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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / BCC / forecast
FND (56) BLDR (60) QXO (26) ASPN (31) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Boise Cascade L.L.C. (BCC) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$78.83 +1.26% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $78.86

Boise Cascade L.L.C. (BCC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.72B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BCC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BCC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Boise Cascade L.L.C. (NYSE: BCC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $78.83 (+1.26% 1D, market cap $2.72B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BCC ranks #519 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BCC compare to FND and BLDR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (RETAIL: Building Materials), BCC carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 7.1%. By comparison, FND (Floor & Decor Holdings Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 25.7x, ROIC 11.0%, cap $5.36B) and BLDR (Builders FirstSource Inc.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 15.6x, ROIC 8.8%, cap $6.79B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BLDR leads on earnings multiple (15.6x) while FND leads on capital efficiency (11.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BCC?
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Per BCC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001328581), Boise Cascade L.L.C. generated $6.40B in revenue (-4.8% YoY), $132.8M in net income, and $12.7M in free cash flow against $3.24B in total assets and $445.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $78.86 (+0.04%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510052
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (8)Whales (11)SEC (13)Macro (9)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target
$97 Bull$77 Base$60 Bear
📬 FREE BCC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BCC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BCC SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.2% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 2.9% operating margin leave 12 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
44
Grade D$73.41+2.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
47
Grade D$75.12+0.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
49
Grade D$75.44+4.5% Next Q
Current
52
Grade D+$78.83-1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (44) → D+ (52)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BCC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BCC currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($76.36) and Max Pain ($82.77) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $96.57.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BCC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BCC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 52%NO 48%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your BCC Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $78.83: 126.9 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $59.83
$7,590
$-2,410 (-24.1%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $76.70
$9,730
$-270 (-2.7%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $96.57
$12,250
+$2,250 (+22.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$8074%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$9169%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$6858%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BCC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of BCC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
BCC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +6.05%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-02O $74.56H $78.83L $74.56C $78.83VOL 393.5K
RES: $78.20SUP: $72.56SMA50: $76.36SMA200: $77.16
$90.07$83.28$76.48$69.69$62.89RES $78.20SUP $72.56$78.832026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BCC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BCC Butterfly Map → + Track BCC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
14.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BCC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BCC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BCC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BCC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #519 of 1011 ⚔️ FND vs BCC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BCC vs. FND, BLDR, QXO, ASPN)

Industry: RETAIL: Building Materials (17 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Boise Cascade L.L.C. (BCC) ranks #519 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #378 by equity capitalization ($2.72B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BLDR leads on earnings valuation at 15.6x trailing P/E, while FND leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.0% ROIC and 43.6% gross margin. BLDR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with BCC at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BCC ACTIVE
Boise Cascade L.L.C.
D+ 52/100 20.4x — 7.1% +1.26% $2.72B Benchmark Subject
FND
Floor & Decor Holdings Inc.
D+ 56/100 25.7x 43.6% 11.0% -5.46% $5.36B /fnd-vs-bcc →
BLDR
Builders FirstSource Inc.
C- 60/100 15.6x 30.4% 8.8% +2.93% $6.79B /bldr-vs-bcc →
QXO
QXO Inc.
E 26/100 — 23.0% -1.9% -2.99% $11.81B /qxo-vs-bcc →
ASPN
Aspen Aerogels Inc.
E 31/100 — 17.0% -35.0% -6.31% $447.3M /aspn-vs-bcc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001328581

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Boise Cascade L.L.C. (BCC) reported GAAP revenue of $6.40B (-4.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.72B , and -6.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $132.8M, operating cash flow of $254.1M, and free cash flow of $12.7M (-93.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, BCC closed FY2025 with $3.24B in total assets against $445.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $6.40B $132.8M $254.1M $12.7M $3.24B $445.4M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $6.72B $376.4M $438.3M $208.8M $3.37B $446.2M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $6.84B $483.7M $687.5M $687.5M — —

3. BCC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BCC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Boise Cascade L.L.C. (NYSE: BCC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $78.83 (+1.26% 1D, market cap $2.72B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BCC ranks #519 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BCC compare to FND and BLDR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (RETAIL: Building Materials), BCC carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 7.1%. By comparison, FND (Floor & Decor Holdings Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 25.7x, ROIC 11.0%, cap $5.36B) and BLDR (Builders FirstSource Inc.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 15.6x, ROIC 8.8%, cap $6.79B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BLDR leads on earnings multiple (15.6x) while FND leads on capital efficiency (11.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BCC?

