Bicara Therapeutics Inc. (BCAX) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$9.73 -0.31% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Bicara Therapeutics Inc. (BCAX) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $643.9M
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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (8)Whales (12)SEC (10)Macro (12)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.9% Base Target
$33 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE BCAX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BCAX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

BCAX Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

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▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (BCAX)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on BCAX. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

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  • ✓Walkthrough of BCAX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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BCAX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -54.91%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $9.38H $9.73L $8.36C $9.73VOL 4.20M
RES: $17.62SUP: $15.26SMA50: $19.74SMA200: $21.21
$32.57$26.01$19.45$12.89$6.32RES $17.62SUP $15.26$9.732026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BCAX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BCAX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BCAX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BCAX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BCAX)

Health Care Rank #478 of 1016 ⚔️ OLMA vs BCAX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (BCAX vs. OLMA, ABUS, LXRX, IMMX)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bicara Therapeutics Inc. (BCAX) ranks #478 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #413 by equity capitalization ($643.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BCAX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while LXRX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -31.5% ROIC and 96.0% gross margin. BCAX currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BCAX ACTIVE
Bicara Therapeutics Inc.
D 45/100 — — -35.0% -0.31% $643.9M Benchmark Subject
OLMA
Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc.
E 33/100 — — -32.8% -2.14% $641.4M /olma-vs-bcax →
ABUS
Arbutus Biopharma Corporation
E 22/100 — — -35.0% -0.93% $656.0M /abus-vs-bcax →
LXRX
Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Inc.
D- 39/100 — 96.0% -31.5% -0.34% $658.5M /lxrx-vs-bcax →
IMMX
Immix Biopharma Inc.
E 33/100 — — -35.0% -1.78% $661.6M /immx-vs-bcax →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002023658

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Bicara Therapeutics Inc. (BCAX) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$137.9M, operating cash flow of -$106.8M, and free cash flow of -$107.1M (-43.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, BCAX closed FY2025 with $431.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$137.9M -$106.8M -$107.1M $431.0M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$68.0M -$74.8M -$74.8M $510.0M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$52.0M -$45.6M -$45.6M — —

3. BCAX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BCAX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Bicara Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: BCAX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $9.73 (-0.31% 1D, market cap $643.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, BCAX ranks #478 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BCAX compare to OLMA and ABUS in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), BCAX carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, OLMA (Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -32.8%, cap $641.4M) and ABUS (Arbutus Biopharma Corporation) posts a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $656.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCAX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LXRX leads on capital efficiency (-31.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BCAX?

Per BCAX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002023658), Bicara Therapeutics Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$137.9M in net income, and -$107.1M in free cash flow against $431.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BCAX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BCAX last traded at $9.73 (-0.31% on volume of 3,197,807 shares), positioning the stock -50.71% below its 50-day simple moving average ($19.74) and -54.13% below its 200-day simple moving average ($21.21). Across its 52-week range of $8.36 to $30.99, BCAX sits at the 6.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 17.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($8.51 to $10.95).

BCAX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are BCAX insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies BCAX leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

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