMA50: $76.45SMA200: $77.20

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BCC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BCC Butterfly Map → + Track BCC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

14.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BCC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BCC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BCC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BCC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #477 of 1011 ⚔️ FND vs BCC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BCC vs. FND, BLDR, QXO, ASPN)

Industry: RETAIL: Building Materials (17 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Boise Cascade L.L.C. (BCC) ranks #477 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #378 by equity capitalization ($2.72B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BLDR leads on earnings valuation at 15.6x trailing P/E, while FND leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.0% ROIC and 43.6% gross margin. BLDR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with BCC at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BCC ACTIVE Boise Cascade L.L.C.	D+	57/100	20.4x	—	7.1%	+4.41%	$2.72B	Benchmark Subject
FND Floor & Decor Holdings Inc.	D+	56/100	25.7x	43.6%	11.0%	+5.87%	$5.36B	/fnd-vs-bcc →
BLDR Builders FirstSource Inc.	C-	60/100	15.6x	30.4%	8.8%	+12.85%	$6.79B	/bldr-vs-bcc →
QXO QXO Inc.	E	26/100	—	23.0%	-1.9%	+4.79%	$11.81B	/qxo-vs-bcc →
ASPN Aspen Aerogels Inc.	E	25/100	—	17.0%	-35.0%	-2.00%	$447.3M	/aspn-vs-bcc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001328581

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Boise Cascade L.L.C. (BCC) reported GAAP revenue of $6.40B (-4.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.72B , and -6.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $132.8M, operating cash flow of $254.1M, and free cash flow of $12.7M (-93.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, BCC closed FY2025 with $3.24B in total assets against $445.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$6.40B	$132.8M	$254.1M	$12.7M	$3.24B	$445.4M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$6.72B	$376.4M	$438.3M	$208.8M	$3.37B	$446.2M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$6.84B	$483.7M	$687.5M	$687.5M	—	—

3. BCC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BCC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Boise Cascade L.L.C. (NYSE: BCC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $77.85 (+4.41% 1D, market cap $2.72B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BCC ranks #477 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BCC compare to FND and BLDR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (RETAIL: Building Materials), BCC carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 7.1%. By comparison, FND (Floor & Decor Holdings Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 25.7x, ROIC 11.0%, cap $5.36B) and BLDR (Builders FirstSource Inc.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 15.6x, ROIC 8.8%, cap $6.79B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BLDR leads on earnings multiple (15.6x) while FND leads on capital efficiency (11.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BCC?

Per BCC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001328581), Boise Cascade L.L.C. generated $6.40B in revenue (-4.8% YoY), $132.8M in net income, and $12.7M in free cash flow against $3.24B in total assets and $445.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BCC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BCC last traded at $77.85 (+4.41% on volume of 393,518 shares), positioning the stock +1.83% above its 50-day simple moving average ($76.45) and +0.84% above its 200-day simple moving average ($77.20). Across its 52-week range of $65.00 to $91.97, BCC sits at the 47.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($73.10 to $82.60).

BCC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is BCC's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for BCC.

Direct Sub-Reports: BCC RQD Cockpit BCC 12M Forecast BCC Earnings & Move BCC Dividends & DRIP BCC Insiders & 13F BCC Whale Options BCC Profit Sankey BCC News & Why