Per BCC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001328581), Boise Cascade L.L.C. generated $6.40B in revenue (-4.8% YoY), $132.8M in net income, and $12.7M in free cash flow against $3.24B in total assets and $445.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BCC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BCC last traded at $78.83 (+1.26% on volume of 296,284 shares), positioning the stock +3.23% above its 50-day simple moving average ($76.36) and +2.16% above its 200-day simple moving average ($77.16). Across its 52-week range of $65.00 to $91.97, BCC sits at the 51.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.2% ($73.94 to $83.72).

BCC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is BCC's 12-month stock price target?

Boise Cascade L.L.C. (BCC) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $76.7 (-2.7% from $78.83), with a bull-case target of $96.57 and a bear-case floor of $59.83.

Is BCC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates BCC D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 52/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: BCC RQD Cockpit BCC 12M Forecast BCC Earnings & Move BCC Dividends & DRIP BCC Insiders & 13F BCC Whale Options BCC Profit Sankey BCC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 52/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

BCC — Boise Cascade L.L.C.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:25:06Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, BCC scores 52 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 8 / 20 (ROIC 7.1%; FCF yield 0.47%), Whale 13F Flow at 11 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 11 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 9 / 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13 / 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.21).

For a prospective investor, the weakest pillar is the cash engine: a 0.47% FCF yield and 7.1% ROIC indicate limited cash generation relative to the share price. The forensic balance sheet is the strongest pillar, with moderate leverage and a Piotroski F-Score of 6 out of 9. Insider and institutional flow scores are mid-range, meaning the signals are present but not decisive. Macro regime fit is held back by a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. The overall score supports a cautious, valuation-aware posture rather than an accumulation thesis on the data provided.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
77.85$2.72B20.4196.93.811.27%1.0$65 - $91.977.1%

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The recent news wire contains six items, all tagged to BCC. Headlines are generic market-coverage pieces (Yahoo Finance, TradingView, Stock Traders Daily) and do not describe specific company events. One item carries a RISK WATCH flag: a TradingView headline reporting a 12-month price target cut to $93.17 implying 26% upside. Other items are tagged MARKET WIRE with yellow signals, including a Q3'26 earnings preview citing a revenue estimate of 1.76B USD and a technical-signals piece. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals, so no supply-chain catalysts are identified.

Open Questions

  • What drove the decline in revenue and net income from FY 2023 through FY 2025, and what is the company's stated outlook?
  • Why is EPS unreported across all periods, and what is the reconciled per-share earnings figure?
  • What is the composition of the reported cash and debt balances, and what drove the decline in cash from FY 2024 to FY 2025?
  • What are the specific institutional, 13F, and insider transactions behind the RQD flow and insider pillar scores?
  • What is the company's product, customer, and segment revenue mix?

BCC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Boise Cascade L.L.C. (BCC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BCC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BCC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $78.83?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BCC 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BCC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $84.08 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is BCC (D+ • RQD 52/100) a Buy at $77.85?

Welcome to the BCC (Boise Cascade L.L.C.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 52/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in RETAIL: Building Materials. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $62.28 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $77.85

Pump the brakes on BCC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on BCC, but look at what you are paying: 20.4x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Boise Cascade L.L.C. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $91.86 (+18.0%)
Spot @ $77.85

BCC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on BCC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in RETAIL: Building Materials and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $77.85 (52-wk range $65.00 - $91.97), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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